Chapecoense - Bahia - BA ai prediction 16.08.2026 Série A

Preview for Match Chapecoense vs Bahia - BA

On Sunday, August 16, 2026, the Arena Condá will be the venue for an intriguing clash in Brazil's Série A, as Chapecoense takes on Bahia - BA in what promises to be an exciting encounter. This matchup, part of Matchday 23, features two teams in contrasting positions in the league table. Chapecoense finds itself languishing in 20th place with a mere 10 points from 21 matches, while Bahia - BA occupies a more respectable 6th position with 33 points. The disparity in their standings reflects not only the performances of both squads this season but also the pressures and challenges they face as they navigate through the campaign.

Chapecoense's season has been fraught with difficulties, as evidenced by their record of just one win, seven draws, and thirteen defeats. Their goal difference of 20:43 highlights their struggles both defensively and offensively. The team has managed to secure only one victory at home, alongside four draws and five defeats, which paints a grim picture for their supporters. In contrast, Bahia - BA has experienced a more favorable run, achieving eight wins, nine draws, and five losses, with a positive goal difference of 29:25. Their away record stands at four wins, three draws, and three defeats, showcasing their resilience on the road.

The last direct meeting between these two sides saw Bahia - BA secure a convincing 2-0 victory at home, a result that will undoubtedly bolster their confidence heading into this fixture. Historically, the head-to-head record favors Bahia - BA, who have triumphed in three of the last five encounters, while Chapecoense managed only two wins without any draws. This context adds an extra layer of intrigue to the match, as Chapecoense will be eager to reverse their fortunes against a team that has consistently gotten the better of them in recent times.

Our Betting Tip for Chapecoense vs Bahia - BA

In light of the current form and statistics of both teams, our betting prediction leans towards an away victory for Bahia - BA, represented as Tip 2. Given Chapecoense's dismal performance this season, they are unlikely to pose a significant challenge to a well-organized Bahia side. Additionally, a second betting tip would be that both teams will score in this match, as Chapecoense has shown vulnerabilities in defense, capable of conceding goals despite their offensive struggles.

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Chapecoense's last 5 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Bahia - BA's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

X2

Chapecoense have drawn or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Bahia - BA have won or drawn 5 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

1X2

Draw

Chapecoense have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.

Bahia - BA have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI Prediction for Chapecoense vs Bahia - BA

From an analytical perspective, the AI forecast suggests that Bahia - BA is the likely winner of this encounter, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 in favor of the away side. The statistics indicate that Bahia's offense is more proficient, and their ability to secure results in away fixtures poses a significant threat to Chapecoense. While Chapecoense may find the net, Bahia's defensive organization should allow them to control the match and emerge victorious.

Chapecoense Performance Check

Chapecoense's current form is concerning, as they have not managed to secure a win in their last five matches, recording two draws and three defeats. Under the guidance of coach Rafael Lacerda, the team struggles to find a winning formula, and the pressure to improve their standing in the league intensifies with each passing match. Their solitary home win this season adds to the urgency to capitalize on home advantage, yet their recent performances suggest they may be lacking the quality needed to succeed against a more capable opponent.

How is the Current Performance of Bahia - BA?

Bahia - BA, coached by Rogério Ceni, has shown commendable resilience in their recent outings, with one win and four draws in their last five games. While they have not been able to secure consistent victories, their ability to avoid defeat demonstrates a solid defensive structure and adaptability under pressure. With a strong away record and a positive goal difference, Bahia is poised to capitalize on Chapecoense's weaknesses as they aim for a spot in continental competitions.

Last Direct Match

In their most recent encounter, Bahia - BA emerged victorious with a 2-0 scoreline, thereby demonstrating their superiority and tactical acumen. This result will act as a psychological advantage for Bahia as they approach the upcoming clash.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In the last five meetings between Chapecoense and Bahia - BA, the latter has claimed three victories, while Chapecoense has managed to secure two wins. Notably, there have been no draws in this period, emphasizing the competitive nature of their encounters.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Chapecoense's recent form reveals a troubling trend, with zero wins, two draws, and three defeats. Conversely, Bahia - BA has achieved one win, four draws, and no defeats, indicating a more stable performance trajectory.

Performance

Chapecoense

Last games

Chapecoense performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

33%

Over 2.5

66%

Bahia - BA

Last games

Bahia - BA performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

50%

Last Match Results

In their last outings, Chapecoense suffered a 1-2 defeat against Coritiba - PR, while Bahia - BA played to a goalless draw against Vasco da Gama - RJ. These results reflect the contrasting fortunes of both teams leading into this crucial match.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

The best odds for this match suggest an away win for Bahia - BA at 2.15, while the draw is priced at 3.52, and a home win for Chapecoense at 3.60. Our experience with various betting sites indicates that these odds are competitive, and bettors should consider exploring the best betting sites for optimal value.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, Bahia - BA emerges as the clear favorite to win this match against Chapecoense, given their superior form, historical performance, and current league standing. The statistical analysis and recent head-to-head results support the prediction of an away victory, potentially with both teams finding the net.

Here are tomorrow's betting tips: stay tuned for the latest insights and expert analysis to help you make informed betting decisions.