Mirassol - SP - Grêmio Porto Alegre ai prediction 17.07.2026 Série A

Preview for match Mirassol - SP vs Grêmio Porto Alegre

On Saturday, July 18, 2026, Mirassol - SP will host Grêmio Porto Alegre at the renowned Campos Maia stadium, marking a significant encounter in the Série A as both teams strive for crucial points in the league. As the matchday 19 approaches, the stakes are high, particularly for Mirassol, who currently sits in 19th place with 16 points. Their record boasts 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, with a goal tally of 18 scored and 24 conceded. In their home encounters, they have demonstrated a balanced performance with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, revealing their potential to secure points in familiar surroundings.

Conversely, Grêmio Porto Alegre occupies the 16th position in the league table, having accumulated 21 points from 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, yielding a goal difference of 20 scored against 23 conceded. Notably, Grêmio has struggled on the road, failing to secure a single win in their away matches, resulting in 4 draws and 5 losses. This trend of poor away form could weigh heavily on their performance against a Mirassol side that has historically had the upper hand in their recent meetings.

The last direct encounter between these two teams ended with a narrow 1-0 victory for Mirassol, which adds psychological weight to the matchup. Both clubs will be eager to bounce back from their recent setbacks, as Mirassol suffered a 0-1 defeat to Athletico Paranaense, while Grêmio endured a more significant 1-3 loss at home against Corinthians SP.

With the context of their league positions, recent form, and historical performances, this match promises to be an intriguing contest where both teams will look to assert dominance and secure vital points to enhance their standings in the Série A.

Our betting tip for the match Mirassol - SP vs Grêmio Porto Alegre

Our betting prediction for this match leans towards a home victory for Mirassol - SP. The team’s recent performances at home suggest they are more than capable of overcoming Grêmio Porto Alegre, especially given the latter's struggles in away fixtures. The odds for a Mirassol win stand at an appealing 2.04 with Betwinner, making this a strong option for bettors looking to capitalize on the home advantage.

Additionally, a secondary tip to consider is whether both teams will score. Given the defensive frailties exhibited by Grêmio on the road, coupled with Mirassol's pressing need for points, it is plausible that they will keep a clean sheet. Thus, our recommendation is to bet on "No" for both teams to score, which currently has odds of 1.89 at Bet9ja.

Our tips

1X2

Away win

Mirassol - SP have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Grêmio Porto Alegre have won 2 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

X2

Mirassol - SP have drawn or lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Grêmio Porto Alegre have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

12

Mirassol - SP have won or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Grêmio Porto Alegre have won or lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI prediction for the match Mirassol - SP vs Grêmio Porto Alegre

AI analysis of this matchup indicates a strong likelihood of a Mirassol win, reflecting their necessity to climb out of the relegation zone. The predicted scoreline could be a decisive 2-0 victory for the home side, underscoring their potential to dominate the encounter. The data suggests that Mirassol possesses the tactical edge, particularly in their home environment, allowing them to exploit Grêmio’s vulnerabilities effectively.

Mirassol - SP performance check

Under the management of Rafael Guanaes, Mirassol - SP has been striving to improve their overall performances this season. With a record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, the team has shown glimpses of potential, particularly at home, where they have managed to secure three victories. However, the recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three defeats over their last five matches. This inconsistency highlights the need for a solid performance against Grêmio to maintain their quest for survival in the top flight.

How is the current performance of Grêmio Porto Alegre?

Grêmio Porto Alegre, managed by Luís Castro, has had a tumultuous season thus far, reflected in their position of 16th in the league standings. With 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, their overall performance has lacked the consistency required to climb higher in the table. Their away form is particularly alarming, with no wins recorded and a string of disappointing results. In their last five matches, they have managed to secure two wins, two draws, and one defeat, indicating a slight improvement in form, yet the challenges of playing away from home continue to pose significant hurdles.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

In the last three meetings between Mirassol - SP and Grêmio Porto Alegre, the former has exhibited dominance, winning all three encounters without any draws or victories for Grêmio. This historical trend adds an additional layer of confidence for Mirassol as they prepare to host Grêmio once more.

Performance last 5 matches

In their last five matches, Mirassol - SP has recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats, indicating a mixed bag of results. On the other hand, Grêmio Porto Alegre has performed slightly better, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and a single defeat, suggesting a flicker of form that they will hope to carry into this match.

Performance

Mirassol - SP

Last games

Mirassol - SP performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

80%

Over 2.5

40%

Grêmio Porto Alegre

Last games

Grêmio Porto Alegre performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

40%

Last match results

Mirassol's last match ended in a 0-1 defeat against Athletico Paranaense, while Grêmio Porto Alegre faced a 1-3 loss at home against Corinthians SP. Both teams will be eager to reverse their fortunes in this upcoming clash.

Best odds and our betting tip

The best odds for a Mirassol win are currently at 2.04 with Betwinner, while a draw can be found at 3.40 with Gbets, and a Grêmio victory stands at 4.00 also with Gbets. Our analysis of various betting sites suggests that Mirassol's home advantage and Grêmio's struggles on the road make a home win the more likely outcome. For those seeking value, we recommend exploring the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison to find the most favorable odds.

Conclusion on the match

Considering the historical context of their encounters, the current form of both teams, and their respective league positions, Mirassol - SP emerges as the clear favorite for this fixture. With a strong home record and Grêmio's ongoing struggles away from home, a victory for Mirassol seems the most plausible outcome. Expect a determined performance from the home side as they aim to secure crucial points in their fight against relegation.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow, providing a chance for punters to capitalize on upcoming fixtures in the football calendar.