Chapecoense - Grêmio Porto Alegre ai prediction 16.03.2026 Série A

Preview for match Chapecoense vs Grêmio Porto Alegre

The upcoming Série A match between Chapecoense and Grêmio Porto Alegre is set to take place on Tuesday, March 17, 2026, at the Arena Condá. This encounter marks the sixth matchday of the season, promising a competitive atmosphere as both teams strive to improve their standings in the league. Currently, Chapecoense occupies the 12th position with a total of 5 points from one victory, two draws, and one defeat. Their goal tally stands at 8 goals scored and 8 conceded, indicating a balanced offensive and defensive performance thus far. Notably, Chapecoense remains unbeaten at home, with one win and one draw in their two home fixtures.

In contrast, Grêmio Porto Alegre is positioned 9th in the table, having accumulated 7 points from two wins, one draw, and two defeats. Their goal difference mirrors that of Chapecoense, with 9 goals scored and 9 conceded. However, Grêmio's struggles are evident in their away form, as they have yet to secure a victory on the road this season, suffering two losses in their two away matches. The last time these two teams met, they played to a 0-0 draw, which underscores the potential for a closely contested match.

Both teams enter this match with varying degrees of momentum. Chapecoense recently suffered a 0-2 defeat against São Paulo FC, while Grêmio managed a 1-1 draw at home against Bragantino SP. This match presents an opportunity for both teams to solidify their positions in the league and potentially shift the narrative surrounding their early-season performances.

Our betting tip

In light of the current form and statistics, our betting prediction leans towards an away victory for Grêmio Porto Alegre. With odds of 2.53 at Betwinner for an away win, the potential for profit is significant. Furthermore, given the goal-scoring capabilities of both teams, we also recommend betting that both teams will score in this match, with odds at 1.80 at Gbets. Therefore, our main betting tip is:

Tip 2: Grêmio Porto Alegre to win (1x2)
Tip: Both teams to score? Yes

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Chapecoense's last 4 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of Grêmio Porto Alegre's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 3 of Chapecoense's last 4 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of Grêmio Porto Alegre's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Chapecoense's last 4 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Grêmio Porto Alegre's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

AI prediction for the match Chapecoense vs Grêmio Porto Alegre

The AI prediction for this match suggests that Grêmio Porto Alegre is likely to emerge victorious, given their stronger recent performance compared to Chapecoense. An anticipated final score of 2-1 in favor of Grêmio appears plausible, based on both teams' attacking statistics and recent form. The analysis indicates that Grêmio's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, coupled with Chapecoense's recent struggles, positions them as the favorites for this encounter.

Chapecoense performance check

Chapecoense, under the management of Gilmar Dal Pozzo, has shown a mixed bag of results in their recent outings. With two wins and three defeats in their last five matches across all competitions, the team is in need of consistency to climb the league table. Their home record is a bright spot, featuring one win and one draw, which highlights their potential to perform better at the Arena Condá. However, the recent loss to São Paulo FC has raised concerns about their defensive solidity and overall confidence.

How is the current performance of Grêmio Porto Alegre

Grêmio Porto Alegre, managed by Luís Castro, has demonstrated a more positive trend, securing three victories and two draws in their last five matches. Despite their inconsistency away from home, their overall form suggests a team that is capable of competing effectively. The recent draw against Bragantino SP showcased their resilience, and they will be looking to build on that momentum in this match against Chapecoense. Their goal-scoring prowess is evident, and they will aim to exploit any defensive frailties exhibited by the home side.

Last direct match

The last direct encounter between Chapecoense and Grêmio Porto Alegre ended in a stalemate, with both teams unable to find the back of the net, resulting in a 0-0 draw. This reflects a competitive rivalry, where both sides have historically been closely matched.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

In their last five meetings across all competitions, the head-to-head record shows that Chapecoense has secured one victory, while Grêmio Porto Alegre has triumphed three times, and one match ended in a draw. This historical context adds an intriguing layer to the upcoming fixture, as it indicates that Grêmio has had the upper hand in recent encounters.

Performance last 5 matches

In their last five matches, Chapecoense has recorded two wins and three defeats, indicating their struggle to maintain form. Conversely, Grêmio Porto Alegre has enjoyed a more successful run, with three wins and two draws, reflecting their growing confidence as the season progresses.

Performance

Chapecoense

Last games

Chapecoense performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

60%

Grêmio Porto Alegre

Last games

Grêmio Porto Alegre performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

40%

Last match results Chapecoense and Grêmio Porto Alegre

In their last outings, Chapecoense faced a disappointing 0-2 defeat against São Paulo FC, while Grêmio Porto Alegre managed to secure a 1-1 draw against Bragantino SP. These results are indicative of the contrasting trajectories both teams find themselves on heading into this match.

Best odds and our betting tip

The odds available for this match vary across different betting platforms. The best odds for an away win for Grêmio Porto Alegre can be found at Betwinner with 2.53, while a draw is offered at 3.30 at Premier Bet. Additionally, the odds for both teams to score stand at 1.80 at Gbets. Our experience with these betting sites suggests that they provide competitive odds and reliable service, making them worthy options for placing bets.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Grêmio Porto Alegre emerges as the favorite for this match against Chapecoense, based on their recent form and historical performance. With their attacking capabilities and Chapecoense's recent struggles, an away victory seems likely. This match not only represents a chance for Grêmio to secure crucial points but also for Chapecoense to turn their fortunes around.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow. As the season progresses, staying informed on team performances and statistical analyses will be essential in making educated betting decisions.