Watford FC - Derby County ai prediction 21.02.2026 Championship

Preview for match Watford FC vs Derby County

On Saturday, February 21, 2026, Watford FC will welcome Derby County to Vicarage Road for a Championship clash that promises to be both competitive and intriguing. With the season approaching its critical juncture, both teams find themselves at pivotal points in the standings. Watford occupies the 12th position with 45 points, while Derby County is slightly ahead in 6th place with 48 points. The match is set to kick off at 16:00, and the stakes are high as each team aims to solidify its position in the league and improve its playoff aspirations.

Watford has had a mixed campaign thus far, boasting 11 victories, 12 draws, and 9 defeats. Their offensive output includes 41 goals scored against 38 conceded, a stat that reflects a moderate attacking prowess coupled with defensive vulnerabilities. At home, they have shown promising form with 8 wins, 5 draws, and just 3 defeats. However, recent performances have raised concerns; they have not won in their last five matches, recording three draws and two defeats. This run includes a 2-2 draw against Preston North End in their latest outing, highlighting their struggle to secure maximum points.

Conversely, Derby County appears to be in better form, having secured three wins, one draw, and only one defeat in their last five matches. They currently sit in a playoff position, underlining their competitive stature this season. Their overall record includes 13 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, with a goal tally of 47 scored and 39 conceded. Derby has proven to be resilient on the road, with an away record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats. In their last match, they achieved a convincing 2-0 victory at home against Swansea City, further bolstering their confidence as they head into this encounter.

The last direct meeting between these two sides ended in a thrilling 3-2 victory for Watford at Derby County's ground, setting the stage for what could be another closely contested match. Given the historical context, current form, and the competitive nature of both teams, this fixture is expected to be a spectacle for fans and bettors alike.

Our betting tip for the match Watford FC vs Derby County

Our betting prediction for this encounter suggests a home win for Watford FC, given their historical dominance over Derby County in recent meetings. The odds for a home victory are currently at 2.28 with Betika, which reflects the potential value of this wager. Additionally, we recommend considering the possibility that both teams will score during the match, which can be backed at 1.89 with Premier Bet. This prediction is bolstered by both teams' recent offensive capabilities and the likelihood of an open game given their competitive standings.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Watford FC have drawn or lost 6 of their last 6 matches.

Derby County have won or drawn 3 of their last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Watford FC's last 6 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Derby County's last 4 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Watford FC's last 6 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Derby County's last 4 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI prediction for the match Watford FC vs Derby County

AI forecasts indicate a strong likelihood of a Watford victory in this matchup. The team’s home advantage, combined with their previous win against Derby, sets a favorable backdrop. Statistical analysis points towards a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Watford, considering their need for points and Derby's slight defensive frailties. The AI betting tip underscores the potential for goals from both sides, making a bet on "Both teams to score" a worthwhile consideration.

Watford FC performance check

Watford FC has experienced a challenging season under the guidance of manager Edward Still. Currently positioned 12th in the Championship table, they have accumulated 45 points with a record of 11 wins, 12 draws, and 9 defeats. The Hornets have demonstrated resilience at home, with a commendable record of 8 wins and 5 draws. However, their inability to secure victories in recent outings has raised questions about their form and consistency. The team will be eager to break their winless streak and leverage their home ground advantage against Derby County.

How is the current performance of Derby County

Derby County, managed by John Eustace, has shown commendable form in recent weeks, currently sitting 6th in the Championship standings with 48 points. Their record of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats illustrates a competitive edge, particularly with 8 away victories. The Rams have achieved three wins in their last five matches, reflecting a resurgence in confidence and performance. As they approach the fixture against Watford, Derby will aim to capitalize on their current momentum and continue their push for a playoff spot.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

In the last five direct encounters between Watford FC and Derby County, Watford has maintained a perfect record, winning all five matches. This statistic highlights Watford's historical advantage over Derby, potentially influencing the upcoming match dynamics.

Performance last 5 matches

In their last five matches, Watford FC has struggled significantly, with no wins, three draws, and two defeats. Conversely, Derby County has fared much better, securing three wins, one draw, and only one defeat. This contrast in form could play a crucial role in determining the outcome of the upcoming match.

Performance

Watford FC

Last games

Watford FC performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

20%

Derby County

Last games

Derby County performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

60%

Last match results

Watford FC's most recent match ended in a 2-2 draw against Preston North End, while Derby County achieved a solid 2-0 victory at home against Swansea City. These results reflect the contrasting trajectories of both teams as they prepare for this encounter.

Best odds and our betting tip

For this match, the best odds for a Watford victory are available at 2.28 with Betika, while a draw stands at 3.35, and a Derby County win at 3.40 with Bet9ja. Based on our extensive experience with various betting sites, we encourage bettors to explore these odds and consider the overall performance of both teams to make informed decisions.

Conclusion on the match

In conclusion, the upcoming match between Watford FC and Derby County is poised to be a thrilling encounter. Watford's historical dominance and home advantage suggest they may emerge victorious, particularly as they seek to end their winless streak. Derby County, with their recent form, will undoubtedly present a formidable challenge. However, our analysis leans towards a home win for Watford, alongside the strong possibility of both teams finding the net during the match.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow, as we anticipate another exciting day of Championship football.