Sudan - Senegal ai prediction 16.11.2026 Qual. Africa Cup of Nations

Preview for match Sudan vs Senegal

Sudan and Senegal meet on Monday, 16 November 2026, at 14:00 in a Matchday 4 fixture of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers. The points available could have a significant impact on the group standings: Senegal begin the match in second place with four points, while Sudan are third with three. Both sides have played twice, so the contest offers an opportunity for either team to strengthen its position in the qualification race.

Senegal arrive with the better record so far. They have won once and drawn once, scoring two goals and conceding one, and remain unbeaten in the group. Their away results have also been encouraging, with one victory and one draw. Sudan have one win and one defeat, with two goals scored and four conceded. Their home record is more promising than that overall return suggests: they have won their only home match in the campaign. That could give the hosts confidence, although they will need a more resilient defensive performance than they showed in their most recent outing.

The recent history between these teams also favours Senegal. They won the last direct meeting 3–1 and have taken three victories from the last five encounters, while the other two ended in draws. Sudan have yet to win in that recent head-to-head sequence. Senegal’s stronger results over their last five matches provide another reason to regard them as favourites, but Sudan’s home advantage and the importance of the fixture mean the visitors should not expect an easy afternoon. The central question is whether Sudan can make their home strength count or whether Senegal’s greater consistency will decide the match.

Our betting tip for Sudan vs Senegal

Our betting prediction is an away win for Senegal, or Tip 2 in the 1X2 market. Senegal have collected four points from their opening two qualifying matches and have not yet been beaten, whereas Sudan have already suffered one defeat and conceded four goals. The visitors also have the advantage in the recent head-to-head record, including a 3–1 win in the last meeting. Sudan’s home victory is a reason for caution, but Senegal’s overall stability makes them the more convincing selection.

Our second tip is Both teams to score? No. Senegal have conceded only once in the qualifying campaign, while Sudan’s attack has scored twice across two matches. The hosts may find it difficult to create enough clear opportunities against a side that has defended effectively so far. These selections are predictions rather than guarantees, and bettors should consider the available odds and their own risk limits.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 3.5

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 2 of Sudan's last 3 matches.

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Senegal's last 7 matches.

Top odds at Bet9ja

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Sudan's last 3 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Senegal's last 7 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 2 of Sudan's last 3 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of Senegal's last 7 matches.

Top odds at Bet9ja

AI prediction for Sudan vs Senegal

Based on the points, goals, recent form and head-to-head figures provided, the AI prediction gives Senegal the edge in the 1X2 market. Sudan’s home win is a positive factor, but Senegal’s unbeaten qualifying start and stronger recent results suggest that the visitors are better placed to control the decisive moments. The AI tip is Tip 2: Senegal to win.

For a correct-score selection, the AI forecast is Sudan 0–1 Senegal. That scoreline reflects Senegal’s record of conceding just once in the group and the possibility that Sudan may struggle to turn home advantage into goals. A narrow away victory is a measured prediction, rather than an expectation of a high-scoring contest.

Sudan performance check

Sudan are third in the group with three points after one win and one defeat. They have scored twice and conceded four, a goal difference that highlights the need for greater defensive discipline as they face one of the group’s strongest sides. Their home record offers encouragement: Sudan won their only home fixture in this qualifying campaign, and that result demonstrates their ability to make conditions difficult for visiting teams.

Their wider form is less consistent. Sudan have recorded two wins and three defeats in their last five matches across all competitions, with no draws in that sequence. The latest result was a heavy 4–1 away loss to Mozambique, which will make a composed response particularly important. The provided information does not identify Sudan’s coach, so no manager’s name can be confirmed here. To compete effectively, the hosts will need to stay compact, avoid giving Senegal space in dangerous areas and make the most of their attacking chances.

How is the current performance of Senegal?

Senegal occupy second place with four points, having won once and drawn once in their first two qualifying matches. Their two goals scored and one conceded indicate a controlled start, and they remain unbeaten. The away record is also solid: one win and one draw show that Senegal have been able to collect points outside their own stadium.

Coach Patrick Vieira will be looking for his team to build on that consistency. Senegal have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches in all competitions, a stronger sequence than Sudan’s. Their latest result was a 1–0 away victory over Comoros, which underlines their ability to secure a result on the road without needing a high-scoring performance. Senegal’s recent record does not guarantee success, but it supports the view that they are the more reliable side entering this fixture.

Last direct match

The most recent meeting ended in a 3–1 home win for Senegal. That result gives the visitors a clear psychological reference point, although the circumstances of the upcoming qualifier will be different. Sudan will be keen to respond on home ground, where they have already won once in the current campaign.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

Across the last five meetings in all competitions, Sudan have recorded no wins. Senegal have won three times, and the remaining two matches ended in draws. This sequence makes Senegal the historically stronger side in the recent matchup, while also showing that Sudan have managed to avoid defeat in two of those five encounters. The record supports the visitors’ favourite status but does not rule out a closely contested game.

Performance in the last five matches

Sudan’s last-five record stands at two wins and three defeats, with no draws. That pattern points to an inconsistent spell in which positive results have been mixed with setbacks. Senegal have been more dependable, recording three wins, one draw and one defeat. Their stronger return suggests better momentum ahead of the qualifier, though both teams will need to perform well on the day rather than rely solely on recent statistics.

Performance

Sudan

Last games

Sudan performance of the last 1 home matches

Victories

100%

Over 2.5

0%

Senegal

Last games

Senegal performance of the last 9 away matches

Victories

33%

Over 2.5

44%

Last match results for Sudan and Senegal

Sudan’s most recent match was a 4–1 away defeat to Mozambique. The result will raise concerns about the team’s defensive organisation, particularly against a Senegal side that has shown greater consistency in its recent outings.

Senegal, by contrast, recorded a 1–0 away win over Comoros. That narrow victory was an efficient result and continues a run of performances in which the team has been difficult to beat. Senegal will aim to carry that defensive assurance into this fixture.

Best odds and betting prediction

The listed best odds are 19.00 for a Sudan win at Bet9ja, 6.50 for a draw at Bet9ja and 1.18 for a Senegal win at Betwinner. For the both-teams-to-score market, the available prices are 3.45 for Yes at Bet9ja and 1.35 for No at Betwinner. These figures indicate that the market strongly favours Senegal, while also pricing a match in which at least one team may fail to score as the likelier outcome.

Our main selection is Senegal to win (Tip 2), with Both teams to score: No as the secondary tip. Odds can change, and the listed prices may not remain available. Compare options at the best betting sites in Africa before placing a wager; our bookmaker comparison can help readers find suitable betting sites and review the available markets. Always bet responsibly and only stake what you can afford to lose.

Conclusion

Senegal enter this Matchday 4 qualifier with the stronger overall case. They have more points, an unbeaten group record, a better recent five-match return and a favourable head-to-head history. Sudan’s home victory offers a credible reason not to dismiss the hosts, but their recent 4–1 loss and four goals conceded in the qualifying campaign underline the challenge they face. Senegal’s away form and defensive record make them the more likely winners. The final prediction is a narrow Senegal victory, with 0–1 as the correct-score choice and Both teams to score: No as the additional betting tip.

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