Aston Villa - Leeds United ai prediction 21.02.2026 Premier League

Preview for the Premier League Clash: Aston Villa vs Leeds United

As the Premier League season intensifies, Aston Villa is set to host Leeds United at Villa Park on Saturday, 21st February 2026, at 16:00. This encounter, part of matchday 27, promises to be an intriguing contest between two sides with contrasting fortunes this season. Currently, Aston Villa sits comfortably in the upper echelons of the league table, occupying the 3rd position with 50 points. Under the experienced guidance of Unai Emery, Villa has notched up 15 wins, complemented by 5 draws and 6 defeats, scoring 37 goals while conceding 27. Their formidable home record, boasting 9 victories, 1 draw, and 3 losses, makes them a daunting prospect for any visiting team.

Conversely, Leeds United finds themselves at the opposite end of the table, languishing in 15th position with 30 points. Under the stewardship of Daniel Farke, Leeds has secured 7 wins, drawn 9 times, and suffered 10 defeats, with a goal tally of 36 scored and 45 conceded. Their away form has been a particular cause for concern, with just a solitary win, 5 draws, and 7 defeats. Leeds will be keen to improve on this record as they head to Birmingham, hoping to upset the odds against a strong Villa side.

The last encounter between these two teams saw Aston Villa emerge victorious with a 2-1 win at Elland Road. Historically, Villa has had the upper hand, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings, with the remaining match ending in a draw. Both teams come into this fixture on the back of contrasting results; Villa suffered a 1-3 home defeat to Newcastle United, while Leeds edged past Birmingham City in a dramatic penalty shootout after a 1-1 draw, both in regular and extra time.

Our Betting Tip for Aston Villa vs Leeds United

Our betting prediction for this match leans towards a home win for Aston Villa. Their strong home form and superior position in the league table give them the edge against a Leeds side struggling on their travels. Additionally, considering both teams' recent scoring records, our secondary prediction is that both teams will find the back of the net.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 3.5

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 2 of Aston Villa's last 5 matches.

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Leeds United's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

X2

Aston Villa have drawn or lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Leeds United have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Aston Villa's last 5 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Leeds United's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI Prediction for the Match: Aston Villa vs Leeds United

Based on data, statistics, and current form, the AI prediction suggests a 2-1 victory for Aston Villa. The AI tip considers Villa's impressive home record and their head-to-head dominance over Leeds. The forecast also anticipates a keenly contested match with both teams scoring, given their recent goal-scoring patterns.

Aston Villa Performance Check

Aston Villa, managed by Unai Emery, has enjoyed a successful campaign so far, currently sitting in 3rd place. With 15 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, Villa has been a consistent performer in the league. Their home form has been particularly impressive, with 9 wins out of 13 matches at Villa Park. Despite a recent setback against Newcastle, Villa remains a formidable force, especially at home, and will be looking to consolidate their top-four position with a victory over Leeds.

How is the Current Performance of Leeds United?

Under Daniel Farke, Leeds United has struggled to find consistency, reflected in their 15th position in the standings. With only 7 wins this season and a poor away record comprising just 1 win, Leeds faces a daunting task against Aston Villa. However, their recent performances, including a hard-fought penalty shootout win against Birmingham, suggest they have the resilience to challenge stronger opponents. Leeds will need to shore up their defense and capitalize on any opportunities to improve their league standing.

Last Direct Match

The last direct encounter between Aston Villa and Leeds United ended in favor of Villa, who secured a 2-1 victory away from home. This win added to Villa's dominance over Leeds in recent years, further boosting their confidence heading into this fixture.

Head-to-head Last Direct Meetings

In the last five meetings between these sides across all competitions, Aston Villa has emerged victorious on four occasions, with the other match ending in a draw. Leeds United will be eager to break this winless streak and turn the tide in their favor.

Performance Last 5 Matches

In their last five matches across all competitions, Aston Villa has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, showcasing a mixed run of form. Leeds United, on the other hand, has secured 2 wins, 2 draws, and suffered 1 defeat, indicating a slightly better recent performance.

Performance

Aston Villa

Last games

Aston Villa performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

40%

Leeds United

Last games

Leeds United performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

60%

Last Match Results: Aston Villa and Leeds United

Aston Villa's last outing resulted in a 1-3 home defeat to Newcastle United, highlighting some defensive vulnerabilities. Leeds United, meanwhile, triumphed over Birmingham City in a penalty shootout after a 1-1 draw, demonstrating their competitive spirit and ability to handle pressure situations.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

For those looking to place a bet on this match, Aston Villa is favored to win with odds of 1.88 at Betwinner. A draw is priced at 3.80, while a Leeds United victory stands at 4.57. Given Villa's strong home form and past record against Leeds, a home win is a solid betting tip. Additionally, with both teams capable of scoring, betting on both teams to score at odds of 1.83 from Mozzart could also be a worthwhile wager. Be sure to explore the best betting sites for competitive odds and offers.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Aston Villa enters this fixture as the clear favorite, driven by their impressive home performances and superior league standing. While Leeds United will strive to defy the odds, the combination of Villa's attacking prowess and solid defense should see them secure a crucial victory.

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