Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio Porto Alegre ai prediction 17.08.2025 Série A

Preview for match Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Porto Alegre

As the 20th matchday of Brazil's Série A approaches, the clash between Atlético Mineiro and Grêmio Porto Alegre promises to be an exciting encounter. Scheduled for Sunday, 17 August 2025, at 20:00, this fixture will take place at the Estádio Mineirão in Belo Horizonte. Both teams have had contrasting fortunes in the current campaign, which adds an intriguing layer to the match. With Atlético Mineiro currently sitting in 10th place with 24 points from 17 matches, they have shown a relatively stable form at home, remaining unbeaten with four victories and three draws. Their goal tally of 19 scored against 18 conceded indicates a slight defensive vulnerability, yet their recent performances suggest they are on an upward trajectory.

In stark contrast, Grêmio Porto Alegre finds itself languishing in 15th position with just 20 points. Their season has been marked by struggles, particularly in away fixtures, where they have only managed one win, alongside two draws and six losses. This poor away record has contributed to a negative goal difference of 16 scored against 24 conceded, highlighting significant defensive frailties. The last direct meeting between these teams ended in a 2-1 victory for Grêmio, which will undoubtedly motivate Atlético Mineiro to reclaim bragging rights on home soil.

With the stakes high for both teams, Atlético Mineiro will be looking to consolidate their home advantage, while Grêmio will aim to secure much-needed points to climb away from the relegation zone. The tactical battle, managerial strategies, and individual player performances will all play pivotal roles in determining the outcome of this match.

Our betting tip for the match Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Porto Alegre

Our betting prediction for this match leans towards a home victory for Atlético Mineiro, reflecting their stronger form and home advantage. The odds available for a home win stand at 1.77 with Betika, making this a highly appealing option for bettors. Additionally, given Grêmio's struggles both in terms of form and away performances, we recommend considering the second tip that both teams will not score, with odds of 1.81 available at Bet9ja.

Thus, our main tip is a home win for Atlético Mineiro, and we also suggest betting on the option that both teams will not score.

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 1.5

There have been under 1.5 goals scored in 3 of Atlético Mineiro's last 6 matches.

There have been under 1.5 goals scored in 3 of Grêmio Porto Alegre's last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of Atlético Mineiro's last 6 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Grêmio Porto Alegre's last 4 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Handicap 0-1

Draw

Atlético Mineiro have won by exactly 1 goals 3 of their last 6 matches.

Grêmio Porto Alegre have lost by exactly 1 goals 3 of their last 4 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI prediction for the match Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio Porto Alegre

Analyzing the statistical data and team dynamics, the AI prediction suggests that Atlético Mineiro is likely to secure a victory in this matchup. With their recent form showcasing four wins and a draw in the last five matches, they are poised to maintain their unbeaten home record. The expected scoreline, based on current trends, could be 2-0 in favor of Atlético Mineiro, reflecting their defensive capabilities against a struggling Grêmio side that has been unable to find the net consistently.

Atlético Mineiro performance check

Atlético Mineiro, under the guidance of coach Alexi Stival, has demonstrated a commendable performance this season, particularly at home. With six wins, six draws, and five losses, they currently occupy the 10th position in the league standings. Their ability to remain unbeaten at home has been pivotal, and they are eager to build on their recent momentum, which includes a victory against Godoy Cruz in their last match. This positive trajectory, combined with their home advantage, positions them strongly for this upcoming fixture.

How is the current performance of Grêmio Porto Alegre

Grêmio Porto Alegre, managed by Luiz Antonio Venker Menezes, finds itself in a precarious position this season, currently sitting 15th in the table. With five wins, five draws, and eight defeats, their performance has been inconsistent, particularly in away matches where they have struggled significantly. Following a disappointing home loss to Sport Recife, the team is under pressure to secure points and improve their standing. Their defensive frailties have been exposed frequently, making it imperative for them to tighten up at the back if they hope to compete effectively against Atlético Mineiro.

Last direct match

The most recent encounter between these two teams resulted in a 2-1 victory for Grêmio Porto Alegre. This past success will likely bolster their confidence, but given the current dynamics, Atlético Mineiro will be keen to avenge this defeat.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

In the last five meetings across all competitions, Atlético Mineiro has recorded three wins, while Grêmio Porto Alegre has managed two victories, showing a competitive rivalry. The trend suggests that Atlético holds a slight upper hand in recent encounters, which adds to their motivation heading into this match.

Performance last 5 matches

In their last five matches, Atlético Mineiro has thrived with four wins and one draw, demonstrating a robust form. Conversely, Grêmio Porto Alegre has struggled, recording only one win, one draw, and three losses, highlighting their difficulties in recent fixtures.

Performance

Atlético Mineiro

Last games

Atlético Mineiro performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

40%

Grêmio Porto Alegre

Last games

Grêmio Porto Alegre performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

20%

Last match results Atlético Mineiro and Grêmio Porto Alegre

Atlético Mineiro secured a 2-1 home victory against Godoy Cruz, showcasing their attacking prowess and resilience. In contrast, Grêmio Porto Alegre faced disappointment with a 0-1 home loss to Sport Recife, exacerbating their struggles and increasing the pressure on the team.

Best odds and our betting tip

For this match, the best odds currently available reflect a home win for Atlético Mineiro at 1.77 on Betika. Grêmio's odds stand at 5.01 for an away victory, while a draw is priced at 3.69 with Betwinner. Based on our experiences with the best betting sites, these odds present a favorable opportunity for bettors seeking to capitalize on Atlético's home form.

Conclusion on the match

In conclusion, Atlético Mineiro is positioned as the clear favorite heading into this match against Grêmio Porto Alegre. Given the current form, their solid home record, and Grêmio's struggles, a home win appears highly probable. Our recommendation is to back Atlético Mineiro for the win while also considering the likelihood that both teams will not score, reflecting the defensive challenges faced by Grêmio.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow, as we continue to analyze matchups and provide insights to enhance your betting experience.