US Lecce - Genoa CFC ai prediction 01.11.2026 Serie A

Preview for match Lecce vs Genoa

Lecce and Genoa meet at the Via del Mare on Sunday, 1 November 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 in Serie A Matchday 10. The fixture brings together two sides positioned close to one another in the table: Genoa are 13th with 10 points, while Lecce sit 14th on nine. That narrow gap makes the result significant for both teams as they look to create some distance from the lower end of the standings. Matteo Marchetti is the appointed referee.

The teams have each recorded three league victories, but their overall records show different patterns. Lecce have lost five of their eight matches and have no draws, while Genoa have also suffered five defeats but have earned one draw from nine games. Lecce’s goal difference is 9:14, compared with Genoa’s 8:13. Neither side has been especially productive in front of goal, and both have conceded more than they have scored.

Home advantage may not be decisive on the available figures. Lecce have won once and lost three times in four home matches, while Genoa have yet to take a point away from home, losing all three of their away fixtures. The visitors nevertheless arrive with the stronger recent sequence: they have won three of their last five matches in all competitions, whereas Lecce have won once and lost four times in the same period. Genoa’s latest result, a 2:0 home victory over Juventus, offers a positive contrast to Lecce’s 1:5 away defeat against Frosinone.

The previous direct meeting ended in a 1:0 home win for Lecce, so the hosts have a recent result to draw confidence from. However, the last five head-to-head encounters are closely balanced, with one Lecce win, two draws and two Genoa victories. Coaches Eusebio Di Francesco and Daniele De Rossi will therefore have reasons to expect a competitive contest, even if Genoa’s current form gives them a slight edge before kick-off.

Our betting tip for Lecce vs Genoa

Our betting prediction is a Genoa win — Tip 2. The away side’s record on the road is a clear concern, since Genoa have lost all three of their away league matches so far. Even so, the wider form comparison points towards the visitors: Genoa have collected three wins in their last five games, while Lecce have lost four of their last five. The 2:0 win over Juventus should also give De Rossi’s team a useful lift in confidence.

The second selection is Both teams score? No. Lecce have scored only nine goals in eight league matches, and Genoa have managed eight across nine. Both teams have also conceded regularly, so a goal is certainly possible at either end, but the attacking numbers do not strongly suggest a high-scoring match. A narrow Genoa victory, potentially with one side failing to score, is a reasonable reading of the available evidence. These selections are predictions rather than guarantees, and bettors should consider the risks before placing a wager.

Our tips

Double Chance

12

Lecce have won or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Genoa have won or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of Lecce's last 5 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Genoa's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Lecce's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 1 of Genoa's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI prediction for Lecce vs Genoa

The AI forecast favours Genoa to win (Tip 2), with a correct-score tip of Lecce 0:1 Genoa. This assessment weighs Genoa’s better recent form against their poor away record, as well as Lecce’s four defeats in their last five matches. The teams’ modest scoring totals also support a cautious scoreline rather than an expectation of an open contest. The AI betting tip is a statistical estimate based on the supplied information, not a certainty.

Lecce performance check

Lecce enter Matchday 10 in 14th place with nine points from eight matches. Their league record stands at three wins, no draws and five defeats, with nine goals scored and 14 conceded. The absence of a draw reflects a run of results that has tended to produce a clear winner, while the negative goal difference highlights the difficulty they have had in keeping opponents at bay.

At the Via del Mare, Lecce have taken one win from four matches and lost the other three. That home record gives them a chance to improve in front of their supporters, but it is not yet a dependable advantage. Eusebio Di Francesco will need his side to respond to the recent heavy defeat against Frosinone and show greater defensive organisation. Lecce’s previous 1:0 home win over Genoa is a reminder that they can make this matchup difficult for the visitors.

Genoa form and current position

Genoa are 13th with 10 points, one place and one point ahead of Lecce. They have played nine league matches, winning three, drawing one and losing five. Their eight goals scored and 13 conceded give them a goal difference of minus five, so there is room for improvement at both ends of the pitch.

Daniele De Rossi’s side have been more convincing in recent weeks, winning three of their last five matches in all competitions. Their latest outing produced a notable 2:0 home win over Juventus, a result that should strengthen belief within the squad. However, their away form remains a major drawback: Genoa have lost all three of their league trips and have yet to record an away victory or draw. Their performance at Lecce will test whether their recent momentum can translate into a more reliable display on the road.

Last direct match

The most recent meeting between Lecce and Genoa finished 1:0 to Lecce on home soil. That result gives the hosts a positive reference point ahead of this fixture, although it does not erase the difference in their recent form. A similarly tight game would be consistent with the low scoring totals both teams have recorded this season.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

Across the last five meetings in all competitions, Lecce have won once, Genoa have won twice and the teams have drawn twice. The record suggests a fairly even rivalry, with neither club having established clear dominance. Lecce’s latest home success is encouraging for the hosts, but the overall balance means the head-to-head history alone offers little reason to discount Genoa.

Performance in the last five matches

Lecce’s last five matches in all competitions have brought one win and four defeats, with no draws. That sequence points to a difficult spell, and the recent 1:5 loss to Frosinone will increase the pressure to improve defensively. Genoa have won three and lost two of their last five, also without a draw. Their stronger run, capped by the victory over Juventus, gives them the more positive momentum going into this meeting.

Performance

Lecce

Last games

Lecce performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

60%

Genoa

Last games

Genoa performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

20%

Last match results

Lecce’s most recent match ended in a 1:5 away defeat against Frosinone. It was a damaging result, particularly because the team conceded five goals and will need to show a more compact defensive performance here. Genoa, by contrast, won their latest fixture 2:0 at home against Juventus. That clean-sheet victory provides a timely boost, although repeating that level away from home remains a separate challenge.

Best odds and betting considerations

The supplied best prices are 3.40 for a Lecce win at Betwinner, 3.35 for the draw at Mozzart and 2.46 for a Genoa win at Betwinner. For the both-teams-to-score market, Yes is priced at 2.00 with Paripesa, while No is available at 1.83 with Bet9ja. These odds indicate that Genoa are considered the most likely of the three 1X2 outcomes, though the short price difference between the options reflects the uncertainty around their away record.

Comparing prices across betting sites can help bettors identify a suitable market and understand how different bookmakers assess the fixture. Readers looking for the best betting sites, including the best betting sites in Africa, can consult our bookmaker comparison and review the terms and conditions before registering or placing a bet. Odds can change, and availability may vary by location.

Conclusion: Genoa have the form advantage

This match looks finely balanced on the league table, but Genoa have the stronger recent form and arrive after a confidence-building win over Juventus. Lecce have home advantage and the memory of a 1:0 victory in the previous meeting, yet their home record and four defeats in their last five matches are concerns. Genoa’s three consecutive away losses in the league prevent them from being an entirely safe selection, but the overall form comparison still makes the visitors the preferred side.

The main recommendation is Genoa to win (Tip 2), with Both teams score? No as the secondary selection. A narrow 0:1 away result is a plausible outcome, though the match could be decided by a single moment. Please bet responsibly and only wager what you can afford to lose.

Here are the best football tips for tomorrow: check our upcoming match previews for further analysis, odds comparisons and selections.

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