Burnley FC
Burnley FC
vs
Derby County
Derby County
England
England
Championship
Today
14:00
Starting in
-- : -- : -- : --
MATCH ABOUT TO START
Turf Moor
Burnley
football in stadium
© Midjourney

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Burnley FC - Derby County ai prediction 19.09.2026 Championship

Preview for Match Burnley FC vs Derby County

On Saturday, September 19, 2026, Burnley FC will host Derby County at the historic Turf Moor stadium in what promises to be an intriguing Championship clash. Both teams are currently struggling to find their form this season, leading to heightened tensions as they aim to secure vital points. Burnley FC sits precariously in 24th position with just 3 points, having yet to secure a victory in the league, amassing 3 draws and 4 defeats. Their goal tally stands at 8 scored and 16 conceded, indicating a need for improvement on both ends of the pitch.

In contrast, Derby County finds itself in a marginally better position at 22nd, having gathered 4 points from 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 defeats. They have scored 6 goals while conceding 13, showcasing their own difficulties in maintaining defensive solidity. Notably, both teams are in desperate need of a morale-boosting win as they head into this matchday. The historical context also adds an interesting layer; in their last direct meeting, Burnley emerged victorious with a 2-1 win at home. The head-to-head record over their last five encounters favours Burnley slightly, with 2 wins and 3 draws, suggesting a competitive rivalry.

Given the current standings and performances, this match presents both teams with a crucial opportunity to turn their fortunes around. With pressure mounting on both managers—Nicky Hayen for Burnley and John Eustace for Derby—expectations for a spirited contest are high. Fans will be eager to see if either side can break the cycle of disappointing results and move up the table.

Our Betting Tip for Burnley FC vs Derby County

In light of the current form and statistics, our betting prediction for this match leans towards a home victory for Burnley FC. Despite their struggles this season, the Clarets have shown resilience at home and have a historical edge over Derby County. The best odds for a Burnley win are available at 888sport with odds of 1.85. Furthermore, we also predict that both teams are likely to score during the match, making the "Both teams to score: Yes" option at Paripesa, with odds of 1.75, an attractive betting tip.

Our tips

AI Prediction for Burnley FC vs Derby County

According to an AI analysis that considers the recent performances and historical data of both teams, it is anticipated that Burnley FC will emerge victorious in this encounter. The AI tip suggests a final score of 2-1 in favour of Burnley, reflecting their ability to find the net while also acknowledging Derby County’s tendency to concede goals. This forecast aligns with the current statistics, suggesting that while Burnley may struggle defensively, they have the potential to capitalize on Derby's weaknesses.

Burnley FC Performance Check

Burnley FC has endured a challenging start to the season, currently languishing at the bottom of the Championship table. Under the management of Nicky Hayen, the team has yet to register a win, instead having to settle for 3 draws and 4 defeats. Their home record is particularly concerning, with only 2 draws and 1 defeat in matches played at Turf Moor. The squad's goal-scoring efforts have been inadequate, with only 8 goals in 7 matches, while their defence has conceded 16, indicating an urgent need for tactical adjustments to prevent further losses.

How is the Current Performance of Derby County?

Derby County, managed by John Eustace, is also experiencing a tumultuous season, sitting just above Burnley in the standings. With only 4 points from their first 7 matches, the Rams have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 defeats. Their away form is particularly troubling, with just a single win in 3 attempts, highlighting their struggles to perform outside of their home ground. The team has scored only 6 goals while conceding 13, showcasing a significant defensive frailty that could be exploited by Burnley in this upcoming fixture.

Last Direct Match

In their last direct encounter, Burnley FC managed to secure a 2-1 victory against Derby County, showcasing their ability to perform well against this opponent. This recent success will undoubtedly boost the confidence of the Burnley players as they prepare for this upcoming match.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

Over the last five meetings between Burnley FC and Derby County in all competitions, Burnley has achieved 2 wins, while the teams have drawn on 3 occasions. Notably, Derby County has yet to secure a victory against Burnley in these encounters, which may play a psychological role heading into this match.

Performance Last 5 Matches

In their last five matches, Burnley FC has failed to secure a victory, recording 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats. In contrast, Derby County has managed to secure 1 win, but their form has been poor, suffering 4 defeats and displaying significant vulnerabilities across the board.

Performance

Burnley FC
Burnley FC
Last games

Burnley FC performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories
0%
Over 2.5
50%
Derby County
Derby County
Last games

Derby County performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories
25%
Over 2.5
75%

Last Match Results

Burnley FC's most recent match ended in a disappointing 3-1 loss away to Swansea City, while Derby County faced a 2-1 defeat at home against Birmingham City. Both teams will be eager to rectify these results and embark on a quest for redemption.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

The best odds for this fixture, according to our experience with reputable betting sites, suggest that Burnley FC is the favourite for a home win at odds of 1.85 with 888sport. For those looking to explore additional options, the odds for both teams to score are enticing, with 1.75 at Paripesa. We recommend checking out our bookmaker comparison to find the best betting sites that suit your preferences.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Burnley FC enters this match as the favourites based on historical performance and home advantage. With Derby County’s defensive frailties and Burnley’s need for a win, the Clarets are poised to secure their first victory of the season. Expect an engaging match as both teams vie for crucial points in their quest to escape the relegation zone.

Here are tomorrow's betting tips for your consideration, as we continue to monitor the developments in the Championship and beyond.

Current Standing

POS TEAM PTS MP W D L GF GA GD
1
West Ham United
West Ham United
14 7 4 2 1 20 9 11
2
Southampton FC
Southampton FC
14 7 4 2 1 18 8 10
3
Swansea City
Swansea City
14 7 4 2 1 11 5 6
4
Middlesbrough FC
Middlesbrough FC
14 7 4 2 1 14 10 4
5
West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion FC
14 7 4 2 1 10 7 3
6
Bristol City
Bristol City FC
13 8 4 1 3 11 12 -1
7
Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers
12 7 3 3 1 8 5 3
8
Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic FC
12 7 3 3 1 6 7 -1
9
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
11 6 3 2 1 14 10 4
10
Lincoln City
Lincoln City
11 7 3 2 2 6 6 0
11
Birmingham City
Birmingham City FC
10 7 2 4 1 10 9 1
12
Millwall FC
Millwall FC
10 7 3 1 3 13 13 0
13
Stoke City
Stoke City FC
10 7 3 1 3 11 11 0
14
Norwich City
Norwich City FC
9 7 3 0 4 13 13 0
15
Sheffield United
Sheffield United FC
9 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1
16
Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers
8 7 2 2 3 10 10 0
17
Watford FC
Watford FC
8 8 2 2 4 7 10 -3
18
Portsmouth FC
Portsmouth FC
7 6 2 1 3 7 8 -1
19
Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
7 7 1 4 2 7 11 -4
20
Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
7 7 2 1 4 7 12 -5
21
Cardiff City
Cardiff City FC
4 7 0 4 3 7 11 -4
22
Derby County
Derby County
4 7 1 1 5 6 13 -7
23
Preston North End
Preston North End FC
3 7 1 0 6 6 13 -7
24
Burnley FC
Burnley FC
3 7 0 3 4 8 16 -8
Legend
  • Promotion
  • Play-offs
  • Relegation