AC Milan - Sport Lisboa e Benfica ai prediction 16.09.2026 Europa League

Preview of the Europa League Clash: AC Milan vs SL Benfica

On the evening of Wednesday, 16th September 2026, football enthusiasts will be treated to an electrifying encounter between AC Milan and SL Benfica at the iconic Giuseppe Meazza Stadium. This match, part of the Europa League's Ligaphase, is the first leg and promises to be a thrilling spectacle between two of Europe's storied clubs. Despite both teams having had a challenging group stage with zero points accumulated, the stakes remain high as they aim to progress further in the tournament.

Under the guidance of Rúben Amorim, AC Milan is eager to leverage their home advantage to secure a victory. Meanwhile, Marco Silva's SL Benfica is riding high on a wave of recent successes in other competitions, looking to extend their winning streak. The anticipation surrounding this fixture is palpable, given the history and the current form of both teams. Although past performances in this competition have been underwhelming for both sides, their domestic form tells a different story, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup.

Our Betting Tip for AC Milan vs SL Benfica

Our betting prediction suggests a home win for AC Milan. The Italian giants have shown resilience in their recent matches and, with the support of their fans at the Giuseppe Meazza, are well-placed to capitalize on their home advantage. Furthermore, our second tip is that both teams will score. Given the attacking prowess displayed by both sides in their recent fixtures, it seems likely that the match will see goals from both teams.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 3.5

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 1 of AC Milan's last 4 matches.

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 4 of SL Benfica's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

X2

AC Milan have drawn or lost 2 of their last 4 matches.

SL Benfica have won or drawn 6 of their last 6 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 2 of AC Milan's last 4 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of SL Benfica's last 6 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI Prediction for AC Milan vs SL Benfica

Based on current statistics and form, the AI betting tip leans towards a narrow victory for AC Milan. Although SL Benfica has been in excellent form, their previous away performance in the Europa League was less convincing. AC Milan, playing at home, has a slight edge and is expected to secure a win, albeit in a closely contested match.

AC Milan: In Pursuit of European Glory

AC Milan is navigating a promising phase under the leadership of Rúben Amorim. Despite their struggles in the Europa League group stage, their overall form has been commendable. With three wins and two draws in their last five matches across all competitions, Milan has demonstrated both resilience and the capability to dominate matches. Amorim's tactical acumen has been pivotal in Milan's performances, and he will undoubtedly be looking to guide his team to a crucial victory in this fixture.

SL Benfica: Riding High on Recent Success

SL Benfica, under the stewardship of Marco Silva, has been a force to reckon with in recent weeks. The Portuguese giants have secured five consecutive wins in all competitions, showcasing their attacking flair and defensive solidity. Although they are yet to secure a win in this season's Europa League, their current form suggests they are more than capable of posing significant challenges to AC Milan. Silva's strategic approach will be crucial as they seek to extend their winning run.

Last Direct Match

The last encounter between these two sides saw SL Benfica clinch a narrow 1-0 victory away from home. This result adds a psychological edge to Benfica as they know they are capable of getting a result at the Giuseppe Meazza.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In their last three encounters across all competitions, both teams have registered one win each, with one match ending in a draw. This even record sets the stage for another highly competitive match between the two clubs.

Performance in the Last Five Matches

AC Milan has managed three wins and two draws in their last five outings, indicating a strong run of form. SL Benfica, on the other hand, boasts an impeccable record with five consecutive victories. Both teams have been in excellent form, which promises an enthralling contest.

Performance

AC Milan

Last games

AC Milan performance of the last 3 home matches

Victories

33%

Over 2.5

66%

SL Benfica

Last games

SL Benfica performance of the last 7 away matches

Victories

71%

Over 2.5

85%

Last Match Results for AC Milan and SL Benfica

In their latest fixtures, AC Milan played out a 2-2 draw against Lazio, showcasing their attacking capabilities. SL Benfica, meanwhile, delivered an emphatic 4-0 victory against Moreirense FC, underlining their formidable form.

Best Odds and Our Betting Prediction

For this match, the best odds for a home win are offered at Mozzart with an odd of 2.20. A draw is priced at 3.63 at Betwinner, while an away win for SL Benfica is available at 3.48, also at Betwinner. Our betting tip favors a home win for AC Milan due to their strong home form and the support of their passionate fans. Additionally, we predict that both teams will score in this exciting clash. For more insights into betting, explore our comprehensive bookmaker comparisons to find the best betting sites.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, while both teams have shown impressive form in recent times, AC Milan's home advantage and tactical prowess under Rúben Amorim make them slight favorites in this contest. However, SL Benfica's recent winning streak cannot be overlooked, promising a thrilling encounter. Ultimately, AC Milan is expected to edge out a victory, with goals likely from both sides.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow!