Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao ai prediction 28.02.2026 Primera División

Preview for the Match: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

The Primera División encounter between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao is set to unfold on Saturday, 28th February 2026, at 14:00 at the iconic Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas. As Matchday 26 approaches, both teams are eager to solidify their standings in the highly competitive league. Rayo Vallecano currently sits at the 14th position with 26 points, while Athletic Bilbao occupies the 8th spot with 34 points. This match promises to be an enthralling contest, given the historical performances and current form of both teams.

Rayo Vallecano has had a mixed season so far, with 6 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, scoring 22 goals while conceding 31. Their home record, consisting of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, suggests a resilient side that can hold its ground in front of home supporters. Under the guidance of coach Iñigo Pérez, Rayo will be looking to capitalize on its home advantage to climb the league table.

On the other hand, Athletic Bilbao, managed by Ernesto Valverde, has showcased a more promising form with 10 victories, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, netting 29 goals and allowing 35 against them. Their away form has been less reliable, with only 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, leaving room for improvement. The Basque side, however, brings a recent victory over Elche CF into this match, adding a boost of confidence.

The last direct encounter between these two teams ended in a narrow 1-0 victory for Athletic Bilbao, highlighting the competitive nature of their meetings. As both teams gear up for this clash, fans can anticipate a tactical battle with potential surprises.

Our Betting Tip for the Match: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

Our betting prediction for this encounter suggests a home win for Rayo Vallecano. Despite their recent mixed form, their resilience at home and the potential tactical adaptations by Iñigo Pérez could tip the scales in their favor. Additionally, considering the defensive vulnerabilities of both sides, our second tip is that both teams will not score.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Rayo Vallecano's last 3 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Athletic Bilbao's last 7 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 3 of Rayo Vallecano's last 3 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of Athletic Bilbao's last 7 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Double Chance

12

Rayo Vallecano have won or lost 2 of their last 3 matches.

Athletic Bilbao have won or lost 6 of their last 7 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI Prediction for the Match: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

Utilizing data-driven analysis, the AI betting tip forecasts a close contest with a slight edge for Rayo Vallecano, predicting a 1-0 victory. The AI foresees a game characterized by strategic play and defensive solidity, with Rayo possibly capitalizing on a singular opportunity to seal the win.

Rayo Vallecano Performance Check

Under the management of Iñigo Pérez, Rayo Vallecano has experienced a challenging season. Positioned 14th in the league, their campaign has been marred by inconsistency. Their recent form, recording 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats in their last five games, indicates a need for tactical adjustments. However, their home record offers a glimmer of hope, suggesting a degree of resilience when playing in familiar surroundings.

How is the Current Performance of Athletic Bilbao?

Athletic Bilbao, led by Ernesto Valverde, is currently 8th in the Primera División, showcasing a commendable performance in recent weeks. With 4 wins in their last 5 matches, they are in a promising position to challenge for higher rankings. Despite their away struggles, their recent victory against Elche CF underscores their capability to deliver results under pressure.

Last Direct Match

The last direct encounter between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao concluded with a 1-0 victory for the Basque side. This result highlights the competitive edge Bilbao holds over Rayo in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In the last five direct confrontations across all competitions, Athletic Bilbao has dominated, securing victories in all five encounters. This historical advantage adds an intriguing layer to their upcoming clash.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Rayo Vallecano has achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats in their recent matches, highlighting a period of inconsistency. Conversely, Athletic Bilbao's form has been impressive, with 4 wins and 1 loss, reflecting their competitive edge.

Performance

Rayo Vallecano

Last games

Rayo Vallecano performance of the last 3 home matches

Victories

66%

Over 2.5

100%

Athletic Bilbao

Last games

Athletic Bilbao performance of the last 7 away matches

Victories

42%

Over 2.5

100%

Last Match Results Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano's last match ended in a 1-1 away draw against Betis Sevilla, showcasing their ability to secure points on the road. Meanwhile, Athletic Bilbao emerged victorious with a 2-1 home win over Elche CF, further solidifying their strong form.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip or Betting Prediction

For those interested in betting, the odds present intriguing opportunities. The best odds for a home win for Rayo Vallecano are available at Betika with an odd of 2.65. For a draw, Betwinner offers an odd of 3.18, while an away win for Athletic Bilbao is also priced at 3.21 with Betwinner. Additionally, for those considering both teams to score, the odds stand at 1.95 for YES with Gbets and 1.84 for NO with Bet9ja.

Find the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison to ensure you get the most advantageous odds for your wagers.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, Rayo Vallecano's home advantage and potential tactical innovations could make them slight favorites in this fixture. Athletic Bilbao's recent form poses a significant challenge, but Rayo’s resilience at Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas might just give them the edge. Expect a closely contested match with limited scoring opportunities.

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