SK Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg FC ai prediction 08.11.2026 Bundesliga

Preview for match Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg

Sturm Graz host Red Bull Salzburg at Stadion Graz-Liebenau on Sunday, 8 November 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:00. The Bundesliga fixture is part of Matchday 12 and brings together two sides with strong ambitions, although their positions in the table and recent results point to differing levels of momentum. Sturm are fourth with 19 points from 11 matches, while Salzburg occupy second place on 27 points and remain unbeaten in the league. Walter Altmann has been appointed referee for the encounter.

The home side will hope to make the most of a record that has so far been a clear strength: Sturm have won three and drawn two of their five home league matches, without suffering a defeat. That solidity could be important against a Salzburg team that has collected points consistently, but has also drawn three of its five away fixtures. The visitors’ overall numbers are impressive, with eight wins and three draws, and a goal difference of 29:6. Sturm have scored 19 and conceded 13, suggesting they can pose an attacking threat but may need to be especially disciplined against Salzburg’s forward line.

Recent form adds another layer of uncertainty. Sturm have managed one win, two draws and two defeats across their last five matches in all competitions, while Salzburg have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat. Both teams are coming into this fixture after losses: Sturm were beaten 3:2 at home by NK Celje, and Salzburg lost 2:0 away to RSC Anderlecht. Their previous direct meeting ended in a 3:0 home win for Salzburg, although the last five encounters overall have been closely balanced, with one win apiece and three draws. With Sturm’s home resilience facing Salzburg’s stronger season-long record, this match promises a compelling test for both sides.

Our betting tip for Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg

Our betting prediction is an away win for Red Bull Salzburg, with the recommended 1X2 selection being Tip 2. Salzburg’s unbeaten league record, superior points total and strong goal difference make them the more convincing choice, even though Sturm have yet to lose at home in the Bundesliga this season. The visitors have also drawn three times on the road, so this is not a risk-free selection; nevertheless, their overall consistency gives them the edge.

For a second selection, we expect Both teams to score: Yes. Sturm have scored 19 league goals and should be capable of creating opportunities in front of their home supporters. Salzburg’s attacking output is higher, but the hosts’ home record suggests they can make the contest difficult. The available odds listed for this market also indicate that a goal from each side is considered a plausible outcome.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 3.5

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Sturm Graz's last 5 matches.

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Red Bull Salzburg's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Sturm Graz's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Red Bull Salzburg's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

X2

Sturm Graz have drawn or lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Red Bull Salzburg have won or drawn 5 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI prediction for Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg

The AI forecast favours a narrow Red Bull Salzburg victory. The visitors have taken 27 points from 11 league matches and have conceded only six goals, a defensive record that stands out against Sturm’s 13 conceded. Salzburg’s away record is less dominant than their overall form, with two wins and three draws, while Sturm’s home results—three victories and two draws—provide a meaningful counterweight. Taking these factors together, the AI tip is Sturm Graz 1–2 Red Bull Salzburg. This correct-score estimate reflects Salzburg’s greater season-long consistency while allowing for Sturm to take advantage of home conditions.

Sturm Graz performance check

Sturm Graz sit fourth in the Bundesliga with 19 points, having won five, drawn four and lost two of their first 11 matches. Their goal record of 19 scored and 13 conceded indicates a team capable of contributing in attack, though their defensive figures are less imposing than Salzburg’s. At home, Fabio Ingolitsch’s side have been difficult to beat: three wins and two draws from five league games represent a solid foundation for this fixture.

Their recent form across all competitions has been less convincing, with one win, two draws and two defeats in the last five. The 3:2 home loss to NK Celje will be a concern, particularly because Sturm conceded three times on their own ground. Ingolitsch will need his players to recover their defensive organisation without losing the attacking intent that has helped them remain competitive in the league. A disciplined performance could put pressure on Salzburg, but Sturm must limit mistakes against a side that has scored 29 league goals.

How is the current performance of Red Bull Salzburg?

