Sport Lisboa e Benfica - FC Alverca ai prediction 08.02.2026 Primeira Liga

Preview for match SL Benfica vs FC Alverca

As the Primeira Liga enters its 21st matchday, the spotlight falls on the iconic Estádio da Luz, where SL Benfica will host FC Alverca on Sunday, February 8, 2026, at 21:30. This clash sees the league leaders and a team positioned in the middle of the table pitted against each other, promising an intriguing encounter. Benfica is soaring high with a total of 46 points, standing third in the league, boasting an impressive record of 13 wins, 7 draws, and no defeats, with a formidable goal difference of 42:11. Their home performance has been particularly noteworthy, with 6 wins and 4 draws, remaining unbeaten on their turf.

In stark contrast, FC Alverca occupies the 10th spot with only 24 points, having secured 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, culminating in a goal tally of 20:34. Their away record reflects their struggles, with just 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 defeats. The last direct encounter between these two teams resulted in a convincing 2:1 victory for Benfica, underscoring their dominance in recent meetings. As Benfica aims to extend their unbeaten streak, Alverca will be keen to spring a surprise and improve their standing.

The current form of both teams adds an additional layer of complexity to this matchup. Benfica's recent performances have seen them secure 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five outings. Conversely, Alverca has shown a mixed bag of results, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats. The last matches saw Benfica held to a goalless draw by CD Tondela, while Alverca settled for a 1:1 draw against Estrela Amadora, both teams will be looking to bounce back and make a statement.

Our betting tip for the match SL Benfica vs FC Alverca

In light of the statistical analysis and current performance trends, our betting prediction strongly favors a home victory for SL Benfica, making Tip 1 a highly appealing option with odds of 1.23 at Betwinner. The overwhelming form and home advantage of Benfica, coupled with their historical dominance over Alverca, suggest that a win is highly probable. Additionally, we recommend a secondary betting tip on the outcome of both teams scoring; our recommendation is "No," with odds of 1.50 at Paripesa. Given Benfica's strong defensive record this season, the likelihood of Alverca finding the back of the net appears to be minimal.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

SL Benfica have drawn or lost 4 of their last 7 matches.

FC Alverca have won or drawn 2 of their last 3 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of SL Benfica's last 7 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 2 of FC Alverca's last 3 matches.

Top odds at Bet9ja

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of SL Benfica's last 7 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 3 of FC Alverca's last 3 matches.

Top odds at bet365

AI prediction for the match SL Benfica vs FC Alverca

According to our AI analysis, the match is anticipated to culminate in a decisive victory for SL Benfica. The AI betting tip predicts a scoreline of 3:0 in favor of the home side. This forecast is grounded in the historical data reflecting both teams' performances, with Benfica's formidable attacking prowess and exceptional defensive solidity being significant factors. The AI model highlights Benfica's capacity to dominate possession and create goal-scoring opportunities, while Alverca's struggles away from home are likely to hinder their offensive capabilities.

SL Benfica performance check

Under the stewardship of manager José Mourinho, SL Benfica has exhibited a remarkable level of consistency this season. As they sit in third place, their current form reflects a blend of tactical acumen and individual brilliance. With 13 victories to their name, the team has established itself as a force to be reckoned with, particularly at home, where they are yet to suffer a defeat. Mourinho's tactical setup has effectively harnessed the strengths of his players, allowing them to excel in both defensive organization and attacking fluidity. The recent goalless draw against CD Tondela, while disappointing, is unlikely to detract from the team's overall confidence.

How is the current performance of FC Alverca?

Managed by Custódio, FC Alverca finds itself navigating a challenging season, currently positioned 10th in the league. With a total of 24 points, their performance has been inconsistent, featuring 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats. Alverca's recent form includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, indicating some potential for improvement. However, their away record remains a significant concern, with only 2 victories in 9 matches. The draw against Estrela Amadora signifies a missed opportunity for the team to gain momentum. Alverca will need to elevate their performance substantially if they hope to secure a positive result against a formidable opponent like Benfica.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

In their last five encounters, SL Benfica has triumphed in all matches against FC Alverca, confirming their status as the dominant side in this rivalry. There have been no draws, and Alverca has yet to secure a win against their opponents in recent history, illustrating a significant disparity in quality and performance levels.

Performance last 5 matches

SL Benfica has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five matches, demonstrating a solid run of form despite a recent setback. FC Alverca, on the other hand, has experienced a mixed bag with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, showcasing their struggles to find consistency.

Performance

SL Benfica

Last games

SL Benfica performance of the last 7 home matches

Victories

71%

Over 2.5

57%

FC Alverca

Last games

FC Alverca performance of the last 3 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

66%

Last match results

In their most recent outing, SL Benfica was held to a goalless draw by CD Tondela, while FC Alverca drew 1:1 at home against Estrela Amadora, which may have affected their morale heading into this crucial fixture.

Best odds and our betting tip

For those looking to place a wager, the best odds for this match can be found at leading betting sites. With Tip 1 (Home win for SL Benfica) available at odds of 1.23 at Betwinner and Tip 2 (Away win for FC Alverca) at an enticing 19.50 at Betano, there are various options for punters. We recommend exploring our bookmaker comparison to identify the best betting sites for your needs. Additionally, the odds for both teams to score suggest a strong likelihood of a clean sheet for Benfica, making "No" at 1.50 at Paripesa a prudent choice.

Conclusion on the match

In summary, SL Benfica emerges as the clear favorite for this encounter, backed by their impressive home record and historical dominance over FC Alverca. The combination of tactical expertise from José Mourinho and the current form of the players suggests a high probability of a home victory. Given the defensive frailties of Alverca, it is reasonable to expect a commanding performance from Benfica, potentially culminating in a resounding win.

Here are tomorrow's betting tips: Keep an eye out for our expert analysis and predictions on upcoming fixtures in the Primeira Liga and beyond, ensuring you stay informed and ready to make your next wager.