Bahia - BA - Mirassol - SP ai prediction 11.10.2026 Série A

Preview for match Bahia - BA vs Mirassol - SP

The upcoming Série A clash between Bahia and Mirassol, scheduled for Sunday, October 11, 2026, at 23:30, promises to be an enthralling encounter. Both teams have had contrasting fortunes this season, with Bahia currently positioned sixth in the league table, boasting 46 points from 29 matches. Their record includes 12 victories, 10 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal tally of 43 scored and 36 conceded. The match will be played at the iconic Fonte Nova Stadium, a venue known for its electric atmosphere and passionate supporters.

Bahia's home form has been commendable, with 6 wins, 6 draws, and only 2 defeats in their own backyard. This solid performance at home is likely to bolster their confidence as they face a Mirassol side struggling in the lower half of the table. Mirassol, currently 15th with 33 points, has recorded 8 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses this season, with a goal difference of 34 scored and 43 conceded. Their away record is particularly concerning, having managed just 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses on the road.

Historically, Bahia has had the upper hand in recent encounters, including their last meeting where they secured a 2-1 victory away from home. With both teams eager to secure crucial points, this fixture offers a compelling narrative as Bahia aims to solidify their position in the top half of the table, while Mirassol seeks to escape the relegation battle.

Our betting tip for the match Bahia - BA vs Mirassol - SP

Our betting prediction for this encounter leans heavily towards a home victory for Bahia. The home team has shown resilience and a strong offensive display at the Fonte Nova Stadium, making them the favorites to secure all three points. The odds for a Bahia win are currently at 1.74 with Bet9ja, which presents a favorable return for punters looking to back the home side.

In addition to our primary tip, we also predict that both teams will find the back of the net during the match. Given Mirassol's fighting spirit and Bahia's attacking prowess, the likelihood of both teams scoring is supported by the odds of 1.67 available at Gbets.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Bahia - BA have drawn or lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

Mirassol - SP have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Bahia - BA's last 5 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of Mirassol - SP's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Bet9ja

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Bahia - BA's last 5 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Mirassol - SP's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

AI prediction for the match Bahia - BA vs Mirassol - SP

AI analysis suggests that Bahia is likely to emerge victorious in this match, with the probability of a home win being high based on their current form and past performances. A predicted scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Bahia could be a realistic outcome, considering the attacking capabilities of both teams and their recent encounters. The AI betting tip reinforces the expectation of a competitive match, with both teams potentially scoring, given their offensive strategies.

Bahia - BA performance check

Under the guidance of manager Rogério Ceni, Bahia has displayed commendable form throughout the season. With three wins in their last five matches, they have demonstrated resilience and an ability to capitalize on home advantage. Despite a recent setback against Palmeiras, where they suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat, Bahia remains a formidable opponent, especially on home soil. Their balanced attack and solid defense contribute to their standing in the upper half of the table, making them one of the teams to watch as the season progresses.

How is the current performance of Mirassol - SP

Managed by Rafael Guanaes, Mirassol's recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five outings. Their ability to secure points in recent matches has been a positive sign, especially after a 1-1 draw against Bragantino. However, the team struggles on the road, which is a significant concern as they prepare to face a strong Bahia side. With only two away victories this season, Mirassol must improve their performance if they hope to escape the relegation zone.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

In their last three encounters across all competitions, the teams have shared the spoils fairly evenly. Bahia has managed one victory, while Mirassol has also claimed one win, with one match ending in a draw. This parity adds an intriguing layer to their rivalry and sets the stage for what could be a fiercely contested match.

Performance last 5 matches

In their last five fixtures, Bahia has recorded three wins and two losses, showcasing a commendable ability to secure points but also indicating room for improvement. In contrast, Mirassol has fared slightly better, with two wins, two draws, and one defeat, reflecting their resilience in recent outings.

Performance

Bahia - BA

Last games

Bahia - BA performance of the last 3 home matches

Victories

66%

Over 2.5

66%

Mirassol - SP

Last games

Mirassol - SP performance of the last 7 away matches

Victories

14%

Over 2.5

28%

Last match results Bahia - BA and Mirassol - SP

Bahia's last match ended in a 0-1 defeat against Palmeiras, highlighting the challenges they face against higher-tier teams. Conversely, Mirassol managed a respectable 1-1 draw against Bragantino, which could serve as a confidence booster as they prepare for the tough away fixture.

Best odds and our betting tip for the match

Considering the best odds available, a Bahia win is priced at 1.74 with Bet9ja, while a draw can be found at 4.05 with Betwinner, and Mirassol's victory stands at 5.00 with Gbets. Our experience with various betting sites indicates that these odds present excellent opportunities for both seasoned and novice punters looking to place bets on this match. For an insightful overview, you can explore our bookmaker comparison to find the best betting sites in Africa.

Conclusion on the match

In conclusion, Bahia stands as the clear favorite to claim victory against Mirassol in this upcoming match. Their superior home form and better overall standing in the league suggest a strong likelihood of success. With the added motivation of securing vital points to maintain their position in the top half of the table, Bahia is expected to deliver a compelling performance.

As the match approaches, we encourage fans and bettors alike to stay tuned for more insights and analysis. Here are tomorrow's betting tips to keep your wagering experience exciting and informed.