1. FC Union Berlin - 1. FSV Mainz 05 ai prediction 10.01.2026 Bundesliga

Preview for Match 1. FC Union Berlin vs Mainz 05

As the Bundesliga season progresses to matchday 16, 1. FC Union Berlin is set to host Mainz 05 at the An der Alten Försterei on Saturday, January 10, 2026, at 15:30. This encounter promises to be intriguing, considering both teams' current standings and recent performances. Union Berlin currently holds the 8th position on the league table with 21 points, having secured 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses. Their goal tally stands at 20 scored and 23 conceded. The team has shown resilience at home with a record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Under the guidance of coach Steffen Baumgart, they have been relatively steady, albeit with room for improvement.

In stark contrast, Mainz 05 finds itself at the bottom of the table, in 18th place, with only 8 points. The team has managed just one win, alongside five draws and nine losses, with a concerning goal difference of 13 scored against 26 conceded. Their away form has been particularly troubling with just one win, two draws, and four defeats. Led by Urs Fischer, Mainz 05 will be desperate to turn their fortunes around as they face a formidable Union Berlin side. Given the backdrop of their previous encounters, Union Berlin has had the upper hand, winning three of the last five meetings, with the remaining two ending in draws. The last time they met, Union Berlin emerged victorious with a 2-1 scoreline.

Our Betting Tip for the Match 1. FC Union Berlin vs Mainz 05

Our betting prediction leans towards a home victory for 1. FC Union Berlin. The team has shown better form and consistency compared to their opponents, especially when playing at their home ground. With Mainz 05 struggling to find their rhythm this season, it's likely that Union Berlin will capitalize on this opportunity to secure another three points. Therefore, our main betting tip is a home win for Union Berlin (Tip 1).

Additionally, given the defensive vulnerabilities of Mainz 05 and the current form of Union Berlin, we predict that both teams might not find the back of the net. Thus, our second betting tip is for both teams not to score.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 1 of Mainz 05's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

X2

1. FC Union Berlin have drawn or lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

Mainz 05 have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 3 of Mainz 05's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

AI Prediction for the Match 1. FC Union Berlin vs Mainz 05

Based on the accumulated data and statistical analysis, the AI forecast suggests a favorable outcome for Union Berlin. The AI tip for this fixture is a 2-0 victory for the home side, reflecting Union Berlin's superior form and Mainz 05's ongoing struggles. The AI betting tip aligns with the human prediction, reinforcing the likelihood of a home win, and supports the notion that both teams may not score in this encounter.

1. FC Union Berlin Performance Check

Under the stewardship of Steffen Baumgart, 1. FC Union Berlin has maintained a competitive stance in the Bundesliga this season. Currently sitting in 8th place with 21 points, they have displayed a balanced blend of offensive and defensive play. Their recent form, with 3 wins in the last 5 matches, highlights their potential to climb further up the table. The team is coming off a significant 2-1 away victory against Erzgebirge Aue, which boosts their confidence going into this match against Mainz 05.

How is the Current Performance of Mainz 05?

Mainz 05, coached by Urs Fischer, is in a precarious position, languishing at the bottom of the Bundesliga table. With only 8 points from 15 matches, their form has been underwhelming. Despite showing some resilience with 3 draws in their last 5 matches, their inability to secure victories has been a major concern. The recent goalless draw against FC St. Pauli at home did little to improve their standings, and they face a daunting task against a stronger Union Berlin side.

Last Direct Match

The last meeting between these two sides saw 1. FC Union Berlin triumph over Mainz 05 with a 2-1 victory at home. This result reflects Union Berlin's dominance in recent head-to-head encounters.

Head-to-head Last Direct Meetings

In the last five meetings across all competitions, Union Berlin has emerged victorious on three occasions, while the remaining two matches ended in draws. Mainz 05 has yet to defeat Union Berlin in their recent encounters, indicating a psychological advantage for the home side.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Union Berlin has recorded 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, showcasing a relatively stable form. On the other hand, Mainz 05 has managed only 1 win, accompanied by 3 draws and a loss, highlighting their struggle to secure maximum points consistently.

Performance

1. FC Union Berlin

Last games

1. FC Union Berlin performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

80%

Mainz 05

Last games

Mainz 05 performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

40%

Last Match Results 1. FC Union Berlin and Mainz 05

Union Berlin's last match concluded with a promising 2-1 away victory against Erzgebirge Aue, while Mainz 05 played to a 0-0 draw at home against FC St. Pauli. These results further emphasize the contrasting forms of the two teams.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip or Betting Prediction for the Match

For those seeking to place bets, the best odds for a home win can be found at Betwinner with an odd of 2.23, while a draw is offered at 3.33 at the same site. An away win for Mainz 05 is available at Gbets with an odd of 3.80. For those interested in both teams not scoring, Bet9ja offers odds of 1.88. Our experience with reputable betting sites suggests taking advantage of these odds for Union Berlin to win and both teams not to score. You can find the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, 1. FC Union Berlin enters this match as the favorites, given their superior league position and recent form. Mainz 05 faces an uphill battle to overturn their current predicament and secure points against a team that has consistently performed better in their recent head-to-head matches. A home win for Union Berlin appears to be the most plausible outcome, with a final scoreline that could potentially see Mainz 05 failing to score.

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