Bari - Padova ai prediction 04.10.2025 Serie B

Preview for Match Bari vs Padova

On Saturday, October 4, 2025, the San Nicola Stadium will host a crucial Serie B clash between FC Bari and Padova. This encounter marks Matchday 7 of the season and presents an opportunity for both teams to secure valuable points in their respective campaigns. Currently, Bari occupies a disappointing 17th position in the league table, having accumulated just 3 points from 3 draws and 3 defeats, with a goal difference of -6 (5 goals scored and 11 conceded). The team has struggled to find form and is yet to secure a victory this season.

In comparison, Padova finds itself in a more favorable position, sitting in 10th place with 8 points from 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats. Their goal tally reads 6 scored and 7 conceded, indicating a more balanced performance thus far. Padova has shown resilience on the road, securing a win and a draw in their away fixtures. The last encounter between these two sides ended in a resounding 3-0 victory for Bari, which may serve as a psychological advantage for the home side as they prepare for this match.

With both teams eager to improve their standings in the league, the stakes are high. Bari must capitalize on their home advantage, while Padova will aim to build upon their recent form and solidify their mid-table position. This match promises to be a pivotal moment in the early phases of the Serie B season, making it a must-watch for football enthusiasts.

Our Betting Tip for the Match Bari vs Padova

Our betting prediction for this encounter leans towards a home victory for Bari. Despite their struggles this season, we believe that the psychological edge from their previous meeting, combined with the imperative need for points, will drive them to perform better at home. Therefore, our primary tip is a win for Bari (Tip 1) with odds of 2.24 at Betwinner.

In addition, we also recommend a secondary tip: "Both teams to score? No." Given Bari's defensive vulnerabilities coupled with Padova's inconsistency in front of goal, we foresee a scenario where Bari manages to keep a clean sheet while finding the net themselves.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Bari have drawn or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Padova have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Bari's last 5 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Padova's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Bari's last 5 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Padova's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI Prediction for the Match Bari vs Padova

Based on an analysis of recent performances, statistical data, and historical context, the AI prediction aligns closely with our betting tip. The AI forecast suggests that Bari will emerge victorious, potentially with a scoreline of 1-0 or 2-0. This prediction is bolstered by Bari's home advantage and their need to turn their season around. Conversely, Padova's away form has been less convincing, which could hinder their efforts to secure points in this fixture.

Bari Performance Check

Bari's performance thus far in the Serie B season has been underwhelming. Under the guidance of coach Fabio Caserta, the team has yet to secure a win, managing only 3 draws and 3 defeats. Their goal-scoring has been limited to just 5 goals, while they have conceded 11, reflecting a significant imbalance that must be addressed. The fact that Bari has not yet won at home (2 draws and 0 defeats) indicates a potential for improvement, as they seek to leverage their home crowd support to finally secure that elusive first victory.

How is the Current Performance of Padova?

Padova, coached by Matteo Andreoletti, has exhibited a relatively stable performance in the current Serie B season. Sitting in 10th place, they have gathered 8 points from 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats. The team's ability to score (6 goals) has been matched by their defensive efforts, with only 7 goals conceded. Their away record includes 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, showcasing a balanced approach that has allowed them to navigate the challenges of playing on the road. Padova will look to build on this form as they travel to Bari, aiming to capitalize on the home team's vulnerabilities.

Head-to-head Last Direct Meetings

In their last five encounters across all competitions, Bari has enjoyed a dominant record against Padova, securing 3 victories while Padova has managed only 1 win, with the remaining match ending in a draw. The most recent meeting saw Bari triumph with a convincing 3-0 scoreline, which will undoubtedly instill confidence in the home side ahead of this match.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Bari's recent form has been concerning, with no wins to their name. They have drawn 3 matches and lost 2 in their last five outings. Conversely, Padova has performed better, securing 2 victories, drawing 2, and experiencing just 1 defeat in their last five matches, indicating a more consistent level of performance.

Performance

Bari

Last games

Bari performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

25%

Over 2.5

25%

Padova

Last games

Padova performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

16%

Last Match Results Bari and Padova

In their most recent fixtures, Bari managed a 2-2 draw against Virtus Entella, while Padova also ended their match in a 2-2 draw against Avellino. This further illustrates the ongoing struggles for both teams to secure victories, particularly for Bari, who are still searching for their first win.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

The best odds for this match currently stand at Tip 1 (Bari to win) at 2.24 with Betwinner, while a draw (Tip X) is available at odds of 3.30 at Mozzart, and an away victory for Padova (Tip 2) is set at 3.60 with Bet9ja. We recommend exploring various betting sites to find the best odds and conditions for this match, as each bookmaker offers different values. For a comprehensive comparison of betting websites, we suggest checking our bookmaker comparison for the best betting sites in Africa.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, this Serie B encounter between Bari and Padova presents an intriguing matchup. Bari's pressing need for a victory, alongside their historical performance against Padova, positions them as favorites for this clash. We predict a home win for Bari, possibly with a clean sheet, and recommend betting on their victory as well as on the outcome of "Both teams to score? No."

Here are tomorrow's betting tips: Stay tuned for more insights and predictions as we continue to cover the exciting world of football betting!