Bayer 04 Leverkusen - 1. FSV Mainz 05 ai prediction 28.02.2026 Bundesliga

Preview for the Bundesliga Clash: Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05

As we approach the 24th matchday of the Bundesliga, a thrilling encounter awaits at the BayArena where Bayer Leverkusen will host Mainz 05 on Saturday, 28th February 2026, at 15:30. This match promises to be an intriguing contest, given the contrasting fortunes of both teams in the league standings. Bayer Leverkusen, under the stewardship of Kasper Hjulmand, currently sits in sixth place with 39 points, showcasing a fairly strong season with 12 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats. Their impressive goal tally of 43 scored against 28 conceded underscores their attacking prowess, especially at home where they have claimed 7 victories out of 11 matches.

In contrast, Mainz 05, led by Urs Fischer, find themselves in a challenging position, sitting 13th in the table with 22 points. Their campaign has been marred by inconsistency, as reflected in their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses. With a goal difference of 26 scored to 38 conceded, Mainz's defensive vulnerabilities have been a significant concern, particularly on the road where they have managed to secure only 2 wins in 11 attempts. The last meeting between these two sides saw Bayer Leverkusen triumph in a high-scoring affair, clinching a 4-3 victory away from home. This historical context adds another layer of excitement to the upcoming duel at the BayArena.

Our Betting Prediction for the Match Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05

Our betting prediction leans towards a home victory for Bayer Leverkusen. Considering their superior form and home advantage, they are likely to dominate proceedings against a Mainz side struggling for consistency. The odds for a Bayer Leverkusen win are 1.74 at Betwinner, which offers value given their recent performance metrics. Additionally, with both teams exhibiting a flair for attacking football, our second tip is that both teams will score, supported by the odds of 1.70 at Mozzart.

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 7 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Mainz 05's last 3 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Under 4.5

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 7 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 7 matches.

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 3 of Mainz 05's last 3 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

X2

Bayer Leverkusen have drawn or lost 3 of their last 7 matches.

Mainz 05 have won or drawn 2 of their last 3 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI Prediction for the Match Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05

Based on a comprehensive analysis of current form, statistics, and historical encounters, the AI prediction favors Bayer Leverkusen to secure a win. With their potent attack and home support, a 3-1 victory for Leverkusen seems plausible. This AI forecast underscores their ability to outscore an inconsistent Mainz defense that has struggled on their travels.

Bayer Leverkusen Performance Check

Under the guidance of Kasper Hjulmand, Bayer Leverkusen has demonstrated commendable form this season. With 39 points from 23 matches, they are in a strong position to challenge for European places. Their recent form, featuring three wins, one draw, and just one defeat in their last five outings, reflects their resilience and ability to bounce back from setbacks. Despite a narrow 0-1 loss to Union Berlin in their last fixture, Leverkusen's overall performance at home has been robust, making them a formidable opponent for Mainz.

How is the Current Performance of Mainz 05?

Mainz 05, under Urs Fischer, have had a turbulent season marked by inconsistency. Sitting 13th with 22 points, their campaign has been hampered by defensive issues, as evidenced by their goal difference of -12. Their recent form, however, shows signs of improvement with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five matches. A 1-1 draw against Hamburger SV in their latest match indicates their potential to compete, but away from home, they face a formidable challenge against Bayer Leverkusen.

Last Direct Match

The last encounter between these two teams was a thrilling affair, with Bayer Leverkusen emerging victorious in a 4-3 away win. This match showcased both teams' attacking capabilities, setting the stage for another potentially high-scoring encounter.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In the last five meetings across all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen has dominated with four wins and one draw against Mainz 05. This head-to-head record heavily favors Leverkusen, underscoring their historical superiority in this fixture.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Both teams have shown competitive form in their last five matches. Bayer Leverkusen has secured three wins, one draw, and one defeat, while Mainz 05 has matched this record, indicating their ability to pose a challenge despite their lower league standing.

Performance

Bayer Leverkusen

Last games

Bayer Leverkusen performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

66%

Over 2.5

66%

Mainz 05

Last games

Mainz 05 performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

25%

Over 2.5

100%

Last Match Results Bayer Leverkusen and Mainz 05

In their most recent matches, Bayer Leverkusen suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat away to Union Berlin, while Mainz 05 secured a 1-1 draw at home against Hamburger SV. These results reflect the competitive nature of their recent fixtures, with both teams eager to return to winning ways.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

For this match, the best odds for a Bayer Leverkusen victory are available at Betwinner with odds of 1.74. For those interested in both teams to score, Mozzart offers odds of 1.70. Our experience with the best betting sites suggests that these odds provide good value for punters. Find the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison to make the most of your wagers.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, Bayer Leverkusen enters this match as the clear favorite, with their superior form and home advantage positioning them for victory against Mainz 05. While Mainz has shown glimpses of potential, their inconsistency and defensive frailties are likely to be exploited by Leverkusen's potent attack. A home win seems the most probable outcome, complemented by the likelihood of both teams finding the net.

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