AS Roma - US Sassuolo Calcio ai prediction 07.11.2026 Serie A

Preview for match AS Roma vs Sassuolo Calcio

AS Roma host Sassuolo Calcio at the Stadio Olimpico on Saturday, 7 November 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:45. The Serie A fixture is part of Matchday 11 and brings together two sides whose campaigns have begun in markedly different ways. Roma are third in the table with 24 points, having won seven and drawn three of their opening ten matches without suffering a defeat. Sassuolo, by contrast, sit 17th on eight points after two wins, two draws and six losses. The contrast is also evident in their goal records: Roma have scored 28 and conceded 10, while Sassuolo have scored 16 and let in 26.

The home side’s record at the Olimpico strengthens their position as favourites. Roma have won four of their five home league matches and drawn the other, remaining unbeaten on their own ground. Sassuolo have found away fixtures much harder, with no wins, one draw and four defeats from five trips. Those figures suggest that Roma should be able to dictate much of the contest, although Sassuolo’s attacking output means the visitors cannot be dismissed as a threat.

Recent form offers further context. Roma have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five matches in all competitions. Sassuolo have gone through a more difficult stretch, with no wins, one draw and four defeats in the same period. Roma’s last meeting with Sassuolo ended in a 2–0 home victory, and the broader head-to-head record also favours the capital club. Nevertheless, their latest results leave both teams with questions to answer: Roma lost 3–2 away to Manchester United, while Sassuolo were beaten 4–2 at home by Fiorentina. With Gian Piero Gasperini’s unbeaten league side facing Alberto Aquilani’s struggling visitors, the match presents a clear favourite but still has potential for goals at both ends.

Our betting tip for AS Roma vs Sassuolo Calcio

Our betting prediction is a home win for AS Roma, or Tip 1 in the 1X2 market. Roma’s unbeaten start, strong home record and superior defensive figures provide a solid statistical basis for backing them. They have taken 13 points from their five home league fixtures, while Sassuolo are still searching for their first away victory. Roma’s four wins in the last five direct meetings add further support to the selection.

Our second tip is Both teams to score: Yes. Roma have conceded only 10 goals in the league, but Sassuolo have scored 16 despite their difficult start and have shown they can contribute offensively. The visitors’ defensive record makes them vulnerable, yet their attacking numbers and Roma’s recent 3–2 defeat suggest that a goal for Sassuolo is a reasonable possibility. These selections are predictions rather than guarantees, and match circumstances can always affect the outcome.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 5.5

There have been over 5.5 goals scored in 3 of AS Roma's last 6 matches.

There have been over 5.5 goals scored in 3 of Sassuolo Calcio's last 4 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 4.5

There have been over 4.5 goals scored in 4 of AS Roma's last 6 matches.

There have been over 4.5 goals scored in 3 of Sassuolo Calcio's last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 3.5

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 5 of AS Roma's last 6 matches.

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Sassuolo Calcio's last 4 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI prediction for AS Roma vs Sassuolo Calcio

The AI forecast favours AS Roma to win, based on their third-place standing, unbeaten league record and four home victories from five matches. Sassuolo’s 17th-place position and record of four defeats in five away games point to a difficult evening at the Olimpico. The AI tip for the 1X2 market is Tip 1: AS Roma to win.

For a correct-score selection, the AI prediction is AS Roma 2–1 Sassuolo Calcio. This scoreline reflects Roma’s stronger overall performance and Sassuolo’s defensive difficulties, while allowing for the possibility that the visitors find the net. It is a data-informed forecast, not a certainty.

AS Roma performance check

AS Roma have made an impressive start to their Serie A campaign under coach Gian Piero Gasperini. Their return of 24 points from ten matches places them third, and the team remains unbeaten with seven wins and three draws. The 28 goals scored indicate a productive attack, while just 10 conceded demonstrate a comparatively reliable defence. That balance has helped Roma build a strong position early in the season.

