Chapecoense - Mirassol - SP ai prediction 03.11.2026 Série A

Preview for match Chapecoense vs Mirassol - SP

Chapecoense host Mirassol - SP at Arena Condá on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 23:30. The Série A fixture is part of matchday 34 and brings together two sides with markedly different positions in the table. Chapecoense are 20th on 21 points, while Mirassol sit 16th with 37. With the season approaching its conclusion, both teams have important reasons to pursue a result: the hosts need points to improve their position, and the visitors will want to strengthen their standing above the bottom places.

The league records underline the scale of the challenge for Chapecoense. They have won four, drawn nine and lost 19 of their 32 matches, scoring 32 goals and conceding 66. Their home form has also been difficult, with three wins, five draws and seven defeats. Mirassol have a stronger overall record of nine wins, ten draws and 14 losses, with 37 goals scored and 47 conceded. However, their away results offer less reassurance: they have won twice, drawn four times and lost ten on the road.

Recent form is mixed for both teams. Chapecoense have one victory and four defeats in their last five matches, while Mirassol have one win, two draws and two losses. The previous direct meeting ended 1-1, but the broader head-to-head record favours Mirassol, who have won four of the last five encounters, with the other ending in a draw. Chapecoense’s home advantage may help them compete, yet the visitors’ superior season record and stronger history in this matchup make them the more convincing choice on paper. Lucas Paulo Torezin is the appointed referee, and Rafael Lacerda and Rafael Guanaes lead the respective teams.

Our betting tip for Chapecoense vs Mirassol - SP

Our betting prediction is an away win for Mirassol - SP, or Tip 2. The visitors have collected 16 more points than Chapecoense and have lost fewer matches across the campaign. Their away record is far from impressive, so this is not a risk-free selection; nevertheless, Chapecoense’s 20th-place standing, 19 defeats and 66 goals conceded point to persistent defensive difficulties. Mirassol’s four wins in the last five head-to-head meetings provide another reason to favour them.

For the second selection, we expect Both teams to score: Yes. Chapecoense have scored 32 league goals and will be motivated to make use of home advantage, while Mirassol have conceded 47 times and have not been consistently secure away from home. The visitors’ greater attacking output gives them a reasonable chance of finding the net, but the hosts may also create opportunities against a defence that has allowed goals regularly. These tips are predictions, not guarantees; bettors should consider the risks and stake responsibly.

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 1 of Chapecoense's last 5 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Mirassol - SP's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Chapecoense's last 5 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 5 of Mirassol - SP's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

12

Chapecoense have won or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Mirassol - SP have won or lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

AI prediction for Chapecoense vs Mirassol - SP

The AI forecast gives Mirassol the edge in the 1X2 market, with an AI tip of Tip 2. That assessment reflects the 16-point gap in the table, Mirassol’s better overall win total and their strong record in the last five direct meetings. Chapecoense’s home results are a possible counterweight, but three wins from 15 home matches do not suggest a dependable advantage.

For a correct-score selection, the AI betting tip is Chapecoense 1-2 Mirassol - SP. This scoreline allows for the possibility that Chapecoense will benefit from playing at Arena Condá, while still recognising Mirassol’s stronger season profile. It is a speculative forecast rather than a certainty, particularly given both sides’ inconsistent recent form.

Chapecoense performance check

Chapecoense’s position at the foot of the table reflects a difficult campaign. They have taken 21 points from 32 matches, with four wins, nine draws and 19 defeats. Their goal difference is a major concern: 32 scored against 66 conceded. At home, they have managed three victories and five draws, but seven defeats show that Arena Condá has not consistently provided a reliable source of points.

Rafael Lacerda’s team enter this fixture after a poor run, recording one win and four defeats across their last five matches. That sequence makes a response especially important, although the scale of the defensive problems means they will need greater organisation as well as attacking intent. Their best route may be to stay compact, avoid conceding early and make the most of the chances created by the home crowd’s support.

Mirassol - SP current performance and table position

Mirassol are 16th with 37 points, built from nine wins, ten draws and 14 defeats. They have scored 37 goals and conceded 47, giving them a noticeably better goal difference than Chapecoense. Their away record remains a weakness: two wins, four draws and ten defeats indicate that travelling has often proved challenging. Even so, their overall campaign has been more productive than that of their opponents.

Under Rafael Guanaes, Mirassol have produced one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five fixtures. This is not dominant form, and their recent loss will require a response, but the team’s season-long numbers and head-to-head results offer grounds for confidence. They will likely aim to exploit Chapecoense’s defensive vulnerabilities while remaining alert to the pressure of playing away.

Last direct match

The most recent meeting between these sides finished 1-1. That result suggests Chapecoense can compete with Mirassol, even though the visitors have enjoyed the stronger record across their recent encounters. A draw in the previous match is also a reminder that the difference in league position does not guarantee a straightforward outcome.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

Across the last five meetings in all competitions, Chapecoense have recorded no wins. One match ended in a draw, while Mirassol won four times. This is a clear historical advantage for the visitors and supports the Tip 2 selection, although past results alone cannot determine the outcome of this match.

Performance in the last five matches

Chapecoense have one win and four defeats in their last five games, with no draws. The sequence points to a side struggling to find consistency and under pressure to improve its results. Mirassol’s corresponding record is one win, two draws and two defeats. Their form is also uneven, but the two draws indicate that they have been more capable of avoiding defeat during this spell.

Performance

Chapecoense

Last games

Chapecoense performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

75%

Mirassol - SP

Last games

Mirassol - SP performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

16%

Over 2.5

16%

Last match results

Chapecoense’s most recent outing ended in a 0-3 away defeat to Bragantino SP. The result extended concerns about their ability to contain opponents, especially when playing away from home. Mirassol also lost their latest match, going down 0-2 away to Corinthians SP. Both teams therefore arrive seeking a response, but Chapecoense’s heavier defeat adds to the pressure on the hosts.

Best odds and betting considerations

The listed best prices are 3.60 for a Chapecoense win at Gbets, 4.00 for the draw at Mozzart and 2.03 for a Mirassol victory at Betwinner. For both teams to score, Betano offers 1.65 on Yes, while Bet9ja lists 2.34 on No. These odds reflect Mirassol’s status as the favoured side, while the price for a home win indicates that Chapecoense are not entirely without a chance.

Odds can change, and bookmakers may apply different terms. Based on our experience comparing betting sites, it is sensible to check the available prices and conditions before placing a wager. Readers looking for the best betting sites in Africa or the best betting sites more broadly can compare options in our bookmaker comparison. Please gamble responsibly and never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Conclusion and final prediction

Chapecoense will have the benefit of playing at Arena Condá, but their season record and recent form make it difficult to place them ahead of Mirassol. The hosts have conceded 66 league goals and have won only three of their 15 home matches. Mirassol have their own away-day limitations, yet they are higher in the table, have lost fewer matches overall and have prevailed in four of the last five head-to-head meetings.

Our main selection is therefore Mirassol - SP to win (Tip 2), with Both teams to score: Yes as the secondary tip. The predicted score is 1-2. Chapecoense’s need for points could make them competitive, but Mirassol’s stronger overall campaign gives the visitors the more persuasive case for victory.

Here are the best football tips for tomorrow: review the latest team information and odds before making any betting decision, as prices and circumstances can change.