AZ Alkmaar - SBV Excelsior ai prediction 21.01.2026 Eredivisie

Preview for match AZ Alkmaar vs SBV Excelsior

As the Eredivisie continues to unfold, the upcoming clash between AZ Alkmaar and SBV Excelsior promises to be a captivating encounter. Scheduled for January 21, 2026, at 18:45 in the AFAS Stadion, this match represents a critical juncture for both teams as they strive to enhance their standings in the league. Currently, AZ Alkmaar occupies the 8th position in the table with 28 points, while SBV Excelsior finds itself languishing in 14th position with 20 points.

Historically, AZ Alkmaar has been a dominant force against Excelsior, which adds a layer of intrigue to this matchup. Their last direct meeting concluded in a resounding 8:0 victory for AZ, showcasing their attacking prowess. Furthermore, in the last five encounters across all competitions, AZ has secured four wins and one draw, leaving Excelsior without a single victory. This historical context sets the stage for what many fans and analysts anticipate to be another compelling display of football from the home side.

In terms of form, AZ Alkmaar has experienced a mixed bag in their recent outings, recording two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five matches. Their most recent performance, a 3:1 loss against PEC Zwolle, has raised questions about their consistency. Conversely, SBV Excelsior has also struggled, matching AZ's recent form with two wins, one draw, and two defeats, but they managed to earn a commendable 2:2 draw against Telstar in their latest encounter. The contrasting trajectories of both teams will undoubtedly influence the match dynamics, as AZ seeks to leverage their home advantage while Excelsior aims to defy the odds.

Our betting tip for the match AZ Alkmaar vs SBV Excelsior

Our betting prediction for this encounter leans strongly towards a home win for AZ Alkmaar, given their superior league position and historical dominance over SBV Excelsior. The odds for a home victory are currently favourable at 1.33 provided by Betika, making this an enticing option for punters. Additionally, we also recommend considering the possibility of both teams scoring during the match, with odds of 1.70 available at Gbets. This could be a prudent choice, as both teams have exhibited a tendency to concede goals despite their attacking capabilities.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

AZ Alkmaar have drawn or lost 4 of their last 7 matches.

SBV Excelsior have won or drawn 2 of their last 3 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 3.5

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 4 of AZ Alkmaar's last 7 matches.

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 2 of SBV Excelsior's last 3 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of AZ Alkmaar's last 7 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of SBV Excelsior's last 3 matches.

Top odds at bet365

AI prediction for the match AZ Alkmaar vs SBV Excelsior

Based on statistical analysis and recent performance metrics, the AI predicts that AZ Alkmaar will secure a victory over SBV Excelsior. The forecast suggests a probable scoreline of 3:1 in favour of AZ, taking into account their attacking strength and Excelsior's defensive vulnerabilities. The AI betting tip indicates that while AZ is expected to dominate possession and create numerous goal-scoring opportunities, Excelsior may find the back of the net at least once, given their offensive capabilities.

AZ Alkmaar performance check

AZ Alkmaar's current performance reflects a team grappling with inconsistency. Under the stewardship of manager Leeroy Echteld, they have achieved a record of eight wins, four draws, and six losses this season. Their offensive prowess is evident, as they have scored 33 goals, though their defensive record, allowing 31 goals, raises concerns. Notably, their home record stands at four wins, three draws, and one defeat, indicating a strong showing at the AFAS Stadion. However, the recent loss to PEC Zwolle has highlighted the need for improvement in both defensive organization and match mentality.

How is the current performance of SBV Excelsior

SBV Excelsior, managed by Ruben den Uil, is currently facing challenges that have contributed to their lower table standing. With a record of six wins, two draws, and ten defeats this season, they have struggled to maintain consistency. Having scored 19 goals while conceding 34, their defensive frailties are evident, particularly in away matches where they have only secured two wins against five losses. Their recent 2:2 draw against Telstar, however, may provide a glimmer of hope as they seek to build momentum in this crucial fixture.

Last direct match

The last direct match between AZ Alkmaar and SBV Excelsior was nothing short of spectacular, culminating in an 8:0 victory for AZ Alkmaar. This emphatic win underscores the disparity in quality between the two sides and sets a psychological precedent for the upcoming fixture.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

In their last five encounters, AZ Alkmaar has recorded four wins and one draw, while SBV Excelsior has yet to claim a victory. This historical dominance adds further pressure on Excelsior as they prepare to face AZ once again.

Performance last 5 matches

In their last five matches, AZ Alkmaar has secured two wins, experienced one draw, and suffered two defeats. In contrast, SBV Excelsior has achieved two wins, one draw, and two defeats. Both teams seem to be in a period of fluctuating performance, making the upcoming match even more unpredictable.

Performance

AZ Alkmaar

Last games

AZ Alkmaar performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

50%

SBV Excelsior

Last games

SBV Excelsior performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

25%

Over 2.5

100%

Last match results AZ Alkmaar and SBV Excelsior

AZ Alkmaar's most recent match resulted in a disappointing 3:1 loss to PEC Zwolle. Meanwhile, SBV Excelsior managed to hold Telstar to a 2:2 draw, which may serve as a motivational boost heading into their encounter with AZ.

Best odds and our betting tip

The best odds for a home win stand at 1.33 with Betika, while a draw is priced at 6.00 with Gbets, and an away win for Excelsior is offered at 9.20 by Betwinner. Our experience with various betting sites suggests that these odds reflect a sensible assessment of the match dynamics. For those interested, a comprehensive comparison of the best betting sites can be found in our bookmaker reviews.

Conclusion on the match

In conclusion, the match between AZ Alkmaar and SBV Excelsior is positioned to be a significant event in the Eredivisie calendar. With AZ's historical dominance and home advantage, they are favoured to emerge victorious. However, considering the unpredictability of football, the potential for both teams to score remains a viable consideration for bettors.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow, as we continue to explore exciting matchups in the world of football.