Sport Lisboa e Benfica - GD Estoril ai prediction 03.01.2026 Primeira Liga

Preview for Match SL Benfica vs GD Estoril

On Saturday, January 3, 2026, the Primeira Liga will witness an intriguing encounter as SL Benfica prepares to host GD Estoril at the iconic Estádio da Luz. This match marks the 17th matchday in the league and promises to be a significant clash, particularly for the home team, who are in pursuit of the top position in the league standings. Currently, SL Benfica sits comfortably in third place, boasting an impressive tally of 36 points from 16 matches, with a record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and no defeats. Their goal-scoring prowess is evident, having netted 33 goals while conceding only 10.

In contrast, GD Estoril finds itself in a more precarious position, occupying the ninth spot in the league with 20 points. Their record includes 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, with a goal difference that reflects a more balanced approach—27 goals scored and 26 conceded. The disparity in league positions and overall form sets the stage for a compelling matchup, particularly given SL Benfica's dominance in past encounters.

The last direct meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for SL Benfica, further emphasizing their historical edge over Estoril. With both teams heading into this match with contrasting momentum—Benfica's recent form includes 4 wins and a draw, while Estoril has seen 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses—the expectations lean heavily in favor of the home side. The stakes are high as Benfica aims to maintain their unbeaten run and solidify their position in the league while Estoril seeks to pull away from the mid-table scramble.

Our Betting Tip for the Match SL Benfica vs GD Estoril

In light of the current form and statistical analysis, our betting prediction for this fixture strongly favors a home victory for SL Benfica. The odds of 1.28 for a Benfica win at Betwinner offer an attractive option for bettors looking to capitalize on the team's strong home record. Additionally, a secondary tip to consider is the potential for both teams to not score, given Benfica's solid defensive performance this season, with only 10 goals conceded thus far.

Thus, our main tip is for a home win (Tip 1), while our second recommendation is for "Both teams to score? No."

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

SL Benfica have drawn or lost 2 of their last 6 matches.

GD Estoril have won or drawn 3 of their last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of SL Benfica's last 6 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 1 of GD Estoril's last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 3.5

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 2 of SL Benfica's last 6 matches.

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 3 of GD Estoril's last 4 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI Prediction for the Match SL Benfica vs GD Estoril

Analyzing the data and recent performances, the AI prediction points towards a decisive victory for SL Benfica. The statistical evidence suggests that Benfica's attacking capabilities, coupled with their defensive strength, will likely overwhelm GD Estoril. A probable correct score might be 3-0 in favor of the home side, reflecting Benfica's current form and their capacity to dominate at home.

SL Benfica Performance Check

Under the guidance of the esteemed coach José Mourinho, SL Benfica has demonstrated remarkable consistency this season. With 10 wins and 6 draws, the team has established itself as a formidable force in the Primeira Liga. Their unbeaten run showcases a well-balanced squad capable of both offensive flair and defensive solidity. The attacking unit, spearheaded by key players, has been prolific in front of goal, while the defense has been equally impressive in limiting opponents' scoring opportunities. Benfica's home record is particularly noteworthy, with 4 wins and 4 draws, highlighting their stronghold at the Estádio da Luz.

How is the Current Performance of GD Estoril?

GD Estoril, managed by Ian Cathro, has displayed a mixed bag of performances this season. With 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, the team has struggled for consistency, particularly on the road, where they have managed only 1 win in 7 away attempts. Their recent form includes 2 wins, indicating a potential resurgence, but the overall statistics suggest they may find it challenging against a dominant Benfica side. The balance in their goal tally—27 scored and 26 conceded—reflects a team that can be effective on offense but also vulnerable defensively.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In the last five encounters between SL Benfica and GD Estoril, the statistics favor Benfica overwhelmingly, with 4 wins and only 1 victory for Estoril. This historical context adds further weight to the expectation of a Benfica victory in the upcoming clash.

Performance Last 5 Matches

In their last five matches, SL Benfica has been in excellent form, securing 4 wins and a draw, maintaining their unbeaten streak. Meanwhile, GD Estoril’s recent performances show 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, highlighting their struggle for consistency.

Performance

SL Benfica

Last games

SL Benfica performance of the last 7 home matches

Victories

57%

Over 2.5

42%

GD Estoril

Last games

GD Estoril performance of the last 3 away matches

Victories

33%

Over 2.5

66%

Last Match Results

In their previous outing, SL Benfica played to a 2-2 draw against Sporting Braga, showcasing resilience but also a need to tighten their defense. Conversely, GD Estoril achieved a convincing 4-1 victory over FC Alverca, which could provide a confidence boost heading into the match against Benfica.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

The best odds available for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a home victory for SL Benfica, with Betwinner offering 1.28 for a win. In our experience with various betting sites, these odds reflect the current form and head-to-head history, making it a prudent choice for bettors. For those looking to explore more options, finding the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison can provide additional insights.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, SL Benfica enters this match as the clear favorite, bolstered by their strong home form and an impressive record against GD Estoril. The combination of their attacking capabilities and defensive strength positions them well to secure a victory. With our main betting tip leaning towards a home win, the expectation is for Benfica to continue their unbeaten streak, potentially with a clean sheet.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow: Stay tuned for more insights and predictions as we analyze upcoming matches and provide you with valuable betting advice.