Ajax Amsterdam - NEC Nijmegen ai prediction 11.05.2025 Eredivisie

Preview for match Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen

On Sunday, May 11, 2025, Ajax Amsterdam will welcome NEC Nijmegen to the Johan Cruijff ArenA for a crucial Eredivisie clash on Matchday 32. The match is particularly significant for Ajax, who currently sit at the pinnacle of the league standings with 74 points, having secured 23 victories, drawn 5, and faced only 3 defeats throughout the season. With an impressive goal tally of 63 while conceding just 27, Ajax boasts the league's strongest goal difference, showcasing their attacking prowess coupled with a robust defensive foundation. Their home record is particularly formidable, remaining undefeated at home with 12 wins and 3 draws, indicating a strong fortress at the Johan Cruijff ArenA.

In contrast, NEC Nijmegen finds themselves in a much more precarious position, currently positioned 13th in the table with 33 points. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, recording 9 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats, resulting in a slightly negative goal difference of -2, with 42 goals scored and 44 conceded. NEC's away form has been less than satisfactory, managing only 4 victories, 1 draw, and suffering 10 defeats on the road. The disparity in form and standings highlights the uphill battle NEC faces against a dominant Ajax side.

The last direct encounter between these two teams ended in a 2-1 victory for Ajax, further emphasizing their superiority in recent meetings. Historically, Ajax has won 3 of the last 5 encounters, with 2 resulting in draws, while NEC has yet to claim a victory against the Amsterdam side.

Our betting tip for the match Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen

In light of the statistics and current form, our betting prediction for this match leans heavily towards a home victory for Ajax Amsterdam. Given their impressive home record and overall performance throughout the season, a bet on Ajax to win (Tip 1) appears to be a prudent choice, with odds currently available at 1.36 via Betano.

Additionally, considering the attacking capabilities of both teams, a secondary bet on "Both teams to score" (Yes), which is offered at 1.80 by Paripesa, also represents a compelling option. Ajax has consistently found the back of the net, while NEC, despite their struggles, has managed to score in several away matches this season.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Ajax Amsterdam have drawn or lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

NEC Nijmegen have won or drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Ajax Amsterdam's last 5 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of NEC Nijmegen's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Bet9ja

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Ajax Amsterdam's last 5 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 5 of NEC Nijmegen's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

AI prediction for the match Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen

Analyzing the data and performance metrics, the AI prediction for this match strongly favors Ajax Amsterdam for a straightforward victory. The algorithm forecasts a likely scoreline of 3-1 in favor of Ajax, reflecting their offensive strength coupled with the potential for NEC to find a goal against a high-pressure defense. Therefore, the AI tip suggests a home win as the most probable outcome.

Ajax Amsterdam performance check

Ajax Amsterdam's recent form has been a blend of brilliance and occasional setbacks. Under the guidance of coach Francesco Farioli, the team has managed to secure 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five matches across all competitions. Despite a recent 1-1 draw against Sparta Rotterdam at home, their overall performance remains formidable, especially within their home ground. The squad's depth and quality allow them to maintain a high level of performance, making them formidable opponents for any team.

How is the current performance of NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen, under the management of Rogier Meijer, has experienced a mixed bag of results in recent weeks. Their last five matches have yielded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, indicating a slight upward trend despite their overall struggles this season. However, the inability to secure vital points away from home continues to hinder their progress. Their recent 1-1 draw against Willem II reflects their ongoing battle to find consistency and capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

In the last five head-to-head encounters, Ajax Amsterdam has demonstrated their dominance over NEC Nijmegen, securing 3 victories, while 2 matches ended in draws. This trend underscores Ajax’s ability to consistently outperform NEC, reinforcing the expectation of another strong performance.

Performance last 5 matches

Ajax Amsterdam has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five matches, showcasing their competitive edge as they approach the business end of the season. Conversely, NEC Nijmegen has collected 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, reflecting an inconsistent form that has plagued their season.

Performance

Ajax Amsterdam

Last games

Ajax Amsterdam performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

60%

NEC Nijmegen

Last games

NEC Nijmegen performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

0%

Last match results Ajax Amsterdam and NEC Nijmegen

Ajax Amsterdam's last match resulted in a 1-1 home draw against Sparta Rotterdam, while NEC Nijmegen faced a similar scenario, also drawing 1-1 at home against Willem II. Both teams will seek to improve upon these results in their forthcoming encounter.

Best odds and our betting tip

For this match, the best odds indicate a home win for Ajax at 1.36 with Betano, while a draw is available at 5.30 through Betwinner and an away victory for NEC at 8.50 with the same bookmaker. Given our extensive experience with various betting sites, we recommend checking out our bookmaker comparison to find the best betting sites that suit your needs.

Conclusion on the match

In conclusion, Ajax Amsterdam emerges as the clear favorite heading into this match against NEC Nijmegen. Their home dominance, coupled with NEC’s struggles away from home and overall inconsistency, suggests a high probability of an Ajax victory. Our betting tips for this match lean towards a straightforward home win, with an additional recommendation for both teams to score.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow, as we continue to provide insights and predictions for upcoming matches across various leagues.