Vitória Guimarães - FC Alverca ai prediction 28.02.2026 Primeira Liga

Preview for match Vitória Guimarães vs FC Alverca

The upcoming Primeira Liga clash between Vitória Guimarães and FC Alverca promises to be an intriguing encounter as the two sides battle for vital points on Matchday 24. Scheduled for Saturday, February 28, 2026, at 21:30, the match will take place at the iconic Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, known for its passionate home support.

Both teams find themselves in a competitive mid-table position, with Vitória Guimarães currently sitting ninth in the standings with 31 points, having secured nine victories, four draws, and suffered ten defeats, with a goal difference of 27 scored and 34 conceded. The home side has displayed a relatively strong performance at their ground, recording six wins, three draws, and three losses in front of their supporters.

In contrast, FC Alverca, positioned just behind in tenth place with 26 points, has a record of seven wins, five draws, and eleven defeats, culminating in a goal tally of 23 for and 38 against. Their away form has been less impressive, with only two wins, two draws, and a staggering seven losses on the road.

The historical context of this matchup adds another layer of intrigue, as FC Alverca triumphed in the last direct meeting, winning 2-0 at home. However, the overall head-to-head record over the last five encounters shows a balanced contest, with both teams securing two victories and one draw each.

As both teams approach this match, the stakes are high, and the outcome could significantly impact their ambitions for the remainder of the season.

Our betting tip for the match Vitória Guimarães vs FC Alverca

In light of the current form and home advantage, our betting tip for this match is a home win for Vitória Guimarães (Tip 1). Given their record at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, where they have been relatively strong, we believe they will capitalize on the opportunity to secure three points against FC Alverca.

Additionally, we recommend betting on "Both teams to score? No." The defensive capabilities of Vitória Guimarães, coupled with Alverca's struggles in away matches, lead us to predict that the home side will keep a clean sheet in this encounter.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Vitória Guimarães's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 2 of FC Alverca's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Vitória Guimarães's last 5 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of FC Alverca's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Bet9ja

Double Chance

X2

Vitória Guimarães have drawn or lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

FC Alverca have won or drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI prediction for the match Vitória Guimarães vs FC Alverca

Based on statistical analysis and recent performances, the AI prediction suggests a home victory for Vitória Guimarães, with an expected scoreline of 2-0. The data indicates that Vitória has consistently performed well at home, while FC Alverca's away record suggests difficulties in scoring. Therefore, the AI forecast aligns with our betting tip of a home win and a potential clean sheet for the hosts.

Vitória Guimarães performance check

Under the management of Luís Pinto, Vitória Guimarães has shown a mixed bag of results this season, currently holding ninth place in the league table. The team has demonstrated resilience at home, where they have achieved six victories. However, their recent form has been concerning, with only two wins in the last five matches, indicating a need for improvement to maintain their mid-table position. The pressure is on as they look to secure a decisive win against FC Alverca.

How is the current performance of FC Alverca

FC Alverca, guided by coach Custódio, finds themselves struggling to convert draws into victories, as evidenced by their current position in the table. With only one win in their last five matches, the team has been unable to find the back of the net consistently, especially in away fixtures. Their recent performance reflects a dire need for tactical adjustments to enhance their offensive output and improve their league standing.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

In their last five encounters, Vitória Guimarães and FC Alverca have faced each other evenly. Both teams have won two matches, while one match ended in a draw. The most recent meeting saw FC Alverca claim a 2-0 victory, indicating that they can compete effectively against Vitória Guimarães.

Performance last 5 matches

In their last five matches, Vitória Guimarães has recorded two wins and three losses. On the other hand, FC Alverca has struggled significantly, managing three draws and two losses, reflecting a concerning lack of form.

Performance

Vitória Guimarães

Last games

Vitória Guimarães performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

66%

Over 2.5

66%

FC Alverca

Last games

FC Alverca performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

75%

Last match results

In their most recent outings, Vitória Guimarães suffered a close 2-3 defeat away to Sporting Braga, while FC Alverca held CD Santa Clara to a 1-1 draw at home. These results underline the challenges both teams have faced in securing consistent performances.

Best odds and our betting prediction for the match

The best odds available for a home win for Vitória Guimarães are approximately 1.85 at leading bookmakers. Meanwhile, betting sites offer odds of 3.64 for a draw and 4.65 for an away win for FC Alverca. Our experience with the best betting sites indicates that a wager on the home team is likely to yield favorable returns.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Vitória Guimarães enters this match as the favorite, bolstered by their home advantage and overall stronger performance in the league this season. The expectation is for them to secure a vital win against FC Alverca, who will need to overcome their recent struggles to pose a challenge.

Here are tomorrow's betting tips: expect more exciting matches and potential value in the betting markets as the action in the Primeira Liga continues.