Bulgaria - Iceland ai prediction 13.11.2026 Nations League C

Preview for match Bulgaria vs Iceland

Bulgaria and Iceland meet in Nations League C on Friday, 13 November 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:45 at Hristo Botev. The fifth matchday presents a significant opportunity for the visitors: Iceland lead the table with eight points and remain unbeaten, while Bulgaria are third on four points after four games. With the group standings beginning to take shape, a positive result could strengthen Iceland’s position at the top, whereas Bulgaria will be keen to make home advantage count and close the gap.

The teams arrive with contrasting records. Bulgaria have registered one win, one draw and two defeats, scoring three goals and conceding five. Their home results have been particularly modest, with one draw and one loss from two matches. Iceland, by comparison, have won twice and drawn twice without losing, and their goal difference of seven scored and one conceded reflects a well-balanced campaign. Their away record is also encouraging: one victory and one draw.

Recent form and the latest direct meeting add further context. Bulgaria have had mixed results across their last five matches, while Iceland have been somewhat more consistent. Iceland also won the most recent encounter between these sides 3–0. However, the broader five-match head-to-head record favours Bulgaria, who have three wins to Iceland’s one, with the other match ending level. That history suggests the fixture may be more competitive than the current table alone indicates. Iceland nevertheless begin as the stronger side on the season’s evidence, and Bulgaria will need a disciplined performance to disrupt the visitors’ momentum.

Our betting tip for Bulgaria vs Iceland

Our betting prediction is an Iceland win, or Tip 2. The visitors’ unbeaten record, stronger position in the group and superior defensive figures provide a persuasive basis for backing them, even though Bulgaria will have home support and a favourable longer-term head-to-head record. Iceland have conceded only once in four Nations League matches, while Bulgaria have scored three times across the same number of fixtures. That contrast points to the visitors’ greater reliability at both ends of the pitch.

Our second selection is Both teams score? No. Iceland’s defensive record makes a clean sheet a reasonable possibility, and Bulgaria’s limited scoring output so far reinforces that view. This is not a certainty, particularly given the home side’s need to pursue points, but the available figures support a match in which one team may fail to score.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Bulgaria's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Iceland's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Bulgaria's last 5 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 5 of Iceland's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

1X

Bulgaria have won or drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.

Iceland have drawn or lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI prediction for Bulgaria vs Iceland

The AI forecast gives Iceland the advantage in the 1X2 market. Their eight points, unbeaten run and away record compare favourably with Bulgaria’s four points and winless home campaign. The previous 3–0 meeting also gives Iceland a recent psychological reference point, although the historical record across the last five meetings warns against treating the visitors’ superiority as decisive.

AI 1X2 tip: Iceland to win (Tip 2).
AI correct-score tip: Bulgaria 0–1 Iceland.

A narrow away victory is consistent with Iceland’s strong defensive numbers and Bulgaria’s relatively low scoring total. The correct-score selection is a forecast rather than a guarantee, and a draw remains a plausible alternative if Bulgaria defend effectively.

Bulgaria performance check

Bulgaria enter matchday five in third place with four points from four matches. Their record stands at one win, one draw and two defeats, with three goals scored and five conceded. Those figures indicate that the side have had difficulty establishing consistent control, particularly in attack. At Hristo Botev, they have drawn once and lost once, so home advantage has yet to produce a victory in this campaign.

Coach Aleksandar Dimitrov will be looking for greater efficiency in the final third and a more secure defensive display. Bulgaria’s recent five-match record across all competitions is one win, two draws and two defeats. That sequence shows some resilience, but it also highlights the challenge of turning competitive performances into regular wins. Against an unbeaten Iceland side, Bulgaria may need to keep the match compact and make the most of limited scoring opportunities.

How is the current performance of Iceland?

Iceland lead the group with eight points, having recorded two wins and two draws without a defeat. They have scored seven goals and conceded only one, the strongest defensive return among the figures provided for this match. Their away record—one win and one draw—suggests they can perform effectively outside their own stadium as well.

Arnar Gunnlaugsson’s team have also been relatively steady across their last five matches in all competitions, with two wins, two draws and one defeat. Their latest goalless draw away to Estonia was a quieter result than their overall goal figures might suggest, but it extended their unbeaten Nations League run. Iceland’s combination of defensive discipline and a higher points total makes them the more dependable selection on current form.

Last direct match

The most recent meeting ended in a 3–0 home victory for Iceland. That result gives the Icelandic side a recent advantage in this specific matchup, though one game should not be considered a complete measure of how the next encounter will unfold. Bulgaria will be motivated to respond, especially in front of their own supporters, while Iceland can draw confidence from having kept their opponents scoreless in that meeting.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

Across the last five meetings in all competitions, Bulgaria have won three times, Iceland have won once and one match has ended in a draw. This record gives Bulgaria the historical edge, despite Iceland’s victory in the latest encounter. The contrast between the longer-term head-to-head figures and the teams’ current group positions makes this an interesting test: Bulgaria have enjoyed success in the matchup over time, but Iceland arrive with the stronger present-day campaign.

Performance in the last five matches

Bulgaria’s last five matches have produced one win, two draws and two defeats. That record reflects an inconsistent spell, with the team finding some results but not building a sustained run of victories. Iceland have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat over their last five fixtures, giving them the better overall return and a slightly more stable recent profile.

The form comparison supports Iceland, although the difference is not overwhelming. Bulgaria have avoided defeat in three of their last five games, while Iceland have done so in four. The visitors’ unbeaten Nations League record is an additional positive, particularly when considered alongside their one-goal defensive total.

Performance

Bulgaria

Last games

Bulgaria performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

25%

Over 2.5

50%

Iceland

Last games

Iceland performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

16%

Over 2.5

50%

Last match results: Bulgaria and Iceland

Bulgaria’s latest match was a 2–0 away victory over Luxembourg, a useful result that may provide a confidence boost before returning to home action. The clean sheet was also encouraging after a campaign in which they have conceded five goals in four Nations League fixtures.

Iceland’s most recent outing finished 0–0 away to Estonia. Although they did not find the net, they secured a point and maintained their defensive solidity. The result means both teams come into this fixture without a defeat in their most recent match, but Bulgaria will take greater attacking encouragement from their win.

Best odds and betting outlook

The listed 1X2 prices are 4.39 for a Bulgaria win at Betwinner, 3.60 for the draw at Betwinner and 1.90 for an Iceland win at Betwinner. For the both-teams-to-score market, Yes is priced at 2.00 with Gbets, while No is available at 1.89 with Bet9ja. These odds make Iceland the clear market favourite, while the BTTS prices suggest a relatively balanced view of whether both teams will score.

Our main recommendation remains Iceland to win, with Both teams score? No as the secondary selection. Compare prices and terms before placing a wager, since odds can change and different betting sites may offer different conditions. Readers looking for the best betting sites, including the best betting sites Africa, can consult our bookmaker comparison to assess available options.

Conclusion

Iceland deserve to start as favourites because they top the table, remain unbeaten and have conceded only once in four matches. Their away record is solid, and their latest direct victory offers further encouragement. Bulgaria’s historical advantage across the last five meetings and their recent win over Luxembourg are reasons not to dismiss the home side, but their results at Hristo Botev and their modest goal return remain concerns.

The most likely outcome, based on the supplied form and statistics, is a narrow Iceland victory. A low-scoring contest also appears plausible, making Iceland to win the primary tip and Both teams score? No the additional selection. As with any wager, this prediction carries risk and should be considered alongside responsible betting practices.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow: check our upcoming match previews for further analysis, odds comparisons and selections across the football schedule.