ACF Fiorentina - AC Milan ai prediction 11.01.2026 Serie A

Preview for the Match Fiorentina vs AC Milan

The upcoming Serie A clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan on Sunday, January 11, 2026, promises to be an intriguing affair. Set to take place at the Artemio Franchi Stadium at 15:00, this match is crucial for both teams but for markedly different reasons. Fiorentina, currently languishing in 18th position on the table with 13 points, is desperately seeking a turnaround as they battle relegation woes. Having secured only two wins alongside seven draws and suffering ten defeats, their form has been far from impressive. Their home record stands at two wins, two draws, and five losses, which does little to inspire confidence among their supporters.

On the other hand, AC Milan is enjoying a fruitful season. Positioned second on the Serie A table with 38 points, they are in hot pursuit of the top spot. Under the guidance of manager Massimiliano Allegri, AC Milan has amassed 11 wins, five draws, and has suffered just one defeat, boasting an impressive goal difference of 28:13. Their away form is particularly formidable, being unbeaten on the road with five wins and three draws.

The previous encounter between these two sides saw AC Milan triumph with a 2-1 victory at home. Historically, the head-to-head record in the last five meetings favors AC Milan, who have three wins compared to Fiorentina's single victory, with one match ending in a draw. Both teams head into this match with mixed results in their last five games across all competitions. Fiorentina managed two wins, one draw, and two losses, while AC Milan recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss.

Our Betting Tip for the Match Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Our betting prediction strongly favors an away victory for AC Milan. Given their superior form and standing in the league, they are well-equipped to capitalize on Fiorentina's vulnerabilities. Additionally, the odds for AC Milan to win, offered at 2.08 by Betika, present a favorable betting opportunity.

Furthermore, considering both teams' recent performances and their ability to find the back of the net, we suggest betting on both teams to score. Mozzart offers odds of 1.85 for this outcome, making it an attractive option for bettors.

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of AC Milan's last 4 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

12

Fiorentina have won or lost 5 of their last 6 matches.

AC Milan have won or lost 3 of their last 4 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of AC Milan's last 4 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI Prediction for the Match Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Based on data analytics and statistical evaluation, our AI prediction aligns with the notion of an AC Milan victory. With their consistent performance and potent attacking lineup, AC Milan is predicted to secure a 2-1 win against Fiorentina. The AI forecast also supports the likelihood of both teams scoring, given Fiorentina's recent offensive outings and defensive lapses.

Fiorentina Performance Check

Managed by Paolo Vanoli, Fiorentina finds themselves in a precarious position, battling to escape the relegation zone. Their current standing as 18th on the Serie A table is a testament to their struggles this season. Despite having a resilient squad, their inconsistency in securing results has hindered their progress. With only two wins so far, the team must address their defensive frailties, having conceded 30 goals, while their attack has managed to score only 20 times. Vanoli will be keen to inspire his team to perform better at home, where they have only managed two victories in nine attempts.

How is the Current Performance of AC Milan?

Under the astute management of Massimiliano Allegri, AC Milan is thriving. Their second-place standing reflects a season of strong performances and tactical discipline. Known for their attacking prowess, Milan has scored 28 goals while maintaining a solid defense, conceding just 13. Their unbeaten away record underscores their ability to compete effectively on any ground. With Allegri at the helm, Milan is well-poised to continue their pursuit of the Serie A title, leveraging their form and experience to secure crucial points against Fiorentina.

Last Direct Match

The last encounter between Fiorentina and AC Milan resulted in a 2-1 victory for Milan at their home ground. This match showcased Milan's ability to edge out their opponents through strategic gameplay and capitalize on key moments, a trait they will look to replicate in the upcoming fixture.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In the last five meetings across all competitions, AC Milan has the upper hand with three victories. Fiorentina has managed just one win, and one match ended in a draw. This historical advantage adds to Milan's confidence as they prepare for their trip to the Artemio Franchi Stadium.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Fiorentina's recent form includes two wins, one draw, and two defeats, reflecting their fluctuating performances. AC Milan, conversely, has shown consistency with two wins, two draws, and one loss. The Rossoneri's ability to maintain a steady run of form makes them formidable opponents.

Performance

Fiorentina

Last games

Fiorentina performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

60%

AC Milan

Last games

AC Milan performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

20%

Last Match Results Fiorentina and AC Milan

Fiorentina's last outing was a 2-2 away draw against Lazio, a result that highlighted their resilience and potential to score against tough opposition. AC Milan's last game ended in a 1-1 home draw with CFC Genua, showcasing their ability to remain competitive even when not at their best.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip for the Match

Analyzing the best betting sites, we recommend AC Milan to win at odds of 2.08 with Betika. For those interested in both teams scoring, Mozzart offers odds of 1.85. These options present valuable opportunities for bettors seeking to capitalize on Milan's strong form and Fiorentina's potential to score at home. For a comprehensive comparison of betting sites, explore our bookmaker reviews to find the best options available.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, AC Milan enters this fixture as the clear favorite, given their superior league position and consistent performances. Fiorentina, while facing an uphill battle, will aim to leverage home advantage to disrupt Milan's rhythm. Our prediction favors an AC Milan victory with both teams finding the net.

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