Bahia - BA - Vasco da Gama - RJ ai prediction 23.11.2025 Série A

Preview for match Bahia - BA vs Vasco da Gama - RJ

The upcoming Série A clash between Bahia - BA and Vasco da Gama - RJ promises to be a riveting encounter as both teams vie for crucial points in the penultimate matchday of the season. Scheduled for Sunday, 23rd November 2025, at 20:00 local time, the match will take place at the iconic Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador. As we approach this critical fixture, it is essential to examine both teams' standings, recent forms, and historical performances to provide a comprehensive preview.

Bahia currently occupies the seventh position in the league table, boasting 54 points from 34 matches. Their record of 15 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats has resulted in a goal tally of 44 scored against 40 conceded. At home, they have been particularly formidable, achieving 12 victories, 4 draws, and only a single defeat throughout the season. However, recent performances indicate a dip in form, as they have secured just one victory while suffering three defeats in their last five matches.

Conversely, Vasco da Gama finds itself in a more precarious position, ranked twelfth with 42 points. Their season has been characterized by inconsistency, with 12 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, resulting in a goal difference of -1 (50 goals scored, 51 conceded). Their away record is particularly concerning, having managed only 5 wins and suffering 10 defeats. In their last five matches, Vasco da Gama has recorded one win but has lost four, raising questions about their ability to secure vital points in challenging away fixtures.

Adding intrigue to this matchup is the fact that the last direct meeting between these two sides ended in a 3-1 victory for Vasco da Gama, suggesting that Bahia will be eager for revenge on their home turf. Given the stakes, both teams will be motivated to perform; Bahia aims to solidify their position for a potential continental competition, while Vasco da Gama seeks to create some breathing room above the relegation zone.

Our betting tip for the match Bahia - BA vs Vasco da Gama - RJ

In light of the analysis provided, our betting tip for this match suggests a home win for Bahia - BA. The home side's impressive home record and the need to recover from recent setbacks position them as the favorites in this matchup. Thus, we recommend betting on Bahia to win (Tip 1) with odds of 1.76 at Betika.

Additionally, we advise considering the option that both teams will not score (Tip NO) at odds of 1.98 with Bet9ja. Given Vasco’s struggles in front of goal during their recent away outings and Bahia's defensive capabilities, this proposition appears prudent.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Bahia - BA's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Vasco da Gama - RJ's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of Bahia - BA's last 5 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 5 of Vasco da Gama - RJ's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Double Chance

12

Bahia - BA have won or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Vasco da Gama - RJ have won or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI prediction for the match Bahia - BA vs Vasco da Gama - RJ

The AI prediction for this match leans towards a home victory for Bahia - BA, reflecting their superior form at the Arena Fonte Nova and overall league standing. The statistical analysis suggests a likely scoreline of 2-0 in favor of the home side, considering the current form of both teams and Bahia's defensive solidity at home. The AI betting tip thus aligns with our initial assessment, reinforcing the notion that Bahia is well-positioned to claim all three points in this crucial fixture.

Bahia - BA performance check

Under the guidance of manager Rogério Ceni, Bahia has demonstrated moments of brilliance throughout the season, particularly on home soil. With a total of 54 points, they find themselves in a competitive position for continental qualification. However, recent fluctuations in performance, which include only one win in their last five matches, have raised concerns about their consistency. The team's ability to rebound from the disappointing 2-3 loss against Fortaleza will be critical as they prepare to face Vasco da Gama.

How is the current performance of Vasco da Gama - RJ?

Managed by Fernando Diniz, Vasco da Gama's season has been tumultuous. With a total of 42 points, their position in the table remains precarious as they strive to avoid relegation. The team's form has been disheartening, with only one victory in their last five outings. The 0-2 loss to Grêmio Porto Alegre last time out serves as a reminder of their struggles, particularly in away matches. Diniz will need to instill confidence in his players ahead of this challenging encounter against Bahia.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

The last five meetings between Bahia and Vasco da Gama have seen a relatively even distribution of results. Bahia has secured two victories, while Vasco da Gama has also claimed two wins, with one match ending in a draw. This parity suggests a competitive rivalry, though the recent victory for Vasco adds a layer of pressure on Bahia to perform well at home.

Performance last 5 matches

In their last five matches across all competitions, Bahia has managed to secure one win, one draw, and has suffered three defeats. This form has caused some concern among supporters as the team looks to regain its footing. On the other hand, Vasco da Gama's recent form is even more troubling, with just one win and four defeats in their last five matches, indicating a significant need for improvement.

Performance

Bahia - BA

Last games

Bahia - BA performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

80%

Over 2.5

60%

Vasco da Gama - RJ

Last games

Vasco da Gama - RJ performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

60%

Last match results Bahia - BA and Vasco da Gama - RJ

In their most recent match, Bahia experienced a heart-wrenching 2-3 defeat at home against Fortaleza, showcasing defensive frailties that will need addressing. Conversely, Vasco da Gama suffered a 0-2 loss away at Grêmio Porto Alegre, which further emphasizes their struggles on the road.

Best odds and our betting tip for the match

As we assess the best betting sites available, we find that the odds for a Bahia victory stand at 1.76 with Betika, while a draw is available at 3.80 with Betano, and a Vasco win at 5.25 with Gbets. Our experience suggests that these bookmakers provide competitive odds, making them reliable options for bettors looking to capitalize on this match.

Conclusion on the match

In conclusion, Bahia - BA emerges as the clear favorite in this encounter against Vasco da Gama - RJ due to their superior home performance and the pressing need to secure points as the season winds down. The historical context and current form suggest that Bahia is well-equipped to seize victory, possibly leading to a scoreline of 2-0 or 3-1 in their favor.

For those looking for further betting opportunities, here are the best betting tips for tomorrow, ensuring that you stay ahead in your wagering endeavors.