Birmingham City FC - Derby County ai prediction 26.12.2025 Championship

Preview for Match Birmingham City vs Derby County

On December 26, 2025, Birmingham City will host Derby County at the St Andrew's Ground in what promises to be an intriguing encounter in the Championship. As both teams gear up for Matchday 23, their current standings and recent forms indicate a tightly contested match. Birmingham City enters this fixture sitting in 8th place, having accumulated 28 points from 19 matches, while Derby County finds itself in 15th position with 26 points from the same number of games. The home team’s record at St Andrew's has been commendable, with 6 victories, 2 draws, and only 1 defeat, showcasing their ability to perform on home turf.

In contrast, Derby County has had a mixed bag of results away from home, managing 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats. Their recent performances have been inconsistent, and they will be eager to bounce back after a lackluster draw against Portsmouth FC in their last fixture. The last direct meeting between these sides ended in a 2-2 draw, highlighting the competitive nature of their encounters. With both teams keen to improve their standings, this match presents an opportunity for Birmingham City to solidify their top-half position and for Derby County to climb the table.

Our Betting Tip for the Match Birmingham City vs Derby County

Based on the analysis of both teams' current forms and historical performances, our betting prediction leans towards a home win for Birmingham City. With the odds for a Birmingham City victory standing at 1.83 on Betika, this represents a favorable opportunity for bettors. The team has been strong at home, and despite their recent loss to Sheffield United, their overall home record suggests they are capable of bouncing back effectively.

In addition to our main tip of Birmingham City to win, we also recommend considering the option that both teams will not score, given the defensive stability Birmingham has showcased at home. The odds for this market are 1.85 on Bet9ja, making it an attractive proposition for those looking to diversify their betting portfolio.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Birmingham City's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Derby County's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of Birmingham City's last 5 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of Derby County's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

X2

Birmingham City have drawn or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Derby County have won or drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI Prediction for the Match Birmingham City vs Derby County

The AI prediction for this matchup also supports the view that Birmingham City is likely to secure a victory. Analyzing the statistics, including their superior home record and Derby County’s struggles on the road, it is reasonable to forecast a home win. The expected scoreline, based on recent performances and goal statistics, could be a 2-0 victory for Birmingham City. This assessment is rooted in the observation that Birmingham has been relatively adept at managing games at home, while Derby County has been vulnerable defensively.

Birmingham City Performance Check

Birmingham City, under the guidance of coach Chris Davies, has shown glimpses of promise this season. With 8 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, their current standing in the Championship reflects a season of ups and downs. The team has been particularly strong at home, where they have secured 6 wins, which speaks volumes about their ability to perform in familiar surroundings. However, their recent loss to Sheffield United has raised questions about their consistency. Nevertheless, the home advantage could play a pivotal role in their performance against Derby County.

How is the Current Performance of Derby County

Derby County, managed by John Eustace, has encountered a challenging season, currently positioned 15th in the league. Their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats indicates a struggle to find consistency. Away from home, they have garnered 4 wins but have also experienced a fair share of setbacks, including two recent defeats. The team’s inability to convert draws into victories has hindered their progress up the table. A solid performance against Birmingham City is crucial for Derby as they look to regain momentum and confidence.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In their last five meetings across all competitions, Birmingham City has secured 2 wins, while Derby County has also claimed 2 victories, with 1 match ending in a draw. This balanced record emphasizes the competitive nature of encounters between these two teams.

Performance Last 5 Matches

In their last five matches, Birmingham City has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats. Conversely, Derby County has achieved 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats. Both teams are seeking to improve their form as they approach this crucial fixture.

Performance

Birmingham City

Last games

Birmingham City performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

80%

Over 2.5

80%

Derby County

Last games

Derby County performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

80%

Over 2.5

100%

Last Match Results Birmingham City and Derby County

Birmingham City's latest match resulted in a disappointing 0-3 defeat against Sheffield United, while Derby County managed a 1-1 draw against Portsmouth FC. These results underline the challenges both teams face as they prepare for their upcoming clash.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

When exploring the best betting sites for this match, the odds for Birmingham City to win are particularly appealing at 1.83 on Betika, while the draw is quoted at 3.60 and a Derby County victory at 4.80 on Betano. Our experience with these bookmakers suggests that they provide competitive odds, making them a reliable choice for bettors.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, Birmingham City emerges as the favorite to win this encounter against Derby County, bolstered by their strong home form and Derby's recent struggles. A predicted scoreline of 2-0 in favor of Birmingham City seems plausible given the statistical analysis and historical performance.

Here are Tomorrow's Betting Tips

As the footballing calendar continues, we encourage bettors to explore additional opportunities in upcoming matches, ensuring they stay informed and ready to make the most of their betting strategies.