Modena - Padova ai prediction 28.02.2026 Serie B

Preview for Match Modena vs Padova

On Saturday, February 28, 2026, Modena will host Padova at the Alberto Braglia Stadium for an intriguing Serie B clash on matchday 27. Modena, currently positioned 6th in the table with 43 points, aims to solidify their strong standing in the league. With a record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, they have demonstrated consistent form, particularly at home where they have secured 6 victories alongside 3 draws and 4 losses. Their goal tally stands at 35 scored and only 20 conceded, highlighting their solid defensive capabilities.

In contrast, Padova occupies the 12th spot with 30 points, showcasing a more tumultuous season characterized by 7 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats. Their away form has been less impressive, recording only 4 wins against 6 losses and 3 draws on the road. With 26 goals scored and 32 conceded, Padova's defense has struggled, making this encounter particularly challenging against a Modena side that has proven effective in front of their home crowd.

The historical context lends an additional layer of intrigue to this matchup. In the last direct meeting, Padova emerged victorious with a 2-0 win, providing them with a psychological advantage. However, the recent head-to-head record shows Modena having the upper hand with 3 wins in the last 5 encounters across all competitions, while Padova clinched 2 victories without a draw. Both teams will be keen to secure maximum points, but Modena's current form and home advantage make them the favored side in this encounter.

Our Betting Tip for Modena vs Padova

Our betting prediction for this encounter leans heavily towards a home victory for Modena, given their current form and home advantage. The odds for a Modena win (Tip 1) stand at 1.60 with Mozzart, which reflects their strong position and recent performances. Additionally, we recommend betting on the option of "Both Teams to Score - No" given Padova's struggles to find the net consistently, with odds for this market at 1.76 with Bet9ja.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Modena have drawn or lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

Padova have won or drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 5 of Modena's last 5 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Padova's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Modena's last 5 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Padova's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI Prediction for Match Modena vs Padova

In analyzing the data and statistics, our AI prediction suggests that Modena is likely to secure a comfortable victory, potentially with a scoreline around 2-0 or 3-1. The AI tip reflects Modena's stronger goal-scoring ability and their solid defensive record, while Padova's inconsistency on the road contributes to a forecast of a difficult outing for them.

Modena Performance Check

Modena, under the guidance of coach Andrea Sottil, has shown commendable performance in recent weeks. With 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five matches, they have managed to keep their momentum alive as they push for promotion. The team's ability to score consistently, combined with a sturdy defense, positions them well for this fixture. The confidence gained from their latest 2-1 away victory against Juve Stabia will undoubtedly boost their morale heading into this crucial match.

How is the Current Performance of Padova?

Padova, managed by Matteo Andreoletti, has encountered a challenging season thus far. Their current form reflects a single win alongside 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last five matches, indicating a struggle to maintain consistency. The recent 1-1 home draw against Bari exemplifies their difficulties in capitalizing on opportunities. With a defensive record that has seen them concede more than they score, Padova will need to significantly improve to compete effectively against a resurgent Modena side.

Last Direct Match

In their last direct encounter, Padova secured a decisive 2-0 victory against Modena, which may serve as a motivational factor for both teams as they prepare for this upcoming match.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In the last five meetings between Modena and Padova, Modena has recorded 3 wins, while Padova has claimed 2 victories. Notably, there have been no draws in these encounters, highlighting the competitive nature of their matchups.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Over the past five matches, Modena has emerged victorious in 3 instances, recorded 1 draw, and suffered 1 defeat, showcasing their strong form. Conversely, Padova has managed just 1 win, along with 2 draws and 2 defeats, indicating a struggling side.

Performance

Modena

Last games

Modena performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

60%

Padova

Last games

Padova performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

60%

Last Match Results Modena and Padova

Modena's last outing resulted in a 2-1 away victory against Juve Stabia, while Padova settled for a 1-1 home draw against Bari. These results further illustrate the contrasting fortunes of the two teams.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

The best odds for this match reflect Modena's status as favorites, with a home win priced at 1.60 with Mozzart. For those exploring betting options, we advise checking out our bookmaker comparison to find the best betting sites that offer competitive odds for both teams and various markets.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, Modena's current form, home advantage, and superior head-to-head record position them as clear favorites against Padova. With their solid defensive unit and efficient attack, a victory for Modena appears likely, potentially aiding them in their pursuit of promotion.

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