AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City ai prediction 29.12.2025 League One

Preview for Match AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City

On December 29, 2025, AFC Wimbledon will host Exeter City at New Plough Lane for a crucial League One clash as part of Matchday 23. Both teams are positioned in the lower half of the table, with AFC Wimbledon currently sitting 13th, collecting 27 points from 20 matches. The Dons have recorded 8 victories, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, with a goal tally of 24 scored and 29 conceded. Conversely, Exeter City finds itself languishing in 20th place with just 23 points, having secured 7 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, resulting in a narrow goal difference of 21 goals scored and 20 conceded.

The historical context of this matchup adds another layer of intrigue. In their last direct meeting, Exeter City emerged victorious with a 1-0 win at home. However, in the last five encounters across all competitions, AFC Wimbledon has shown superiority with three wins compared to Exeter's two, highlighting a competitive rivalry.

Both teams are coming off mixed results in their recent outings. AFC Wimbledon managed a goalless draw against Stevenage FC in their last match, showcasing defensive resilience but struggling to find the net. In contrast, Exeter City faced a disappointing 1-0 defeat against Cardiff City, indicating a lack of form and confidence in their attacking capabilities.

As the two sides prepare to clash, the stakes are undeniably high, particularly for Exeter City, who will look to climb out of the relegation zone. With both teams needing points for different reasons, fans can expect a fiercely contested match at New Plough Lane.

Our Betting Tip for AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City

Our betting prediction for this encounter leans towards a home win for AFC Wimbledon, with the odds for this outcome currently at 2.35 with Betano. The home side has shown resilience at New Plough Lane, securing 4 wins on their turf this season. Given Exeter City's struggles away from home, where they have only managed two wins and suffered eight defeats, it seems prudent to back the Dons to claim all three points.

Additionally, our second tip revolves around the likelihood of both teams scoring. Given the defensive frailties displayed by both sides recently, particularly Exeter City's inability to find the net against Cardiff City, we suggest that a wager on "Both Teams to Score: No" could also prove beneficial, with odds available at 1.87 with Betano.

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 1.5

There have been under 1.5 goals scored in 3 of AFC Wimbledon's last 4 matches.

There have been under 1.5 goals scored in 2 of Exeter City's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 1 of AFC Wimbledon's last 4 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Exeter City's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

X2

AFC Wimbledon have drawn or lost 4 of their last 4 matches.

Exeter City have won or drawn 3 of their last 6 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI Prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City

In analyzing the statistics and current form, AI predicts a home victory for AFC Wimbledon. With their superior position in the table and recent home performances, a 1-0 scoreline in favor of the Dons seems plausible. This forecast is further supported by Exeter City's ongoing struggles, particularly in away fixtures, where they have failed to secure points consistently.

AFC Wimbledon Performance Check

Under the management of Johnnie Jackson, AFC Wimbledon has shown glimpses of potential this season, particularly at home. With 8 wins to their name, the Dons have displayed the capability to challenge teams on their day. However, inconsistency has plagued their campaign, as seen in their last five matches, where they recorded just one win alongside two draws and two defeats. Nonetheless, their last match—a goalless draw—exhibited defensive solidity, which could serve as a foundation going into this crucial match.

How is the Current Performance of Exeter City

Exeter City, managed by Gary Caldwell, has been enduring a tumultuous season, currently positioned precariously near the relegation zone. With only 23 points from 20 matches, their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 11 defeats illustrates a concerning trend. The Grecians have particularly struggled on the road, with 8 defeats in their away fixtures, which raises questions about their ability to compete under pressure. In their last five matches, they have managed three victories, but their performance against Cardiff City indicates persistent issues in converting chances into goals.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

The last direct meeting between these two sides concluded with a narrow 1-0 victory for Exeter City. However, examining the last five meetings reveals a competitive edge for AFC Wimbledon, who have won three of these encounters, while Exeter has claimed victory in two. This historical context adds an interesting dynamic to their upcoming match.

Performance Last 5 Matches

In their last five matches, AFC Wimbledon has managed one win, two draws, and two defeats, indicating a mixed bag of results. On the other hand, Exeter City has performed slightly better with three wins, no draws, and two defeats, although their recent loss against Cardiff City dampens their momentum.

Performance

AFC Wimbledon

Last games

AFC Wimbledon performance of the last 3 home matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

33%

Exeter City

Last games

Exeter City performance of the last 7 away matches

Victories

28%

Over 2.5

42%

Last Match Results

AFC Wimbledon faced Stevenage FC in their last outing, resulting in a goalless draw, while Exeter City suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat against Cardiff City. These results further underline the challenges both teams face as they prepare for their upcoming clash.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

As for the best odds, AFC Wimbledon to win is currently offered at 2.35 by Betano, while the option of a draw is available at 3.25 with Betika, and an Exeter City win is priced at 3.15 with Bet9ja. Based on our experience with the best betting sites, AFC Wimbledon appears to be the favored side for this match, making them the prime candidate for a betting wager.

Conclusion

In conclusion, AFC Wimbledon emerges as the favored side heading into this fixture, bolstered by their home advantage and historical performance against Exeter City. The combination of their need for points and Exeter's struggles away from home suggests that a victory for the Dons is the most likely outcome. Therefore, backing AFC Wimbledon to win appears to be the most prudent betting strategy.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow as the League One action continues, providing more opportunities for astute punters to capitalize on the dynamics of the competition.