AS Monaco FC - FC Metz ai prediction 21.09.2025 Ligue 1

Preview for Match AS Monaco vs FC Metz

On Sunday, 21st September 2025, the picturesque Stade Louis II will host an intriguing Ligue 1 matchup as AS Monaco takes on FC Metz. This contest marks the fifth matchday of the season and presents a significant opportunity for both teams, albeit under contrasting circumstances. AS Monaco, currently positioned third in the league standings with 9 points, has demonstrated a commendable performance thus far, securing three victories and suffering only a single defeat. Their goal tally stands at 8 goals scored while conceding 5. Impressively, Monaco has maintained a strong home record, winning both of their matches played at home so far.

In stark contrast, FC Metz finds themselves languishing at the bottom of the table, positioned 18th with a mere 1 point from four matches. Their record is troubling, marked by no wins, one draw, and three defeats, resulting in a goal differential of 3 goals scored and 8 goals conceded. Metz's away form is equally concerning, with two losses in their two away fixtures, offering little in the way of optimism ahead of this challenging encounter.

The historical context of this matchup heavily favors AS Monaco, who triumphed in their last direct meeting with a convincing 5-2 victory over FC Metz. This trend is further reinforced by their dominance in the last five encounters, where Monaco has emerged victorious in every instance. As the teams prepare to clash, the expectations for the home side are high, while Metz must strive to reverse their fortunes.

Our Betting Tip for the Match AS Monaco vs FC Metz

Our betting prediction for this match leans heavily towards a home victory for AS Monaco (Tip 1). The odds at Betwinner for this outcome stand at an attractive 1.34, reflecting the general sentiment surrounding the disparity in team form and performance. Additionally, given the defensive vulnerabilities displayed by FC Metz, we also anticipate that both teams will score in this encounter. The odds for this prediction are 1.76 at Betwinner, making it a compelling option for bettors looking to capitalize on the attacking prowess of Monaco against a struggling Metz side.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 3.5

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 3 of AS Monaco's last 5 matches.

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 2 of FC Metz's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

12

AS Monaco have won or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

FC Metz have won or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 5.5

There have been under 5.5 goals scored in 5 of AS Monaco's last 5 matches.

There have been under 5.5 goals scored in 4 of FC Metz's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI Prediction for the Match AS Monaco vs FC Metz

AI analysis suggests that AS Monaco will likely secure a decisive victory, with a predicted scoreline of 3-1 in favor of the home side. The statistical data indicates that Monaco's offensive capabilities, combined with Metz's defensive frailties, create an opportunity for a high-scoring match. The AI betting tip underscores the expectation that Monaco will dominate possession and create numerous goal-scoring opportunities, while Metz may find chances on the counter-attack, leading to at least one goal for the visitors.

AS Monaco Performance Check

AS Monaco has showcased a robust performance in the early stages of the Ligue 1 season under the guidance of coach Adi Hütter. Their third-place standing in the league is a testament to their competitive edge, with three wins from their first four matches. The team has effectively utilized its attacking talents, scoring 8 goals while maintaining a solid defensive line that has allowed only 5 goals. Despite suffering a setback in their most recent match—a 1-4 loss to FC Bruges in the UEFA Europa League—Monaco's home form remains unblemished, indicating resilience and the potential for recovery in this domestic fixture.

How is the Current Performance of FC Metz?

Conversely, FC Metz is experiencing a troubling spell under coach Stéphane Le Mignan. Their current position at the bottom of the Ligue 1 table, with only 1 point accumulated from four matches, highlights significant challenges. The team has not yet tasted victory this season, with their solitary point coming from a draw against Angers SCO. The goal statistics further illustrate the struggles faced by Metz, as they have managed to score only 3 goals while conceding 8. Their away record, with two defeats, adds pressure as they head into this daunting matchup against a formidable opponent.

Last Direct Match

The last direct encounter between AS Monaco and FC Metz resulted in a resounding 5-2 victory for AS Monaco. This result not only underscores Monaco's dominance over Metz in recent years but also sets a psychological precedent as both teams prepare to meet again.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In the last five meetings across all competitions, AS Monaco has emerged victorious in each encounter against FC Metz, with no draws or wins for the latter. This trend illustrates a significant competitive edge held by Monaco, further establishing them as favorites for the upcoming match.

Performance Last 5 Matches

In their last five matches, AS Monaco has recorded three wins and two defeats, indicating a mixed but generally positive form. In contrast, FC Metz has struggled significantly, failing to secure any wins, managing only one draw, and suffering four defeats, reflecting a concerning run of form.

Performance

AS Monaco

Last games

AS Monaco performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

80%

Over 2.5

100%

FC Metz

Last games

FC Metz performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

80%

Last Match Results AS Monaco and FC Metz

AS Monaco's most recent match ended in a disappointing 1-4 loss to FC Bruges, which may serve as a motivating factor to bounce back in their next encounter. Meanwhile, FC Metz played to a 1-1 draw against Angers SCO, a result that offered them a sliver of hope but ultimately did little to alleviate their struggles.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

The odds for a home win for AS Monaco are currently listed at 1.34 on Betwinner, while a draw can be found at 6.33 and an away victory for FC Metz at 9.50 on Gbets. Our betting tip strongly favors a home win for AS Monaco, given their superior form and historical dominance. We encourage bettors to explore the best betting sites for optimal odds.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the upcoming clash between AS Monaco and FC Metz is expected to favor the home side significantly. With AS Monaco's strong attacking form and FC Metz's ongoing struggles, it is reasonable to anticipate a comfortable victory for Monaco. The historical context further reinforces this expectation, as they have dominated recent meetings. Therefore, betting on a home win aligns with statistical evidence and recent performances.

Here are the best football tips for tomorrow, providing further opportunities for bettors to explore exciting matchups across various leagues.