AC Milan - US Lecce ai prediction 18.01.2026 Serie A

Preview of the Serie A Match: AC Milan vs Lecce

As Serie A returns to action on Sunday, January 18, 2026, AC Milan will host Lecce at the iconic Giuseppe Meazza Stadium. This match, scheduled to commence at 20:45, is poised to offer an intriguing battle given both teams' current standings and aspirations. AC Milan, sitting comfortably in second place with 40 points from 11 wins, 7 draws, and just a single defeat, are on a formidable run. The Rossoneri have been particularly impressive at home, boasting a record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and only one loss. A victory in this match will be crucial for Massimiliano Allegri’s men as they seek to maintain their pursuit of the Serie A title.

Conversely, Lecce finds themselves in a precarious position, hovering just above the relegation zone in 17th place with 17 points. Under the guidance of Eusebio Di Francesco, Lecce has managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats. Their away form has been concerning, with only 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats. With survival on the line, Lecce will be desperate to claw something from this daunting fixture against a dominant AC Milan squad. The previous encounter between these two sides saw AC Milan secure a commanding 3:0 victory, further emphasizing the challenge that Lecce faces.

Our Betting Tip for AC Milan vs Lecce

Our betting prediction for this clash leans heavily towards a home win for AC Milan, given their superior form and home advantage. The Rossoneri have been in excellent shape, both defensively and offensively, which could prove too formidable for Lecce to handle. Furthermore, the odds at Betwinner of 1.34 for a Milan victory reflect the high probability of this outcome.

A secondary prediction is that both teams will not score. AC Milan's defensive solidity, having conceded only 15 goals in 19 matches, suggests they could keep a clean sheet against Lecce, who have struggled in front of goal this season. The odds at Paripesa for both teams not to score stand at 1.55, indicating a likely scenario.

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of AC Milan's last 5 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 5 of Lecce's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of AC Milan's last 5 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Lecce's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 4.5

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 5 of AC Milan's last 5 matches.

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 5 of Lecce's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

AI Prediction for AC Milan vs Lecce

Based on the data and performance analysis, the AI prediction suggests a straightforward victory for AC Milan. The predictive model forecasts a 2-0 win for the home side, considering AC Milan's robust defense and Lecce’s goal-scoring struggles. The AI forecast aligns with a 1x2 tip favoring AC Milan, highlighting their strong position in the league and recent performances.

AC Milan Performance Assessment

Under Massimiliano Allegri's astute management, AC Milan has been a formidable force this season. Their current second-place standing is a testament to their consistency and ability to secure crucial points. With 30 goals scored and only 15 conceded, Milan’s balanced approach has paid dividends. The Rossoneri are undefeated in their last five matches across all competitions, with three wins and two draws, showcasing their resilience and tactical discipline. Allegri's tactical acumen will undoubtedly be pivotal as they aim to continue their title challenge.

Current Form and Performance of Lecce

Lecce, managed by Eusebio Di Francesco, face an uphill battle as they strive to avoid relegation. Their form has been concerning, with only one point garnered from their last five matches, reflecting their struggles in both defense and attack. Lecce’s tally of 13 goals scored against 28 conceded has underscored their vulnerabilities. Di Francesco will need to galvanize his squad to produce a spirited performance to gain a much-needed result against the high-flying Milanese outfit.

Last Direct Match

The previous meeting between AC Milan and Lecce ended in a comprehensive 3:0 victory for the Rossoneri. This result highlighted the gulf in class between the two sides and set the precedent for the upcoming fixture. Milan's dominance in that match is likely to influence their approach this time around, as they aim to replicate that success.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

Recent encounters have favored AC Milan, with the Rossoneri winning all of the last five meetings against Lecce across all competitions. This unblemished record further underlines Milan’s dominance in this fixture, providing them with a psychological edge ahead of Sunday’s game.

Performance in the Last Five Matches

AC Milan's recent form has been impressive, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, showcasing their solid performances across competitions. In contrast, Lecce has struggled significantly, failing to secure a win in their last five encounters, recording only one draw amidst four defeats. This disparity in form highlights the challenges Lecce will face in this upcoming match.

Performance

AC Milan

Last games

AC Milan performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

40%

Lecce

Last games

Lecce performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

0%

Last Match Results for AC Milan and Lecce

In their most recent outing, AC Milan secured a convincing 3:1 away win against Como, further cementing their status as title contenders. Lecce, however, suffered a narrow 0:1 defeat away to Inter Milan, adding to their woes as they continue to hover near the relegation zone.

Best Odds and Our Betting Prediction

The best odds for this match are available at various betting sites, with Betwinner offering 1.34 for an AC Milan win, Mozzart providing 5.80 for a draw, and Gbets listing odds of 13.00 for a Lecce victory. For those considering the "Both teams to score" market, Mozzart offers odds of 2.50 for "Yes" and Paripesa 1.55 for "No." Given AC Milan's superior form and home advantage, a home win appears the most likely outcome. For further betting insights, check our bookmaker comparison for the best betting sites in Africa.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, AC Milan enters this match as the clear favorites, given their excellent form and home advantage. Lecce will need to produce a remarkable performance to disrupt Milan's momentum. A victory for the Rossoneri seems probable, potentially enhancing their title aspirations while deepening Lecce’s relegation concerns.

Finally, we would also like to give you a hint about the betting tips for tomorrow. Here are the best football tips for tomorrow. Are you looking for a new and reliable bookmaker? Then register a new betting account and get the Paripesa bonus as a welcome gift.