Ajax Amsterdam - SBV Excelsior ai prediction 22.11.2025 Eredivisie

Preview for match Ajax Amsterdam vs SBV Excelsior

As the Eredivisie season approaches its thirteenth matchday, fans are eagerly anticipating the clash between Ajax Amsterdam and SBV Excelsior, scheduled for Saturday, November 22, 2025, at the iconic Johan Cruijff ArenA. This matchup not only features two teams with contrasting fortunes in the league but also carries a historical context that adds to the excitement surrounding the game.

Ajax Amsterdam, one of the most successful clubs in Dutch football history, currently occupies the fourth position in the league table, having accrued 20 points from 12 matches. Their record includes five victories, five draws, and two defeats, with a goal difference of 22 scored against 17 conceded. At home, Ajax has shown a strong performance with four wins, one draw, and one loss, indicating their prowess on familiar turf. However, recent form has been a cause for concern, as they have managed only one win in their last five outings, which includes three defeats and one draw.

In stark contrast, SBV Excelsior finds itself languishing at the 16th position with just 10 points from 12 matches. Their record consists of three wins, one draw, and a troubling eight defeats, with a goal tally of 11 scored and 23 conceded. Excelsior's away performance has been particularly disappointing, with only one win, one draw, and four losses in their travels. Their recent form shows a dismal run of four consecutive defeats, further underscoring the challenges they face as they prepare to take on Ajax.

Historically, the last direct meeting between these two sides ended in a 2-2 draw, highlighting that Excelsior can pose a challenge even against higher-ranked opponents. Nonetheless, Ajax will be determined to assert their dominance, especially given their superior head-to-head record in the last five encounters, winning three and drawing two.

Our betting tip for the match Ajax Amsterdam vs SBV Excelsior

In light of the analysis presented, our betting prediction for this match strongly favors a home win for Ajax Amsterdam. The odds provided by various bookmakers reflect this sentiment, with a home victory priced at 1.37 at Betika. Additionally, the second tip we propose is to consider whether both teams will score, with odds for 'Yes' at 1.67 at Gbets. Given Ajax's attacking prowess and Excelsior's recent defensive vulnerabilities, it seems plausible that both teams could find the back of the net.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Ajax Amsterdam have drawn or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

SBV Excelsior have won or drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Ajax Amsterdam's last 5 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 3 of SBV Excelsior's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 5.5

There have been under 5.5 goals scored in 4 of Ajax Amsterdam's last 5 matches.

There have been under 5.5 goals scored in 5 of SBV Excelsior's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI prediction for the match Ajax Amsterdam vs SBV Excelsior

In forecasting the outcome of the upcoming match, an AI analysis suggests that Ajax Amsterdam is the clear favorite to secure all three points. The AI tip indicates a strong likelihood of Ajax winning the match, potentially with a scoreline of 3-1. This prediction is grounded in Ajax's overall performance metrics and historical trends against Excelsior, which point towards a dominant display from the home side.

Ajax Amsterdam performance check

Ajax Amsterdam's current season has been characterized by a mix of commendable performances and unexpected setbacks. Under the guidance of coach Fred Grim, the team has demonstrated a solid attacking front, evidenced by their 22 goals scored. However, the defense has shown signs of vulnerability, conceding 17 goals in the process. The recent form indicates a need for improvement, as they have secured only one victory in their last five matches. This inconsistency will be a focal point for Grim as the team seeks to regain momentum in the league.

How is the current performance of SBV Excelsior

SBV Excelsior, managed by Ruben den Uil, is enduring a challenging season thus far. With just 10 points from 12 matches, their struggles are evident, particularly in their defensive capabilities, having conceded 23 goals. The team's recent performances have been underwhelming, failing to secure a win in their last five matches, which has contributed to their position near the bottom of the table. Den Uil will need to instill confidence and resilience in his squad as they prepare for the daunting task of facing Ajax.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

In the last five meetings between Ajax Amsterdam and SBV Excelsior, Ajax has emerged victorious on three occasions, while the teams have shared the points in two matches. This history underscores Ajax's dominance in this fixture, although the recent draw indicates that Excelsior can be competitive against them.

Performance last 5 matches

In their last five matches, Ajax Amsterdam has recorded one win, one draw, and three defeats, reflecting a troubling dip in form as they strive to regain consistency. Conversely, SBV Excelsior's recent form is even more concerning, with the team failing to secure a win, managing only one draw and suffering four defeats in their last five outings.

Performance

Ajax Amsterdam

Last games

Ajax Amsterdam performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

25%

Over 2.5

50%

SBV Excelsior

Last games

SBV Excelsior performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

16%

Over 2.5

66%

Last match results Ajax Amsterdam and SBV Excelsior

Ajax's most recent encounter ended in a narrow 1-2 defeat against FC Utrecht, while SBV Excelsior faced a 2-3 loss against Feyenoord Rotterdam. Both teams will be eager to bounce back from these setbacks as they meet on Saturday.

Best odds and our betting tip

The best odds available for this match indicate a strong likelihood of an Ajax victory, with the odds for a home win set at 1.37 at Betika. For those interested in exploring further options, the odds for both teams to score are enticing at 1.67 at Gbets. It is advisable for bettors to compare these odds across various bookmakers to ensure they secure the best possible value.

Conclusion on the match

In conclusion, Ajax Amsterdam emerges as the clear favorite heading into this match against SBV Excelsior. Their home advantage, historical dominance in this fixture, and the quality of their squad position them strongly for a victory. The predictions suggest a comfortable win for Ajax, possibly accompanied by both teams scoring.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow, ensuring that you remain well-informed ahead of your next betting endeavors.