Serbia - Germany ai prediction 13.11.2026 Nations League A

Preview for match Serbia vs Germany

Serbia host Germany at the Marakana on Friday, 13 November 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:45 in Nations League A Matchday 5. The fixture brings together two sides in very different positions: Serbia are fourth with no points after four defeats, while Germany sit third on five points and remain in contention for a stronger finish in the group. Javier Alberola Rojas will referee the match.

The standings underline the importance of the evening for both teams. Serbia need a response after a difficult campaign, but their record of three goals scored and eight conceded points to problems at both ends of the pitch. Their home results have been particularly disappointing: they have lost both matches played at the Marakana, without recording a win or a draw. Germany, by contrast, have collected two points from their two away fixtures, both of which ended in draws. Their overall record is one win, two draws and one defeat, with three goals scored and only two conceded.

Recent form offers little comfort to Serbia. They have lost each of their last five matches in all competitions, whereas Germany’s corresponding run includes one victory, two draws and two defeats. The head-to-head record also gives the visitors a modest advantage: Germany have won two of the last four meetings, compared with one Serbian victory and one draw. Their most recent encounter ended in a 2–0 home win for Germany. Those figures make the visitors the clear favourites, although Serbia’s need for points and the atmosphere at the Marakana could make the contest more competitive than the table suggests.

Our betting tip for Serbia vs Germany

Our betting prediction is an away win for Germany, or Tip 2. The visitors have been more reliable across the group campaign, have collected five points, and have conceded just twice in four matches. Serbia’s four defeats and their two losses at home make it difficult to justify backing the hosts, even with the added motivation of playing in front of their own supporters. Germany’s two away draws show that they can be cautious on the road, but their stronger overall record and the previous 2–0 meeting support the case for a German victory.

Our second selection is Both teams score: Yes. Serbia have scored three goals in the group despite their poor results, and they may approach this match with greater urgency than a side protecting a comfortable position. Germany have also scored three times in the competition, while the home team’s need to take risks could create opportunities at both ends. This is a higher-risk companion selection than the away win, but the available form and match situation make it a reasonable option.

Our tips

Double Chance

1X

Serbia have won or drawn 0 of their last 4 matches.

Germany have drawn or lost 5 of their last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Serbia's last 4 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of Germany's last 6 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 1 of Serbia's last 4 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Germany's last 6 matches.

Top odds at Bet9ja

AI prediction for Serbia vs Germany

The AI forecast favours Germany to win, with a 1–2 correct-score prediction. This assessment is based on the contrast in the teams’ Nations League records: Serbia have no points after four matches, while Germany have five and have conceded fewer goals. Germany’s away record consists of two draws rather than a victory, so the prediction allows for a difficult contest instead of assuming a one-sided result. Serbia’s three goals in the group also leave room for the hosts to find the net, particularly if they commit players forward in pursuit of points. The AI tip is therefore Tip 2, with both teams to score: Yes as a secondary forecast.

Serbia performance check

Serbia enter Matchday 5 in fourth place, having lost all four of their Nations League fixtures. Their return of zero points is accompanied by three goals scored and eight conceded, a balance that reflects the challenge of turning competitive spells into results. At home, the record is especially concerning: two matches have brought two defeats, with no wins or draws to provide a platform for this fixture.

Coach Veljko Paunović will need his side to show greater defensive discipline while making better use of their attacking moments. Serbia cannot afford to approach the match passively, given their position in the table, but pushing too many players forward could leave space for Germany to exploit. A more controlled start, followed by selective pressure, may offer a better route to making the game difficult for the visitors.

How is the current performance of Germany?

Germany are third in the group with five points from four matches. Their record stands at one win, two draws and one defeat, and they have scored three goals while conceding two. That defensive figure is the strongest point in their statistical profile and suggests that they can remain organised even when matches are close.

Jürgen Klopp’s team have not been dominant away from home, but two draws from two away games mean they are yet to lose on their travels in this campaign. Their recent five-match run in all competitions—one win, two draws and two defeats—shows that their form is not flawless. Nevertheless, Germany have been more consistent than Serbia in the Nations League and should have confidence in their ability to manage the occasion. Patience may be important: if they avoid giving Serbia early momentum, the visitors’ greater stability could become decisive as the match progresses.

Last direct match

The most recent meeting between the teams finished 2–0 to Germany on home soil. That result gives the visitors a recent psychological advantage, although one match alone cannot determine how this fixture will unfold. Serbia will be keen to respond, while Germany can take confidence from having kept a clean sheet in the previous encounter.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

Across the last four meetings in all competitions, Serbia have recorded one win and Germany have won twice, with the other match ending in a draw. The overall balance therefore favours Germany, but it is not completely one-sided. Serbia have shown that they can compete with this opponent, and a strong performance at the Marakana would give them an opportunity to improve that record.

Performance in the last five matches

Serbia have lost all five of their most recent matches in all competitions, recording no wins and no draws in that period. This run increases the pressure on the team and makes a positive start particularly important. Germany’s last five matches have produced one win, two draws and two defeats. Their results have been mixed, but they have avoided the uninterrupted losing sequence that Serbia are currently facing.

Performance

Serbia

Last games

Serbia performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

100%

Germany

Last games

Germany performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Last match results: Serbia and Germany

Serbia’s latest outing ended in a 2–1 away defeat against the Netherlands. Although they scored once, the result extended their difficult run and left them without a win in their last five matches. Germany drew 0–0 away to Greece in their most recent game. That clean sheet was consistent with their relatively strong defensive record in the Nations League, though the draw also continued a run in which they have not always converted solid performances into victories.

Best odds and betting options

The listed best odds are 9.90 for a Serbia win (Tip 1) at Betwinner, 6.25 for a draw (Tip X) at Gbets, and 1.30 for a Germany win (Tip 2) at Betwinner. For both teams to score, the available prices are 1.74 for Yes at Premier Bet and 2.12 for No at Bet9ja. Odds can change, and availability may vary depending on location and bookmaker.

Germany’s 1.30 price reflects their status as favourites, while Serbia’s much longer price corresponds to their four defeats and winless home record. The draw price is worth noting because Germany have drawn both of their away matches in this Nations League campaign. For bettors comparing markets, it is sensible to review several betting sites, check the terms, and compare prices before placing a wager. You can find the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison, including options for readers looking for the best betting sites Africa has to offer. Please bet responsibly and only stake what you can afford to lose.

Conclusion

Germany deserve to be considered favourites for this Matchday 5 encounter. They have five points, a more secure defensive record and a better recent head-to-head balance, while Serbia arrive after four consecutive Nations League defeats and have lost both home fixtures. The visitors’ away draws are a reason for caution, but they have not been beaten on the road in this campaign and should be capable of taking advantage if Serbia’s urgency creates openings.

The recommended main selection is Germany to win (Tip 2). A 1–2 scoreline is a plausible outcome, with both teams to score: Yes as the secondary tip. Serbia’s home support could help them produce a goal, but Germany’s greater consistency makes an away victory the more convincing forecast.

Here are the best football tips for tomorrow: compare the latest fixtures, team news and odds before making a selection, and remember that no prediction is guaranteed.