Atletico Madrid will be looking to get their pound of flesh when they welcome Bayern Munich to the Wanda Metropolitano for their Group A Champions League return leg on Tuesday night.
Atletico Madrid continued their onslaught in La Liga over the weekend with a clinical 1-0 win away at Valencia, which took them to second on the table, level on points with leaders Real Sociedad, but with a game in hand.
In sharp contrast to their domestic form, their Champions League performances have been nothing worth writing home about. They have only won one of their four matches so far, although their tally of five points has been good enough for second place in their group behind Bayern Munich who have effectively already qualified for the knockout phase.
When they met in the first match of the group stage in Munich, the Bavarians ran Atletico ragged, winning 4-0. Atleti were widely expected to bounce back from that in the other group games but they have been woefully inept, particularly in the last two games against Lokomotiv Moscow.
Like they did last season en route to clinching the title, Bayern have breezed through the group games with a 100% record in their 4 group games so far. Those 12 points they picked up have literally guaranteed them not just qualification for the next round but outright leadership in this group as none of the chasing pack can catch them.
With 15 straight Champions League wins going back to last season’s campaign, Bayern have thrown the gauntlet to all the pretenders to the crown out there. The road to the next Champions League triumph will seemingly have to pass through the Bavarians.
Having already qualified and with the risks of unnecessary injuries looming large, Hansi Flick is likely to rest some of his big-name stars for this fixture.
That 4-0 Bayern Munich win was more of an outlier result than a routine Bayern win. Generally, Atleti do not lose many games and when they do, they don’t usually concede many goals. Diego Simeone was visibly upset with that result. And true to their form, the Atletico Madrid’s defence has quickly been restored to its default settings in recent weeks with clean-sheets in each of their last 4 matches and 5 of their last 6 at home. With Atleti not having much to offer upfront themselves with the absence of both Suarez and Costa, we can expect another tight encounter here with a few clear-cut goal scoring opportunities. We are therefore backing Under 3.5 goals @ 1.44 with Betway for our initial betting tip.
Atletico are beast when playing at home. They are unbeaten in the last 20 home games, winning 15 of them. With Bayern expected to field a relatively weaker lineup, Atleti should be confident enough of getting all 3 points on offer. They’ve beaten Bayern 1-0 on both of their previous meetings at home. They are badly in need to the points and we expect them to go for it here. Atleti to score the first goal @ 1.64 with Betway betting app looks like good value and we are going with it as our final betting tip for this game.
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