SSC Napoli - ACF Fiorentina ai prediction 31.01.2026 Serie A

Preview for Match Napoli vs Fiorentina

As Serie A enters its 23rd matchday, all eyes will be on the Diego Maradona Stadium this Saturday, 31st January 2026, where Napoli will host Fiorentina in an intriguing contest. The stakes are high for both teams, albeit for different reasons. Napoli currently sits in the 4th position on the Serie A table with 43 points. Their campaign has seen them secure 13 victories, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a respectable goal difference of 31:20. Under the guidance of Antonio Conte, they have been particularly strong at home, remaining unbeaten with 7 wins and 3 draws.

Fiorentina, on the other hand, is struggling in the relegation zone, languishing at 18th position with 17 points. Their form this season has been underwhelming, with only 3 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, and a goal difference of 24:34. The Viola have found it challenging on the road, managing just one victory away from home, alongside 5 draws and 5 losses. Coach Paolo Vanoli will be hoping for a turnaround in fortunes, especially considering their precarious position in the league.

Historically, Napoli has had the upper hand in recent encounters with Fiorentina. In their last five meetings across all competitions, Napoli has emerged victorious four times, with one match ending in a draw. Their most recent encounter saw Napoli secure a convincing 3-1 away win. Both teams come into this match off the back of defeats; Napoli suffered a 2-3 home loss to Chelsea FC, while Fiorentina was defeated 1-3 at home by Como. As both sides seek redemption, this fixture promises to be a compelling contest.

Our Betting Tip for the Match Napoli vs Fiorentina

Our betting prediction for this encounter favors a home win for Napoli. Given Napoli's impressive home record, where they have yet to taste defeat, coupled with Fiorentina's struggles away from home, the scales tip in favor of the hosts. The best odds for a Napoli victory are available at Betwinner with odds of 1.83.

Additionally, considering the defensive solidity Napoli has shown at home, alongside Fiorentina's attacking struggles, our second tip is that both teams will not score. This is supported by the odds at Gbets, which offer 1.91 for both teams not to score.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Napoli have drawn or lost 5 of their last 6 matches.

Fiorentina have won or drawn 2 of their last 4 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Napoli's last 6 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Fiorentina's last 4 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Napoli's last 6 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Fiorentina's last 4 matches.

Top odds at Bet9ja

AI Prediction for the Match Napoli vs Fiorentina

Our AI prediction aligns with the aforementioned betting tip, suggesting a home win for Napoli. Based on statistical analysis, Napoli's dominant home form and recent head-to-head superiority suggest a probable 2-0 victory. This AI betting tip considers the overall strength of Napoli's squad and their current fourth-place standing in the league.

Napoli Performance Check

Under the stewardship of Antonio Conte, Napoli has had a robust season thus far. With a stronghold on the 4th position in the Serie A standings, they have proven to be formidable at home, boasting an undefeated record. Despite a recent dip in form, with only one win in their last five matches across all competitions, Napoli remains a potent force. Their recent loss to Chelsea in the Champions League does not overshadow their domestic prowess, where they continue to accumulate crucial points.

How is the Current Performance of Fiorentina?

Fiorentina's season, managed by Paolo Vanoli, has been fraught with challenges. Positioned 18th on the table, they are in dire need of points to evade relegation. Their last five matches have mirrored Napoli's form, with one win, two draws, and two losses. The recent home defeat to Como exemplifies their struggles, particularly in defense, where they have conceded 34 goals this season. Despite these challenges, Fiorentina will be desperate to secure a positive result to boost their survival hopes.

Last Direct Match

In their last direct meeting, Napoli asserted their dominance with a 3-1 victory away from home. This result continued their trend of success against Fiorentina, highlighting the gap between the two sides in recent years.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

The head-to-head record between these two teams over their last five meetings paints a clear picture of Napoli's superiority. They have won four encounters, while one game ended in a draw. Fiorentina has been unable to claim victory in these recent matchups.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Both teams have experienced fluctuating forms in their last five outings across all competitions. Napoli has managed one win, two draws, and two losses, mirroring Fiorentina's recent results. Yet, the context of these performances shows Napoli's resilience compared to Fiorentina's ongoing struggles.

Performance

Napoli

Last games

Napoli performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

33%

Fiorentina

Last games

Fiorentina performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

25%

Over 2.5

50%

Last Match Results Napoli and Fiorentina

Napoli's latest match resulted in a narrow 2-3 defeat at home against Chelsea FC in the Champions League. Meanwhile, Fiorentina suffered a 1-3 loss at home against Como, further complicating their league predicament.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip for the Match

For this match, the best odds for a Napoli victory are provided by Betwinner at 1.83. Additionally, for those considering both teams not scoring, Gbets offers odds of 1.91. Our experience with these betting sites has generally been positive, with competitive odds and a user-friendly interface. For more options, find the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, Napoli's strong home form and superior head-to-head record make them firm favorites to secure a win against Fiorentina. The host's defensive resilience at home, combined with Fiorentina's attacking inefficiencies, suggests a favorable outcome for Napoli. Here are tomorrow's betting tips for those looking to continue their betting journey.

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