Red Bull Salzburg are second with 27 points and have yet to lose in the Bundesliga this season. Their record stands at eight wins and three draws, with 29 goals scored and only six conceded. Those figures underline the balance in Danny Röhl’s team: Salzburg have been productive in attack while maintaining a notably effective defence.

Their away league record is more measured, consisting of two wins and three draws, so Sturm’s home resistance could make this a demanding visit. Salzburg have nevertheless shown stronger recent form than their opponents, recording three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches in all competitions. The 2:0 defeat away to RSC Anderlecht was a setback, but it does not erase the broader evidence of a side that has been highly consistent domestically. Röhl’s challenge will be to ensure that the European loss does not disrupt their league rhythm.

Last direct match

The most recent meeting between the clubs finished 3:0 to Red Bull Salzburg, who recorded a convincing home victory. That result gives the visitors a positive reference point, though it should not be treated as a guarantee of a similar outcome. Sturm’s unbeaten home league record makes the setting for this encounter notably different, and the hosts will be motivated to respond to their previous defeat.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

The last five meetings across all competitions have been closely contested. Sturm Graz have won once, Red Bull Salzburg have also won once, and the remaining three matches ended in draws. This sequence suggests that the rivalry has not been dominated by either side, despite Salzburg’s more recent 3:0 success. The historical balance adds caution to an away-win prediction, but the current league campaign gives Salzburg a clear statistical advantage.

Performance in the last five matches

Sturm Graz have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches in all competitions. That run points to inconsistent form, with the team finding it difficult to build a sustained sequence of positive results. Their latest setback may increase the pressure to deliver a more controlled display against Salzburg.

Red Bull Salzburg have collected three wins, one draw and one defeat over the same period. Their recent record is stronger, although the loss to Anderlecht shows that they are not immune to difficult results. Overall, Salzburg arrive with greater momentum, while Sturm will look to use home advantage to narrow the gap in form.

Performance

Sturm Graz

Last games

Sturm Graz performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

60%

Red Bull Salzburg

Last games

Red Bull Salzburg performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

60%

Last match results for Sturm Graz and Red Bull Salzburg

Sturm Graz’s most recent match ended in a 3:2 home defeat against NK Celje. Despite scoring twice, they were unable to prevent the visitors from finding the net three times. Red Bull Salzburg also lost their latest outing, going down 2:0 away to RSC Anderlecht. Both teams therefore enter this league fixture seeking a response, although Salzburg’s stronger results across their last five matches provide a more reassuring overall picture.

Best odds and betting outlook

The listed best odds are 3.05 for a Sturm Graz win at Betano, 4.00 for a draw at Gbets, and 2.13 for a Red Bull Salzburg victory at Betwinner. For both teams to score, the available prices are 1.38 for Yes at Paripesa and 3.05 for No at Bet9ja. Odds can change, so bettors should check the latest prices and terms before placing a wager.

Based on the figures provided, our preferred selection is Tip 2: Red Bull Salzburg to win, with Both teams to score: Yes as the secondary option. Comparing prices across betting sites can help identify a more favourable offer. Readers looking for the best betting sites, including best betting sites Africa, can find options through our bookmaker comparison and assess each operator’s terms before betting.

Conclusion

Sturm Graz have a strong home record and should be capable of making this a competitive match. Their five home league fixtures have produced three wins and two draws, and the head-to-head record across the last five meetings is evenly balanced. However, Red Bull Salzburg’s unbeaten league campaign, eight victories and superior defensive record give them the stronger overall case. The visitors have also performed better across their last five matches in all competitions.

Our conclusion is that Salzburg are favourites, though Sturm’s home resilience makes a narrow result more likely than a comfortable away win. The recommended 1X2 selection is Red Bull Salzburg to win, while Both teams to score: Yes is the additional tip. A 1:2 away victory is a reasonable scoreline prediction based on the teams’ current records and attacking potential.

Betting tips for tomorrow

Here are the best football tips for tomorrow: review the latest fixtures, compare available odds and consider each team’s current form before making a selection. Please bet responsibly and only stake what you can afford to lose.