Mirassol - SP - Atlético Mineiro ai prediction 14.11.2026 Série A

Preview for match Mirassol - SP vs Atlético Mineiro

Mirassol - SP host Atlético Mineiro at Campos Maia on Saturday, 14 November 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 22:30 in Série A’s 35th matchday. The fixture presents an intriguing contrast: Mirassol are seeking to make the most of their home advantage, while Atlético arrive with a higher league position but a difficult recent run of results. With the season approaching its conclusion, both sides have reason to pursue points, although their routes to a positive outcome may differ.

Mirassol sit 14th with 40 points from 34 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 10 draws and 14 defeats reflects an inconsistent campaign, and a goal difference of 39:48 highlights some defensive vulnerability. At Campos Maia, however, they have been more dependable: seven wins and six draws from 17 home games, with only four defeats. That record gives Rafael Guanaes’s team a credible platform, particularly against an opponent whose away results have been less convincing.

Atlético Mineiro are seventh on 50 points, having won 14, drawn eight and lost 12 of their 34 matches. They have scored 44 goals and conceded 40, giving them a positive goal difference, but their away record is a concern: four wins, three draws and 10 defeats. Eduardo Domínguez’s side have also struggled for momentum, recording no wins in their last five matches across all competitions. Mirassol’s recent form has been more balanced, with two victories, one draw and two defeats in that same span.

The previous direct meeting ended in a 3-1 home win for Atlético Mineiro, and the broader head-to-head record also favours the visitors. Nevertheless, current form and the home-away split make this contest less straightforward than the league standings alone suggest. Mirassol have a reasonable opportunity to challenge, while both teams have shown enough attacking potential to make goals at either end a plausible outcome.

Our betting tip for Mirassol - SP vs Atlético Mineiro

Our betting tip is a home win for Mirassol - SP, or Tip 1. The hosts’ home record is the strongest argument: they have lost only four of 17 league matches at Campos Maia, whereas Atlético have suffered 10 defeats in 17 away fixtures. Mirassol also come into this match with two wins from their last five, while Atlético have not won any of their last five. These indicators make the home side an appealing selection despite their lower position in the table.

Our second tip is Both teams to score: Yes. Mirassol have conceded 48 goals in the league, suggesting that Atlético may find opportunities, even during a poor spell. The visitors have scored 44 league goals overall, while Mirassol’s home advantage and recent victory over Chapecoense provide reasons to expect a response at the other end. This is not a risk-free market, but the available information points towards both sides having a chance to score.

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Mirassol - SP's last 3 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Atlético Mineiro's last 7 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Mirassol - SP's last 3 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of Atlético Mineiro's last 7 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

12

Mirassol - SP have won or lost 2 of their last 3 matches.

Atlético Mineiro have won or lost 6 of their last 7 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI prediction for Mirassol - SP vs Atlético Mineiro

The AI prediction leans towards a narrow Mirassol victory. The home side’s record at Campos Maia and Atlético’s poor away results provide the clearest statistical basis for a Tip 1 selection. However, Atlético’s superior league position and the 3-1 result in the last direct meeting are reasons to expect a competitive contest rather than a one-sided performance.

The AI tip for the correct score is Mirassol - SP 2-1 Atlético Mineiro. This forecast reflects the hosts’ advantage on their own ground and the possibility that both teams will score. It is an analytical estimate, not a guarantee: the teams’ recent results and season-long records leave room for a draw or an away response.

Mirassol - SP performance check

Mirassol are 14th with 40 points, built from 10 wins, 10 draws and 14 defeats. Their 39 goals scored and 48 conceded show that defensive consistency has been a challenge across the season. At home, however, the picture is more encouraging. Seven wins and six draws in 17 matches indicate that they can be difficult to beat in front of their supporters, even if they have not turned every home fixture into a victory.

Rafael Guanaes’s team have taken seven points from their last five matches: two wins, one draw and two defeats. That sequence is mixed rather than dominant, but it compares favourably with Atlético’s recent run. Mirassol’s latest result, a 2-1 away victory over Chapecoense, should also provide a measure of confidence ahead of this home fixture.

Atlético Mineiro’s current performance and league position

Atlético Mineiro occupy seventh place with 50 points. Their 14 wins, eight draws and 12 defeats have produced a stronger overall record than Mirassol’s, and their 44 goals scored and 40 conceded give them a positive goal difference. Those figures underline the visitors’ quality over the full campaign, but their away performances have been a notable weakness: they have won only four of 17 away matches and lost 10.

Eduardo Domínguez will be looking for a response after a difficult five-match stretch in which Atlético have recorded no wins, one draw and four defeats. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 home draw against Grêmio FBPA. That result stopped the losing sequence from extending, but the team still need to demonstrate greater consistency if they are to turn their league position into a strong finish.

Last direct match

The most recent meeting between these teams finished 3-1 to Atlético Mineiro at home. That result gives the visitors a positive recent reference point, although the upcoming match has a different setting. Mirassol’s home record and Atlético’s away difficulties could make the balance more even this time.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

Across the last three meetings in all competitions, Mirassol have recorded no wins, with one draw and two victories for Atlético Mineiro. The historical edge therefore belongs to the visitors. Still, three matches represent a limited sample, and the teams’ current form and contrasting home and away records are important factors when assessing this encounter.

Performance in the last five matches

Mirassol’s last five matches have brought two wins, one draw and two defeats. This record points to a side with some positive momentum but not yet a sustained run of consistency. Atlético Mineiro have had a more difficult period, registering no wins, one draw and four defeats. The difference in recent results is one reason to give Mirassol the advantage, particularly with the match taking place at Campos Maia.

Performance

Mirassol - SP

Last games

Mirassol - SP performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

25%

Atlético Mineiro

Last games

Atlético Mineiro performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

33%

Last match results

Mirassol - SP’s latest match was a 2-1 away win against Chapecoense. Atlético Mineiro’s most recent game ended in a 1-1 home draw with Grêmio FBPA. The results leave the hosts with a victory to build on, while Atlético will take some encouragement from avoiding defeat but remain without a win in their last five matches.

Best odds and betting markets

The listed best odds are 2.05 for a Mirassol win at Betwinner, 3.61 for the draw at Betwinner and 3.85 for an Atlético Mineiro victory at Betano. For both teams to score, the Yes price is 1.75 at Gbets, while the No option is 2.15 at 888sport. Odds can change, so it is sensible to check the latest prices and terms before placing a wager.

In our experience, comparing several betting sites can help readers understand the range of prices available rather than relying on a single quote. You can find the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison, including options for those searching for the best betting sites Africa has to offer. Please bet responsibly and only stake what you can afford to lose.

Conclusion and final prediction

Atlético Mineiro have the better league position and the stronger record across the season, and their two wins in the last three direct meetings provide an additional reason for respect. However, the visitors’ away record is poor, and their recent run of four defeats and one draw offers little evidence of a team currently playing with confidence. Mirassol, by contrast, have been more resilient at home and arrive after a win.

For those reasons, the preferred 1X2 selection is a Mirassol - SP home win. The match may remain close, particularly given Atlético’s attacking record and Mirassol’s defensive concessions, so Both teams to score: Yes is a suitable secondary tip. The projected score is 2-1 to the hosts, while recognising that the visitors’ quality makes this a contest with uncertainty.

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