Derby County - Watford FC ai prediction 22.11.2025 Championship

Preview for Match Derby County vs Watford FC

On Saturday, 22nd November 2025, at 16:00, Derby County will host Watford FC at the iconic Pride Park Stadium for a crucial Championship clash. This match is part of Matchday 16 of the ongoing Championship season, and both teams will be eager to secure vital points in their pursuit of improved league standings.

Derby County currently occupies the 10th position on the league table, having accumulated 23 points from 15 matches. Their record includes 6 victories, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal tally of 20 scored and 19 conceded. The Rams have shown resilience, especially at home, where they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats. The recent form of the team under the guidance of manager John Eustace has been commendable, with a string of five consecutive victories, which has undoubtedly boosted their confidence going into this fixture.

Watford FC, on the other hand, finds themselves in a challenging position, sitting 15th in the league with 20 points. Their record stands at 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal difference of 19 scored and 18 conceded. A worrying aspect for the Hornets is their away record, which shows no wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. The team has struggled to find form away from home, making this match even more critical as they face a resurgent Derby County side. Watford's most recent performance saw them secure a 1-1 draw against Bristol City, while their last win on the road feels like a distant memory.

With a history that leans in favour of Watford in recent encounters, the pressure is on Derby County to assert their dominance at home. Their last meeting ended in a 2-0 away win for Watford, adding to the psychological edge they may carry into this match.

Our Betting Tip for Derby County vs Watford FC

Our betting prediction for this match is a home victory for Derby County, represented as Tip 1. Given the current form of both teams, it appears that Derby County has the upper hand, especially with their impressive home record and recent winning streak. The odds for this tip stand at 2.65 with Betika, which offers a tempting opportunity for bettors.

Additionally, our second tip revolves around the prospect of both teams scoring. Considering Watford's struggles away from home and Derby's solid defensive performances recently, we predict that both teams may not find the net. Therefore, we suggest betting on "Both teams do not score," with odds of 1.86 available at Bet9ja.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Derby County's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Watford FC's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

1X

Derby County have won or drawn 5 of their last 5 matches.

Watford FC have drawn or lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Double Chance

12

Derby County have won or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Watford FC have won or lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

AI Prediction for Derby County vs Watford FC

In terms of AI predictions, the statistical analysis suggests a favorable outcome for Derby County. The AI forecasts a strong possibility of a 2-0 victory for the home side, supported by their recent form and Watford's inability to secure wins away from home. Based on the data, it is highly likely that Derby will dominate possession and create more goal-scoring opportunities, ultimately leading to a comfortable win.

Derby County Performance Check

Derby County's recent performances have been nothing short of stellar. Under the management of John Eustace, the Rams have displayed a newfound vigor, with five consecutive wins showcasing their resilience and tactical prowess. The team's ability to adapt and overcome challenges on the field has been significant, and their home form, which includes 3 wins in their last four home games, adds to their confidence. With a balanced attack and a solid defense, Derby County is well-positioned to capitalize on their current momentum in this upcoming fixture.

How is the Current Performance of Watford FC?

Watford FC’s current performance reveals a team grappling with inconsistencies. Managed by Gracia, the Hornets have shown glimpses of potential with 2 wins in their last five matches, but their away form has been particularly concerning. With no wins on the road, their reliance on home fixtures has been evident, and the inability to secure points away has likely impacted their standings in the league. The team needs to find a solution to their away woes if they wish to climb the table and challenge for a playoff position.

Last Direct Match

In the last direct encounter between these two sides, Watford emerged victorious with a 2-0 win, which has set a precedent for their upcoming clash. This result not only provided Watford with confidence but also served as a reminder for Derby County of the need to improve against such opponents.

Head-to-head Last Direct Meetings

The head-to-head record over the last five meetings between Derby County and Watford FC indicates a stark advantage for the Hornets, with Derby yet to secure a win. The record shows 4 victories for Watford and 1 draw, underscoring the challenges Derby has faced against this opposition in recent years.

Performance Last 5 Matches

In their last five matches, Derby County has enjoyed an impressive run with 5 wins, showcasing their ability to excel under pressure. Conversely, Watford FC has had a mixed bag of results, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, indicating some progress but also a lack of consistency.

Performance

Derby County

Last games

Derby County performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

20%

Watford FC

Last games

Watford FC performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

40%

Last Match Results Derby County and Watford FC

Derby County's last match resulted in a 2-1 away victory against Blackburn Rovers, further solidifying their strong form. In contrast, Watford FC played to a 1-1 draw at home against Bristol City, which highlighted their ongoing struggles to secure wins in front of their own fans.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

For this match, the best odds available are as follows: Tip 1 (Home win for Derby County) at 2.65 with Betika, Tip X (Draw) at 3.20 with Gbets, and Tip 2 (Away win for Watford) at 2.95 with Betano. Given our experience with various betting sites, we recommend exploring the best betting sites to find these odds for optimal value.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, Derby County appears to be the likely favorites for this encounter, given their recent form and home advantage. With Watford struggling on the road, Derby's chances of securing a decisive victory look promising. The predicted outcome leans towards a home win, possibly with a scoreline of 2-0, reflecting Derby's current momentum and Watford's away difficulties.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow, as the action continues in the Championship and across the football leagues. Stay tuned for more insights and predictions!