Ajax Amsterdam - SBV Excelsior ai prediction 19.09.2026 Eredivisie

Preview for match Ajax Amsterdam vs SBV Excelsior

On Saturday, September 19, 2026, Ajax Amsterdam will host SBV Excelsior at the iconic Johan Cruijff ArenA in a match that promises to be both thrilling and critical for both teams in the Eredivisie. This clash marks Matchday 7 of the season, with Ajax currently sitting in fourth place on the league table with 13 points, while Excelsior occupies the sixth position with 10 points. Ajax has recorded four victories, one draw, and one defeat, showcasing a strong offensive presence with 19 goals scored against just 7 conceded. However, their home record is mixed, featuring one victory, one draw, and one loss.

In contrast, SBV Excelsior arrives at this fixture with a commendable away record, having achieved two wins and one draw in their travels, without suffering a defeat. Their overall performance includes three wins, one draw, and two losses, with a goal tally of 13 scored and 7 conceded. This context sets the stage for an intriguing encounter, especially considering the historical results between these two sides. The last direct meeting ended in a 2-2 draw, indicating that Excelsior can challenge Ajax effectively.

With both teams eager to secure points, this match will be crucial for establishing momentum as the season progresses. Ajax will aim to leverage their home advantage and reclaim their dominance, while Excelsior is poised to disrupt their plans and capitalize on any defensive lapses.

Our betting tip for the match Ajax Amsterdam vs SBV Excelsior

Our primary betting tip for this encounter is a home win for Ajax Amsterdam (Tip 1). Given their strong offensive capabilities and the home advantage at Johan Cruijff ArenA, it is reasonable to anticipate that Ajax will secure all three points in this fixture. Additionally, we suggest a secondary bet on both teams scoring (Yes). Given the attacking prowess of both teams and their recent performances, it is likely that Excelsior will find the back of the net at least once.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Ajax Amsterdam's last 6 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of SBV Excelsior's last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 3.5

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 6 of Ajax Amsterdam's last 6 matches.

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 1 of SBV Excelsior's last 4 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

12

Ajax Amsterdam have won or lost 6 of their last 6 matches.

SBV Excelsior have won or lost 3 of their last 4 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI prediction for the match Ajax Amsterdam vs SBV Excelsior

In light of the statistical data and team form, the AI prediction for this match leans towards a victory for Ajax Amsterdam, possibly with a scoreline of 3-1. Ajax’s ability to score multiple goals at home, combined with their defensive solidity, positions them as the favorites. Conversely, SBV Excelsior's recent form suggests they are capable of scoring, making a final score of 3-1 a plausible outcome.

Ajax Amsterdam performance check

Ajax Amsterdam, under the guidance of coach Míchel, has been performing well overall this season, boasting four victories in their last five matches. Their offensive strength is underscored by a tally of 19 goals, while their defensive organization has led to only 7 goals conceded. Despite their mixed home record, Ajax remains a formidable force, and they will be eager to convert their home advantage into a decisive victory against SBV Excelsior.

How is the current performance of SBV Excelsior

SBV Excelsior, managed by Ruben den Uil, has shown resilience this season, with a solid performance yielding three wins and only two losses. They have demonstrated an effective attacking strategy, scoring 13 goals, while their defense has allowed 7 goals. Their away record is particularly impressive, with two wins and a draw, providing them with the confidence to challenge Ajax on their home turf. However, following a disappointing home loss against FC Utrecht, they will aim to bounce back in this crucial encounter.

Last direct match

The last direct encounter between Ajax Amsterdam and SBV Excelsior ended in a 2-2 draw, illustrating the competitive nature of these fixtures. Both teams displayed their attacking talents, and the result reflects the potential for excitement in their upcoming clash.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

In the last five meetings across all competitions, Ajax Amsterdam has secured one victory, while SBV Excelsior has claimed one win, alongside three draws. This history establishes a balanced rivalry, indicating that while Ajax may dominate the league, Excelsior has the capacity to challenge them effectively.

Performance last 5 matches

In their last five matches, Ajax Amsterdam has enjoyed a strong run, with four victories and one defeat, demonstrating their capacity to maintain form. Conversely, SBV Excelsior has recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, indicating a somewhat inconsistent performance recently.

Performance

Ajax Amsterdam

Last games

Ajax Amsterdam performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

100%

SBV Excelsior

Last games

SBV Excelsior performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

80%

Over 2.5

80%

Last match results Ajax Amsterdam and SBV Excelsior

Ajax's most recent match resulted in a comprehensive 5-1 home victory against Willem II, a performance that will undoubtedly bolster their confidence heading into this fixture. On the other hand, SBV Excelsior faced a setback with a 1-2 home loss to FC Utrecht, which they will be eager to rectify in the upcoming match.

Best odds and our betting tip

When considering the best betting sites, the odds are favorable for a home win for Ajax Amsterdam at 1.28 with Betano. For a draw, Betwinner offers odds of 6.86, while a win for SBV Excelsior can be found at 10.00 with Mozzart. Our betting tip remains a home win for Ajax Amsterdam, alongside the prediction that both teams will score. We recommend exploring these odds through reliable betting platforms to maximize your betting experience.

Conclusion on the match

In conclusion, Ajax Amsterdam is positioned as the clear favorite to secure a win against SBV Excelsior, bolstered by their strong home form and attacking capabilities. Although both teams possess the potential to score, Ajax’s overall quality and recent performances suggest they will emerge victorious in this encounter. As such, placing a bet on a home win alongside a wager on both teams to score appears to be a prudent strategy.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow, ensuring you stay informed and ready for the next round of exciting fixtures.