Leeds United - Sunderland AFC ai prediction 03.03.2026 Premier League

Preview for Match Leeds United vs Sunderland AFC

As the Premier League season forges ahead into matchday 29, the clash between Leeds United and Sunderland AFC on Tuesday, 3rd March 2026, at 20:30 at Elland Road promises to be a fascinating encounter. Leeds United, managed by Daniel Farke, currently sits at 15th position in the league table with 31 points. Their season has been a mixed bag, comprising 7 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal difference of 37:46. Their home form has been relatively solid, with 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, giving them a slight edge when playing at Elland Road.

Conversely, Sunderland AFC, under the stewardship of Régis Le Bris, is positioned slightly higher in the table at 12th, with 36 points. Their campaign has seen them notch up 9 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal tally of 28:33. However, their away record is less impressive, having secured only 2 wins, 4 draws, and suffered 7 defeats on the road. This disparity in home and away form could tilt the scales in favour of Leeds United for this encounter.

Both teams come into this fixture on the back of different results. Leeds United managed a 1:1 away draw against Aston Villa, while Sunderland AFC endured a disappointing 1:3 home loss to Fulham FC. The last direct meeting between these sides ended in a 1:1 draw, reflecting their closely matched nature in recent encounters. The head-to-head record over the last five meetings is evenly poised, with each side securing a victory alongside three draws.

Our Betting Tip for the Match Leeds United vs Sunderland AFC

Our betting prediction for this fixture leans towards a home win for Leeds United, given their stronger home form and Sunderland's struggles on the road. The odds for a Leeds victory are priced at 1.94 with Betika, which presents a favourable opportunity for punters looking to back Daniel Farke's men. Additionally, considering Sunderland's recent defensive vulnerabilities, our second tip suggests that both teams will not score, with odds for 'No' in both teams to score market at 1.86 with Bet9ja.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Leeds United's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Sunderland AFC's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

X2

Leeds United have drawn or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Sunderland AFC have won or drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of Leeds United's last 5 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 3 of Sunderland AFC's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

AI Prediction for the Match Leeds United vs Sunderland AFC

Based on current form and statistical analysis, our AI prediction suggests a narrow victory for Leeds United. Given their home advantage and Sunderland's away difficulties, a 2:1 scoreline in favour of Leeds seems a plausible outcome. The AI forecast is inclined towards a 1X2 market tip favouring Leeds United to secure three vital points in their quest to climb the Premier League table.

Leeds United Performance Check

Leeds United, under the guidance of Daniel Farke, have had a season marked by inconsistent performances. Their recent form in the last five matches includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat. This run indicates a degree of resilience, especially highlighted by their ability to secure points against formidable opponents. Playing at Elland Road provides them a significant boost, as evidenced by their solid home record, which they will be keen to maintain against Sunderland.

How is the Current Performance of Sunderland AFC?

Sunderland AFC, led by Régis Le Bris, have experienced a season of fluctuating fortunes. Their recent form shows 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last five outings, underlining a struggle for consistency. Their away record is particularly concerning, with only 2 wins in 13 attempts, suggesting vulnerabilities that Leeds United will aim to exploit. The morale within the Sunderland camp will need uplifting following their recent home defeat to Fulham.

Last Direct Match

The last encounter between Leeds United and Sunderland AFC ended in a 1:1 draw. This result reflects the closely matched nature of these teams, with neither side able to assert dominance in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In their last five meetings across all competitions, Leeds United and Sunderland AFC have each claimed one victory, with the remaining three matches ending in draws. This pattern suggests a balanced rivalry, with little to separate the two sides historically.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Leeds United's recent form reads 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, indicating a stable if unspectacular run. Meanwhile, Sunderland AFC have recorded 2 wins and 3 losses, highlighting their struggle for consistency. Both teams will be eager to improve their form as they enter this crucial fixture.

Performance

Leeds United

Last games

Leeds United performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Sunderland AFC

Last games

Sunderland AFC performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

16%

Over 2.5

50%

Last Match Results Leeds United and Sunderland AFC

Leeds United's last outing was a hard-fought 1:1 draw away at Aston Villa, showcasing their ability to secure valuable points on the road. Sunderland AFC, in contrast, suffered a 1:3 home defeat to Fulham, a result that underscores their current defensive frailties.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip for the Match

For those seeking to place a wager on this match, the best odds for a Leeds United win are available at Betika, priced at 1.94. Meanwhile, the odds for both teams not to score are offered at 1.86 with Bet9ja. Our experience with these betting sites suggests they offer competitive odds and reliable platforms for punters.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, Leeds United's home advantage and Sunderland's away struggles point towards a likely victory for the hosts. While the encounter might be closely contested, the balance seems to favour Leeds, especially given their recent resilience and Sunderland's defensive issues. A home win seems the most probable outcome, with a low likelihood of both teams finding the net.

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