CD Tondela - FC Arouca ai prediction 03.01.2026 Primeira Liga

Preview for Match CD Tondela vs FC Arouca

As the 17th matchday of the Primeira Liga approaches, CD Tondela will host FC Arouca at the Estádio João Cardoso on Saturday, January 3, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 16:30. Both teams find themselves in the lower echelons of the league table, and this match presents a crucial opportunity for either side to improve their standings. CD Tondela currently occupies the 17th position, having amassed only 9 points from 15 matches, with a dismal record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses. They have struggled significantly in front of their home crowd, recording no wins from their 7 home matches, leading to a dire goal difference of 9 scored and 27 conceded.

Conversely, FC Arouca sits slightly higher in 16th place with 14 points, courtesy of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses. Their away record reflects a similar struggle, with only 1 win in 7 attempts. The goal-scoring statistics reveal a stark contrast between the two teams, with Arouca having scored 17 goals but conceding a substantial 39. The recent form of both clubs has been underwhelming, with Tondela suffering 4 defeats in their last five outings and Arouca managing just a single win during the same period.

The last direct encounter between these teams ended in a 2-2 draw, highlighting the competitive nature of their matchups. Speculation regarding potential outcomes is rife, with both clubs needing to secure a win to boost their morale and league position. With the stakes high in this relegation battle, both sides will be eager to capitalize on any opportunity to secure valuable points.

Our Betting Tip for CD Tondela vs FC Arouca

In light of the current form and statistical analysis, our betting prediction for the match leans towards a home win for CD Tondela (Tip 1). Despite their struggles this season, Tondela has the advantage of playing at home, where they will be looking to finally secure their first victory of the season. Additionally, we also predict that both teams will score during this encounter, given their respective defensive vulnerabilities.

The odds provided by various bookmakers reflect this sentiment, with a home win for CD Tondela listed at 2.18 on Betika, and the likelihood of both teams scoring being offered at 1.80 on Gbets.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

CD Tondela have drawn or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

FC Arouca have won or drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 2 of CD Tondela's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of FC Arouca's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

12

CD Tondela have won or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

FC Arouca have won or lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

AI Prediction for the Match CD Tondela vs FC Arouca

According to AI analysis, the forecast for this match indicates a strong possibility of a home victory for CD Tondela, with a suggested final scoreline of 2-1. The statistical data supports this prediction, taking into account Tondela's pressing need for points and Arouca's struggles on the road. The AI model suggests that Tondela will manage to exploit Arouca’s defensive weaknesses while also being vulnerable at the back, hence the recommendation for both teams to score.

CD Tondela Performance Check

CD Tondela's performance this season has been nothing short of disappointing, currently languishing in the relegation zone at 17th position in the Primeira Liga. Under the management of Cristiano Bacci, the team has only secured 2 wins out of 15 matches, accompanied by 3 draws and 10 defeats. Their home record is particularly concerning, as they have yet to record a victory at the Estádio João Cardoso. The team struggles to find the back of the net, with only 9 goals scored. Their recent form shows a solitary victory in the last five matches, which came against a struggling opponent, further highlighting their need for improvement.

How is the Current Performance of FC Arouca?

FC Arouca, managed by Vasco Seabra, has had a somewhat better season than Tondela, currently sitting in 16th place with 14 points. Their record consists of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a concerning goal difference of -22. Arouca has managed to score 17 goals but has also conceded 39, indicating significant defensive flaws. In their last five matches, they have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Arouca's away form is poor, with only 1 win in 7 matches, which complicates their aspirations for collecting points against Tondela.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

The last five meetings between CD Tondela and FC Arouca have produced a competitive dynamic, with Tondela securing 1 win, Arouca winning 3 times, and 1 match ending in a draw. This history indicates that Arouca has had the upper hand in recent encounters, yet Tondela will be motivated to turn the tide on home soil.

Performance Last 5 Matches

In their last five matches, CD Tondela has managed to secure only 1 victory, alongside 4 defeats. In contrast, FC Arouca's record includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, showcasing a slightly better form. Both teams clearly need to improve if they are to achieve their goals for the season.

Performance

CD Tondela

Last games

CD Tondela performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

40%

FC Arouca

Last games

FC Arouca performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

80%

Last Match Results: CD Tondela and FC Arouca

In their most recent match, CD Tondela suffered a disappointing 1-2 defeat to Casa Pia AC, further compounding their struggles. Meanwhile, FC Arouca played out a 2-2 draw against Gil Vicente, which showed their resilience but also highlighted their defensive frailties.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

The best odds for a home victory for CD Tondela can be found at Betika, offering 2.18, while a draw is available at 3.43 on Betwinner, and a win for Arouca at 3.64, also on Betwinner. Based on our experiences with various betting sites, we encourage you to explore our bookmaker comparison to identify the best betting sites that suit your needs.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, CD Tondela's position as the home side gives them the advantage in this critical matchup against FC Arouca. With their urgent need for points, coupled with Arouca's struggles on the road, we predict a home win for Tondela, possibly with both teams finding the net. The match promises to be a thrilling encounter, and fans will be eager to see if Tondela can finally secure their first home victory of the season.

Here are tomorrow's betting tips that you won't want to miss.