At home, Roma have been particularly dependable. Four victories and one draw from five league matches at the Olimpico give them a platform to control this fixture, especially against a team that has struggled on the road. Their recent five-match record across all competitions—three wins, one draw and one defeat—is generally positive, although the latest loss to Manchester United will be a reminder that defensive concentration remains important.

How is the current performance of Sassuolo Calcio?

Sassuolo are 17th with eight points after ten league matches, a return that leaves them close to the lower end of the table. Coach Alberto Aquilani will be looking for a response after a run of two wins, two draws and six defeats. The side has scored 16 goals, so there is evidence of attacking potential, but 26 conceded underline the defensive problems that have contributed to their position.

Their away form is a particular concern ahead of this match. Sassuolo have drawn once and lost four times in five away league fixtures, without recording a win. They have also managed no victories in their last five matches in all competitions, drawing once and losing four. A trip to an unbeaten Roma side is therefore a demanding test, and Sassuolo may need to be more compact without the ball while making the most of any opportunities in transition.

Last direct match

The most recent meeting between these clubs finished 2–0 to AS Roma, with the capital side winning at home. That result is consistent with Roma’s broader advantage in this matchup and offers a useful reference point for the upcoming game. Sassuolo will hope to make the contest more competitive this time, but they must find a way to contain Roma’s attack while improving on their recent defensive displays.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

Across the last five meetings in all competitions, Roma have recorded four wins, while Sassuolo have won once. There have been no draws in that sequence. The record points to a clear historical edge for Roma, although past results alone cannot determine what will happen on Saturday. Sassuolo’s single victory shows that they have been capable of troubling their opponents, but the overall pattern favours the hosts.

Performance in the last five matches

Roma’s last five matches in all competitions have produced three wins, one draw and one defeat. That run reflects a side with a generally positive level of performance, even if the latest result was a loss. Sassuolo’s form has been less encouraging: they have drawn once and lost four times, with no wins in their last five. The difference in recent results supports the case for Roma, while also highlighting the importance of Sassuolo finding a more stable defensive approach.

Performance

AS Roma

Last games

AS Roma performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

66%

Over 2.5

83%

Sassuolo Calcio

Last games

Sassuolo Calcio performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

75%

Last match results

Roma’s most recent match ended in a 3–2 away defeat to Manchester United. Despite scoring twice, they were unable to prevent their opponents from finding the net three times. Sassuolo’s latest outing was a 4–2 home loss against Fiorentina. Both sides therefore come into this fixture after conceding multiple goals, a detail that adds some weight to the possibility of scoring chances at both ends.

Best odds and betting markets

The listed best odds for the 1X2 market are 1.35 for an AS Roma win at Betwinner, 6.20 for a draw at Betika and 10.50 for a Sassuolo win at Mozzart. For the both-teams-to-score market, Yes is available at 1.67 with Gbets, while No is priced at 2.35 with Bet9ja. Odds can change, and availability may vary by location and bookmaker, so check the current terms before placing a wager.

Roma’s short home-win price reflects the difference in league position, recent results and home-away records. The BTTS Yes price is also worth considering for bettors who expect Sassuolo to contribute despite their poor run. Our experience comparing betting sites is that prices and market options can differ significantly, so it is sensible to compare the best betting sites before making a decision. You can find the best betting sites in Africa and other regions through a bookmaker comparison, while always betting responsibly.

Conclusion and final prediction

AS Roma enter this Matchday 11 fixture with a substantial advantage in form and home performance. They are unbeaten in the league, have scored more than twice as many goals as Sassuolo, and have conceded considerably fewer. Their record at the Olimpico contrasts sharply with Sassuolo’s away results, while the head-to-head history also points towards the hosts. These factors make Roma the logical favourites to take all three points.

Sassuolo’s attacking return suggests that they may still create a scoring opportunity, particularly if Roma are not fully secure after their recent defeat. However, the visitors’ defensive record and current run of results make an upset difficult to justify. The recommended main selection is AS Roma to win (Tip 1), with Both teams to score: Yes as the secondary tip. A 2–1 home victory is a plausible outcome, though bettors should treat any prediction as uncertain.

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