Senegal - Sudan ai prediction 12.11.2026 Qual. Africa Cup of Nations

Preview for match Senegal vs Sudan

Senegal host Sudan on Thursday, 12 November 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:00 in Matchday 3 of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifying campaign. The fixture brings together two sides separated by just one point in the group table, but their early results and recent performances suggest that Senegal will begin as the clear favourite. The hosts have collected four points from their opening two matches, recording one win and one draw while conceding only once. Sudan have three points after a win and a defeat, with four goals conceded in those fixtures.

The standings make this a valuable opportunity for both teams. A Senegal victory would strengthen their position near the top of the group and create further distance from Sudan. The visitors, meanwhile, will be eager to recover from a heavy loss in their most recent qualifier and keep pace with their opponents. Their away record currently shows one defeat, although that single result is not enough on its own to define their prospects.

History also favours Senegal. They are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Sudan, winning three and drawing two, and the most recent direct encounter ended in a 3–1 home victory for Senegal. Recent form reinforces the hosts’ advantage: Senegal have won three of their last five matches, while Sudan have suffered three defeats in the same span. Senegal’s defensive record in this qualifying campaign has been particularly solid, and that could prove important against a Sudan side that has conceded four goals in two group games. Nevertheless, Sudan have already shown that they can win in this competition, so Senegal will need to approach the match with focus rather than rely on past results.

Our betting tip for Senegal vs Sudan

Our betting prediction is a home win for Senegal, with the 1X2 selection being Tip 1. Senegal have the stronger record in the group so far, with four points and a goal difference of 2:1, while Sudan have conceded four goals and lost their only away match in the campaign. The hosts also have the advantage in the recent head-to-head record, having avoided defeat in all five of the latest meetings. These factors make Senegal the more convincing choice, even though the quoted price of 1.05 reflects how strongly the market favours them.

Our second selection is Both teams score? No. Senegal have conceded only once in their two qualifying matches, and Sudan’s latest outing ended in a 1–4 defeat. The visitors may find it difficult to create enough clear chances against a Senegal side that has generally looked more dependable defensively. This is a considered prediction rather than a guarantee, and bettors should account for the short price and their own risk preferences.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Senegal have drawn or lost 5 of their last 8 matches.

Sudan have won or drawn 1 of their last 2 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 3.5

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Senegal's last 8 matches.

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 1 of Sudan's last 2 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Senegal's last 8 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 1 of Sudan's last 2 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI prediction for Senegal vs Sudan

The AI forecast points to a Senegal win. The hosts’ four points from two matches, their stronger recent results and their unbeaten five-game head-to-head record provide a firm statistical basis for that selection. Sudan’s three points keep them in contention, but their 2:4 goal record in the qualifiers and recent 1–4 loss indicate potential defensive vulnerabilities.

A simple AI 1X2 tip is Tip 1: Senegal to win. For a correct-score selection, the AI tip is Senegal 2–0 Sudan. That scoreline reflects Senegal’s low number of goals conceded in qualifying and the expectation that the hosts can control the match without necessarily producing a high-scoring contest. Correct-score markets are inherently difficult to predict, so this should be treated as a higher-risk option than the home-win selection.

Senegal performance check

Senegal enter Matchday 3 in second place with four points from two fixtures. Their record comprises one win, one draw and no defeats, with two goals scored and one conceded. That balance suggests a team that has begun the campaign reliably, even if the scoring return has so far been modest. A clean and controlled performance could be enough to keep them firmly in the qualification picture.

Their latest result was a 1–0 away win over Comoros, a useful outcome that demonstrated their ability to secure points on the road. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Senegal have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat. This is the more consistent recent sequence of the two teams. Senegal’s home record in this qualifying campaign is listed as zero wins, zero draws and zero defeats, meaning they have not yet played a home fixture in the group. Coach Patrick Vieira will therefore be looking for his side to make a strong first impression on home ground and turn their overall form into another important three points.

How is the current performance of Sudan?

Sudan are third in the table with three points, having won once and lost once. They have scored two goals and conceded four, leaving them with a negative goal difference. Their opening results show that they can compete for points, but the defensive figures underline an area that will require improvement against a Senegal side with a strong historical record in this matchup.

Sudan’s away record stands at one defeat, with no wins or draws. Their most recent match was a 1–4 loss away to Mozambique, a result that will place added importance on defensive organisation in this fixture. Over their last five games across all competitions, Sudan have won twice and lost three times, with no draws. That form is less stable than Senegal’s and suggests the visitors may need to be especially disciplined if they are to take something from the match. No coach information for Sudan has been provided in the supplied match data.

Last direct match

The most recent meeting between Senegal and Sudan finished 3–1 in favour of Senegal, who claimed a home victory. That result adds to the hosts’ confidence ahead of this qualifier, although the circumstances of a previous game do not determine the outcome of a new one. Sudan will need to improve on that performance if they are to challenge the historical pattern.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

Senegal have the advantage across the last five meetings in all competitions. They have won three times, while the other two matches ended in draws. Sudan have not recorded a victory in this sequence. The record supports Senegal’s status as favourites, but the visitors can still make the contest difficult if they defend compactly and take advantage of any opportunities on the counterattack.

Performance in the last five matches

Senegal’s last-five record stands at three wins, one draw and one defeat. This indicates a generally positive run, with the team showing greater consistency than their opponents. Sudan have won two and lost three of their last five matches, with no draws. Their form has therefore been more uneven, particularly after the heavy defeat in their latest match. These records provide useful context, but the quality of the opposition and match circumstances can vary, so they should be considered alongside the qualifying table and head-to-head history.

Performance

Senegal

Last games

Senegal performance of the last 7 home matches

Victories

71%

Over 2.5

42%

Sudan

Last games

Sudan performance of the last 3 away matches

Victories

33%

Over 2.5

66%

Last match results for Senegal and Sudan

Senegal’s last match was a 1–0 away victory against Comoros. The narrow scoreline reflects a result built on keeping the opposition out while finding a decisive goal. Sudan, by contrast, suffered a 1–4 away defeat to Mozambique. That result will raise questions about their defensive resilience and could influence how cautiously they approach the trip to Senegal.

Best odds and betting options

The listed best odds at Betwinner are 1.05 for a Senegal win, 7.60 for a draw and 17.00 for a Sudan victory. In the Both Teams to Score market, Yes is priced at 3.01 and No at 1.31. The prices make Senegal’s status as favourite unmistakable, while the low odds for “No” indicate that the market expects at least one side to finish without scoring.

When comparing betting sites, it is sensible to review available prices, market rules and account conditions before placing a wager. Our experience with bookmakers is that odds can differ between operators and may change as kick-off approaches. Readers looking for the best betting sites in Africa or broader betting options can compare the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison. Odds are not a promise of an outcome, and staking responsibly remains important.

Conclusion: Senegal are favourites to take the points

Senegal have the stronger case heading into this Matchday 3 encounter. They are unbeaten in qualifying, have conceded only once, and hold a clear advantage in the recent head-to-head record. Sudan have enough attacking potential to remain a threat, but their away defeat and recent 1–4 loss point to a challenging task against Patrick Vieira’s side. The main selection is a Senegal home win, while “Both teams score? No” is the secondary tip. A 2–0 result is a reasonable forecast, although the match could be closer if Sudan defend effectively.

Here are the best football tips for tomorrow: review our upcoming previews and compare the available odds before making any betting decisions.