Chapecoense - Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama ai prediction 14.11.2026 Série A

Preview for match Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama

Chapecoense host Vasco da Gama at Arena Condá on Sunday, 15 November 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 00:30. The Série A fixture is listed as matchday 21, and Rodrigo Pereira de Lima will referee the contest. The teams arrive with very different league records: Chapecoense have 21 points and sit 20th, while Vasco are 13th with 41 points. That gap gives the visitors the stronger position on paper, although their away record suggests the home side should not be dismissed without consideration.

Chapecoense’s season has been difficult. They have recorded four wins, nine draws and 20 defeats, scoring 33 goals and conceding 68. Their home figures are also a concern, with three wins, five draws and eight losses. Vasco have won 11, drawn eight and lost 14 of their league matches, with 43 goals scored and 50 conceded. Their away record is identical to Chapecoense’s home record—three wins, five draws and eight defeats—so the visitors’ higher overall standing does not automatically make this an easy assignment.

Recent form offers little certainty. Chapecoense have won once and lost four times across their last five matches in all competitions. Vasco have two wins and three defeats in the same span, with no draws. The most recent direct meeting ended 1–1, and four of the last five head-to-head encounters have been drawn. That history points to a potentially competitive game, even as the league table and season-long results favour Vasco. Chapecoense coach Rafael Lacerda will need a disciplined performance from his side, while Pedro Emanuel will look to guide Vasco towards a valuable away result.

Our betting tip for Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama

Our betting prediction is an away win for Vasco da Gama, or Tip 2. The visitors have collected 20 more points than Chapecoense and have a substantially better overall record, with 11 wins compared with the hosts’ four. Chapecoense’s 68 goals conceded across their league campaign are another warning sign, particularly against a Vasco side that has scored 43 times. Although Vasco’s away results have been inconsistent, the overall quality indicated by the standings gives them the edge.

The recommended main selection is Vasco da Gama to win (Tip 2). For a second selection, Both teams to score: Yes is worth considering. Chapecoense are at home and have scored 33 league goals, while Vasco have conceded 50, so the hosts may find an opportunity despite their difficult season. The visitors have also shown enough attacking output to threaten a defence that has struggled to keep opponents out.

These are probability-based selections, not guarantees. The odds and market prices can change, so bettors should compare current offers and stake responsibly.

Our tips

1X2

Home win

Chapecoense have won 1 of their last 3 matches.

Vasco da Gama have lost 4 of their last 7 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Chapecoense's last 3 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Vasco da Gama's last 7 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

1X

Chapecoense have won or drawn 1 of their last 3 matches.

Vasco da Gama have drawn or lost 4 of their last 7 matches.

Top odds at bet365

AI prediction for Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama

The AI prediction favours Vasco da Gama in the 1X2 market. Their higher points total, stronger win count and better goal difference profile make them the more convincing side over the full season. Chapecoense’s home advantage and the repeated draws in this fixture are reasons for caution, but neither fully offsets the difference in league performance.

The AI tip for the match is Tip 2: Vasco da Gama to win. A possible correct-score forecast is Chapecoense 1–2 Vasco da Gama. That scoreline reflects the visitors’ greater overall strength while allowing for the possibility that Chapecoense take advantage of playing at Arena Condá. The prediction is an analytical estimate based on the supplied figures rather than a certainty.

Chapecoense performance check

Chapecoense’s position at the foot of the table reflects a season in which results have been hard to secure. They have 21 points from four wins, nine draws and 20 defeats, and their goal record of 33 scored and 68 conceded highlights problems at both ends of the pitch. The home record—three wins, five draws and eight defeats—offers limited reassurance, even though familiar surroundings may help them approach this fixture with greater confidence.

Their recent sequence is also concerning: one win and four defeats in their last five matches across all competitions. The latest setback was a 1–2 home loss to Mirassol - SP. Coach Rafael Lacerda will need his team to defend with greater concentration and make their attacking moments count. A strong start could help the hosts build belief, but they cannot afford to give Vasco space or easy chances.

Vasco da Gama’s current performance and league position

Vasco da Gama are 13th with 41 points, a more comfortable position than their opponents, but their record still includes 14 defeats. They have 11 wins and eight draws, with 43 goals scored and 50 conceded. Those figures suggest a side capable of creating danger but not always reliable defensively. Their away record of three wins, five draws and eight defeats is a notable limitation ahead of this trip.

Pedro Emanuel’s team have won twice and lost three times in their last five matches in all competitions. Their most recent outing ended in a home loss to Palmeiras on penalties, after a 2–1 result in regular time. That result may provide some encouragement about their ability to compete, although the defeat will still be disappointing. Vasco’s task is to turn their superior season-long numbers into a composed away performance.

Last direct match

The latest meeting between Chapecoense and Vasco da Gama finished 1–1. That result fits the broader pattern of close encounters between the clubs and serves as a reminder that Vasco’s advantage in the table does not guarantee a straightforward victory. Chapecoense will hope to draw confidence from that competitive showing, while Vasco will aim to make the most of their stronger league position this time.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

Across the last five meetings in all competitions, Chapecoense have recorded no wins, while Vasco da Gama have won once. The other four matches ended in draws. This record makes the draw a relevant consideration, particularly given the teams’ previous 1–1 result. Nevertheless, the head-to-head sample is only one part of the assessment; the current league standings and season-long performance favour Vasco.

Performance in the last five matches

Chapecoense have managed one win and suffered four defeats in their last five games, with no draws. That run indicates a side under pressure and in need of a more consistent defensive display. Vasco’s recent record is marginally better: two wins and three defeats, also with no draws. Neither team has been consistently strong, but Vasco have found victories more often in this short-term comparison.

Performance

Chapecoense

Last games

Chapecoense performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

25%

Over 2.5

100%

Vasco da Gama

Last games

Vasco da Gama performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

66%

Over 2.5

50%

Last match results: Chapecoense and Vasco da Gama

Chapecoense’s latest match was a 1–2 home defeat against Mirassol - SP. They will need to respond with more defensive stability if they are to prevent Vasco from taking control. Vasco’s most recent game against Palmeiras went to a penalty shootout, where they lost 4–5 after the match had finished 2–1 in regular time. The result leaves them with a setback, but their performance over regular time suggests they can still pose a threat going forward.

Best odds and betting considerations

The supplied best odds are 6.50 for a Chapecoense win at Gbets, 4.75 for a draw at Gbets and 1.50 for a Vasco da Gama win at Betano. For the goals market, Both Teams to Score—Yes is available at 1.75 with Gbets, while No is listed at 2.10 with 888sport. These prices indicate that Vasco are the clear market favourite, while the BTTS market suggests a reasonable expectation that both sides could score.

Our main selection remains Vasco da Gama to win, with Both teams to score: Yes as the secondary tip. Before placing a wager, compare prices and terms across betting sites. You can find the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison, but always check that a market and price remain available in your location and bet within your means.

Conclusion

Vasco da Gama enter this match as the stronger side on the evidence of the league table, points total and overall win record. Their away form is far from dominant, and the head-to-head history—four draws in five meetings—counsels against treating an away victory as certain. Chapecoense also have the benefit of playing at Arena Condá, but their recent run and defensive record make them difficult to back confidently.

The preferred outcome is a Vasco da Gama win, with a 1–2 scoreline a plausible forecast. Chapecoense may still find the net, making Both Teams to Score—Yes an appealing complementary option. Here are the best football tips for tomorrow: review the latest fixtures, compare available odds and make decisions carefully.