Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Atlético Madrid ai prediction 04.01.2026 Primera División

Preview for the Match: Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid

On Sunday, January 4, 2026, at 21:00, Real Sociedad will host Atlético Madrid at the Reale Arena for an engaging encounter in the Primera División. This fixture marks the 18th matchday of the season, bringing together two teams whose paths in the league table have been markedly different. Real Sociedad currently finds itself languishing in 16th position with a total of 17 points, while Atlético Madrid is riding high at 3rd place with 37 points. The home side, under the stewardship of Pellegrino Matarazzo, is desperately seeking a turnaround in their fortunes, having secured only four victories this season.

Real Sociedad's home form has been a mixed bag, with three wins, one draw, and four losses, a record that they will be eager to improve upon. Meanwhile, Atlético Madrid, managed by the formidable Diego Simeone, has displayed commendable resilience on their travels, boasting three wins, three draws, and three losses away from home. The last time these two sides met, Atlético Madrid emerged as emphatic 4-0 victors, a result that Real Sociedad will be keen to avenge.

Adding intrigue to this clash is the form book, which shows Real Sociedad having two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings across all competitions. In stark contrast, Atlético Madrid has been in stellar form, recording four wins and just one defeat in their last five games. As both teams prepare to lock horns, the question remains whether Real Sociedad can leverage their home advantage to disrupt Atlético Madrid's momentum and climb up the league standings.

Our Betting Tip for the Match Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid

Our betting prediction for this intriguing match leans towards an away victory for Atlético Madrid, given their superior form and position in the league standings. With the attacking prowess they have demonstrated, they seem well-equipped to secure all three points in this fixture. Additionally, considering both teams' recent scoring records, we predict that both sides will find the back of the net, making "Both teams score? Yes" a viable betting option.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Real Sociedad's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Atlético Madrid's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

12

Real Sociedad have won or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Atlético Madrid have won or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Real Sociedad's last 5 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Atlético Madrid's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI Prediction for the Match Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid

Based on current form and statistical analysis, our AI betting tip suggests an Atlético Madrid win. Their recent performances, coupled with Real Sociedad's struggles, make them favorites for this encounter. A plausible correct score prediction could be a 2-1 victory in favor of Atlético Madrid, reflecting both teams' capability to score.

Real Sociedad Performance Check

Under the guidance of Pellegrino Matarazzo, Real Sociedad's season has been characterized by inconsistency. Currently positioned 16th in the league, they have managed to gather only 17 points. Their goal-scoring record stands at 21 goals scored to 25 conceded, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Despite some promising performances, they have struggled to maintain a consistent run of form, especially at home, where they have recorded three wins, one draw, and four losses.

How is the Current Performance of Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid, led by the indomitable Diego Simeone, continues to be a formidable force in the league. Occupying 3rd place with an impressive 37 points, they have been a model of consistency. Their goal difference of 33:16 speaks volumes about their attacking and defensive capabilities. Their recent triumph, a 3-0 away victory against Girona FC, showcases their ability to dominate games, a trait they will look to carry into the match against Real Sociedad.

Last Direct Match

The last encounter between these sides ended in a dominant 4-0 win for Atlético Madrid, further highlighting the challenge that Real Sociedad faces in this upcoming match. Atlético's clinical performance in that fixture will surely be a psychological advantage going into this game.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In their last five meetings across all competitions, Atlético Madrid has emerged victorious on three occasions, with two matches ending in a draw. Real Sociedad is yet to register a win against Atlético in these encounters, a statistic they will be eager to change.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Real Sociedad has displayed patchy form with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. In contrast, Atlético Madrid has been in superb form, securing four wins and suffering only one defeat.

Performance

Real Sociedad

Last games

Real Sociedad performance of the last 3 home matches

Victories

33%

Over 2.5

100%

Atlético Madrid

Last games

Atlético Madrid performance of the last 7 away matches

Victories

71%

Over 2.5

57%

Last Match Results Real Sociedad and Atlético Madrid

Real Sociedad's most recent outing resulted in a 1-1 draw away to Levante UD, a match that showcased their fighting spirit but also their defensive frailties. Meanwhile, Atlético Madrid registered an emphatic 3-0 away victory against Girona FC, a testament to their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

For those looking to place a wager, the best odds for a Real Sociedad victory are offered by Betwinner at 3.98, while a draw is priced at 3.68 with the same bookmaker. The odds for an Atlético Madrid victory are 2.05 with Betika. For those considering both teams to score, Gbets offers odds of 1.91 for "Yes" and 888sport provides 1.95 for "No." Our experience with the best betting sites in Africa suggests that an away win for Atlético Madrid is a worthy bet.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Atlético Madrid enters this match as the firm favorite, given their superior league position and recent form. While Real Sociedad will strive to leverage their home advantage, it appears that Atlético's strength in depth and tactical acumen under Simeone will likely secure them another victory.

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