Estrela Amadora - CD Tondela ai prediction 20.02.2026 Primeira Liga

Preview for Match Estrela Amadora vs CD Tondela

On Friday, February 20, 2026, Estrela Amadora will host CD Tondela at the Estádio José Gomes in a crucial Primeira Liga encounter. This match, part of Matchday 23, carries significant implications for both clubs as they seek to improve their standings in the league. Estrela Amadora, currently positioned 11th with 23 points, has recorded five wins, eight draws, and nine defeats, scoring 26 goals while conceding 39. Their home record reflects a struggle to secure consistent victories, with three wins, four draws, and four defeats at their home ground.

In contrast, CD Tondela finds itself languishing in 17th place with just 15 points, illustrating a challenging season thus far. The team has managed to secure three victories but has suffered from a lack of form, with six draws and 13 defeats, accumulating a mere 15 goals while conceding a staggering 36. Their away performance has been particularly concerning, with only two wins, two draws, and seven defeats.

The last encounter between these two teams concluded in a goalless draw, highlighting the competitive nature of their recent meetings. With both clubs struggling for form, this match presents an opportunity for Estrela Amadora to capitalize on their home advantage against a Tondela side that has been unable to find its rhythm.

Our Betting Tip for the Match Estrela Amadora vs CD Tondela

Our betting prediction for this matchup leans towards a home victory for Estrela Amadora, given their relatively stronger position in the league and home advantage. The odds for a home win are approximately 2.67 at Betwinner, which represents attractive value for bettors. Additionally, a second tip to consider is that both teams may not score, especially given Tondela's struggles in front of goal this season.

In summary, our main tip is for Estrela Amadora to win (Tip 1), while our secondary tip is for both teams not to score.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Estrela Amadora's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 2 of CD Tondela's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

1X

Estrela Amadora have won or drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.

CD Tondela have drawn or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Estrela Amadora's last 5 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 3 of CD Tondela's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI Prediction for the Match Estrela Amadora vs CD Tondela

AI predictions suggest that Estrela Amadora has a higher likelihood of securing a victory in this match. The statistical analysis indicates that, based on their head-to-head history and current form, Estrela Amadora could win with a scoreline of 2-0. The home advantage, combined with Tondela's ongoing struggles, reinforces this forecast.

Estrela Amadora Performance Check

Estrela Amadora, under the management of João Nuno, has exhibited a mixed bag of results in recent matches, with one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five games. Despite their struggles, they remain a resilient team capable of performing well at home. Their position in the table reflects a need for improvement, but with the support of their fans, they may find the motivation required to secure all three points in this upcoming fixture.

How is the Current Performance of CD Tondela

CD Tondela, managed by Cristiano Bacci, is experiencing a particularly difficult season, currently sitting in the relegation zone. Their recent form shows no wins in the last five matches, with three draws and two defeats. The team's inability to convert chances into goals has been a significant factor in their struggles, and they will need to find a way to break this cycle if they hope to avoid relegation.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In their last three encounters, Estrela Amadora and CD Tondela have been evenly matched, with no wins for either side. All three meetings have ended in draws, including their most recent clash, which concluded in a 0-0 stalemate. This trend indicates a tightly contested rivalry, although the current form of both teams suggests that Estrela Amadora may have the upper hand.

Performance Last 5 Matches

In their last five matches, Estrela Amadora has recorded one victory, one draw, and three defeats, reflecting a challenging period. Conversely, CD Tondela has struggled significantly, with no wins, three draws, and two defeats, showcasing their difficulties in securing positive results.

Performance

Estrela Amadora

Last games

Estrela Amadora performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

60%

CD Tondela

Last games

CD Tondela performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

60%

Last Match Results Estrela Amadora and CD Tondela

Estrela Amadora's most recent match ended in a 1-2 defeat against Vitória Guimarães, while CD Tondela managed a 1-1 draw at home against FC Alverca. These results further illustrate the contrasting fortunes of the two teams as they approach this critical fixture.

Best Odds and Betting Tip

The best odds for a home win for Estrela Amadora stand at 2.67 with Betwinner, while the odds for a draw are 3.20, and a Tondela win is priced at 2.95 with Mozzart. Our experience with the best betting sites indicates that these odds provide good value for those looking to place a wager on this match. For those interested in betting options, we recommend exploring the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Estrela Amadora appears to be the favorites heading into this match against CD Tondela. Their home advantage, combined with Tondela's ongoing struggles, suggests that a home win is a strong possibility. Ultimately, this match could be pivotal for both teams as they seek to enhance their positions in the league.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow: Keep an eye on upcoming fixtures as we continue to provide valuable insights and predictions for football betting enthusiasts.