Millwall FC - Derby County ai prediction 31.10.2026 Championship

Preview for match Millwall FC vs Derby County

Millwall FC host Derby County at The Den on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:00. The Championship encounter is part of matchday 13 and brings together two sides whose early-season records point to contrasting levels of stability. Millwall sit 13th with 15 points from 12 matches, while Derby are 23rd with seven points. The visitors need to improve their results to move away from the lower end of the table, whereas Millwall will be looking to use home advantage to strengthen their position in mid-table.

The league figures suggest that Millwall have been more productive in front of goal, scoring 19 times, although they have also conceded 20. Their record of four wins, three draws and five defeats shows a team capable of taking points but not yet consistently controlling matches. Derby have scored 10 goals and conceded 21, with one win, four draws and seven defeats. Those numbers underline the challenge facing John Eustace’s side, particularly in attack. Their away record is mixed rather than entirely bleak, with one victory and two draws in six trips, but three defeats show how difficult it has been to collect points on the road.

Recent results offer little reason to expect an easy contest. Millwall have won once, drawn twice and lost twice across their last five matches in all competitions. Derby have not won in that period, recording three draws and two defeats. However, the recent head-to-head record favours the hosts: Millwall are unbeaten in the last five meetings, with three wins and two draws. Their most recent encounter ended in a 1–0 home victory for Millwall. That history, combined with the current table positions, gives the London club a credible case as favourites, although Derby’s need for points may make them difficult to dismiss.

Our betting tip for Millwall FC vs Derby County

Our betting prediction is a home win for Millwall, or Tip 1. Millwall’s stronger points total, better scoring record and unbeaten run across the last five head-to-head meetings all support the hosts. The Den should also provide an advantage against a Derby side that has struggled to turn draws into victories. Millwall’s recent form is not dominant, so this is not a risk-free selection; nevertheless, the available evidence makes the home side the more convincing choice.

Our second tip is Both teams score? Yes. Millwall have conceded 20 goals in 12 league matches, while Derby have managed to score in several of their recent fixtures, including their latest draw. The visitors’ overall attacking output remains modest, but Millwall’s defensive record leaves room for Derby to find a goal. The suggested selections are therefore Millwall to win and Both teams to score: Yes.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Millwall FC have drawn or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Derby County have won or drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Millwall FC's last 5 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Derby County's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

1X2

Draw

Millwall FC have drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.

Derby County have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI prediction for Millwall FC vs Derby County

The AI forecast gives Millwall the advantage in the 1X2 market. Their 15 points and 19 goals compare favourably with Derby’s seven points and 10 goals, while the hosts also have the stronger recent record in this fixture. Derby’s four draws in 12 league matches suggest they can remain competitive for periods, but their single league win and seven defeats indicate that converting performances into victories has been a major issue.

The AI tip is 1, with a possible correct score of Millwall 2–1 Derby County. That scoreline reflects Millwall’s greater attacking production while allowing for the possibility that the visitors take advantage of the hosts’ 20 goals conceded. It is a statistical forecast rather than a certainty, and a lower-scoring home win would also be consistent with the previous 1–0 meeting.

Millwall FC performance check

Millwall enter matchday 13 in 13th place, having collected four wins, three draws and five defeats. Their 19 goals scored show that they have found ways to threaten opponents, but the 20 conceded indicate that defensive reliability remains an area for improvement. At home, Alex Neil’s side have taken two wins and two draws from six matches, alongside two defeats. That record is balanced, but it gives them a reasonable platform against a Derby team positioned near the bottom of the table.

The Lions’ last five matches have produced one win, two draws and two losses. This is a mixed sequence rather than a strong surge, so Millwall will need to be more consistent if they are to build momentum. Their best route may be to make use of the attacking output that has already brought them 19 league goals, while avoiding the defensive lapses that have contributed to a goal difference of minus one.

Derby County current performance and position

Derby are 23rd with seven points after 12 Championship matches. Their record stands at one win, four draws and seven defeats, and they have scored 10 goals while conceding 21. The figures point to difficulties at both ends: the Rams have not scored often enough to compensate for their defensive concessions, and they have lost more than half of their league matches.

John Eustace’s team have drawn three and lost two of their last five matches, without recording a victory. Those draws demonstrate some capacity to stay in games, but the lack of wins is an important concern as they travel to The Den. Derby’s away record of one win, two draws and three defeats is slightly better than their overall league position might suggest, yet they will need a more productive attacking display to put sustained pressure on Millwall.

Last direct match

The most recent meeting between these clubs finished 1–0 to Millwall, who secured a home victory. That result is relevant to this fixture because it shows that the Lions have previously managed to edge Derby in a close contest. A repeat of that scoreline cannot be assumed, especially given the teams’ current defensive records, but the result reinforces Millwall’s favourable recent history.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

Across the last five meetings in all competitions, Millwall have recorded three wins and there have been two draws. Derby have not won any of those five encounters. The sequence gives the home side a clear psychological and statistical advantage, although past results do not guarantee the same outcome on matchday 13. Derby will need to break that pattern if they are to take a valuable result away from The Den.

Performance in the last five matches

Millwall’s last five matches have brought one win, two draws and two defeats. The record indicates a side that has been able to earn points but has not yet established a consistent winning rhythm. Derby’s form is less encouraging: they have taken three draws and suffered two defeats, with no wins in that span. Their ability to avoid defeat in several games may offer some encouragement, but they must find a way to turn draws into victories.

Performance

Millwall FC

Last games

Millwall FC performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

16%

Over 2.5

66%

Derby County

Last games

Derby County performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

50%

Last match results

Millwall’s latest outing ended in a 2–1 away defeat to Portsmouth. The loss means they will be seeking a response in front of their home supporters, and their attacking goal in that match offers at least some evidence that they can create opportunities.

Derby’s last match was a 1–1 away draw against Sheffield United. It extended their recent run without a victory, but earning a point on the road may provide a measure of confidence ahead of another away assignment.

Best odds and betting markets

The listed best odds for the 1X2 market are 1.73 for a Millwall win at Betwinner, 3.90 for the draw at Betano, and 5.00 for a Derby victory at Gbets. For the both-teams-to-score market, the price for Yes is 1.80 at Gbets, while No is 2.04 at Bet9ja. Odds can change, so bettors should check the latest prices and terms before placing a wager.

Based on our experience comparing bookmakers and betting sites, it is sensible to review more than one operator before choosing a market. Comparing the best betting sites, including options featured in our bookmaker comparison, can help bettors identify competitive odds and understand the conditions attached to each offer. The selections here are Millwall to win and both teams to score, but all betting involves risk and should be approached responsibly.

Conclusion and final prediction

Millwall have the stronger overall case going into this Championship match. They sit 10 places above Derby, have collected eight more points, and have scored nine more goals. Their unbeaten record across the last five head-to-head meetings further supports the home side, while Derby’s failure to win any of their last five matches is a concern. Millwall’s own form is not especially convincing, and their defensive record could give the visitors an opportunity, so a comfortable victory should not be taken for granted.

The main selection is Millwall to win (Tip 1), with Both teams to score: Yes as the secondary tip. A 2–1 home victory is a plausible score prediction, balancing Millwall’s advantage with the possibility of a Derby goal. Here are the best football tips for tomorrow: review the latest fixtures, compare available odds and assess each selection carefully before betting.