FC Metz - Stade Rennais ai prediction 28.11.2025 Ligue 1

Preview for match FC Metz vs Stade Rennais

As Matchday 14 of Ligue 1 approaches, an intriguing clash awaits at the Municipal St.-Symphorien on Friday, November 28, 2025, where FC Metz will host Stade Rennais. The home side, currently languishing in 17th position with only 11 points, is in desperate need of a victory to enhance their precarious standings. FC Metz has amassed a meager three wins, two draws, and eight defeats so far this season, with a goal difference that reveals their struggles: 14 goals scored and a daunting 30 conceded. Their home record, although slightly better with two wins and two draws, still reflects a team grappling with inconsistency.

In contrast, Stade Rennais enters this fixture in far more robust form, occupying 6th place in the table with 21 points. The visitors have secured five victories, six draws, and just two losses throughout the season, showcasing a more balanced and effective squad. Their scoring record is commendable, netting 23 goals while conceding 18. However, their away performances have been less dominant, with only one win but a notable four draws, indicating a potential vulnerability when playing outside their home stadium.

Historically, Stade Rennais has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning all of the last five encounters without conceding a single defeat to FC Metz, including a 3-2 victory in their last meeting. Given the current form and statistics, this match presents an opportunity for Stade Rennais to further solidify their position in the upper echelons of Ligue 1, while FC Metz faces a critical juncture in their campaign.

Our betting tip for the match FC Metz vs Stade Rennais

Our betting prediction for this match leans heavily towards an away win for Stade Rennais. Given their superior form and the recent head-to-head history, a victory for the visitors appears likely. We suggest the main betting tip is to back Stade Rennais to win (Tip 2), which currently stands at odds of 2.05 at Mozzart. Additionally, given both teams' recent scoring records, we recommend also betting on "Both teams to score? Yes," available at odds of 1.65 with Paripesa.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 3.5

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 2 of FC Metz's last 5 matches.

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Stade Rennais's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of FC Metz's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Stade Rennais's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

12

FC Metz have won or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Stade Rennais have won or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI prediction for the match FC Metz vs Stade Rennais

According to our AI prediction, the likelihood of Stade Rennais emerging victorious is high, with a strong probability of them winning the match. An estimated correct score could be 2-1 in favor of Stade Rennais, considering their offensive capabilities and Metz’s defensive frailties. The AI algorithm, which analyses past performances, suggests that Stade Rennais will capitalize on the home side's vulnerabilities, making this a favorable matchup for the visitors.

FC Metz performance check

FC Metz, under the stewardship of coach Stéphane Le Mignan, is struggling to find their rhythm this season. With a total of 11 points, they sit perilously close to the relegation zone. Recent performances have shown a slight uptick, with three wins in their last five matches, but they need to convert these sporadic successes into consistent results. The team's goal-scoring ability has been severely hampered, as evidenced by their 30 goals conceded, which highlights a critical need for defensive improvements if they are to stave off relegation threats.

How is the current performance of Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais, managed by Habib Bèye, is enjoying a commendable season thus far. Their position in the standings reflects a solid team performance, with 21 points and a well-balanced record of five wins, six draws, and two defeats. The team has shown resilience away from home, managing to secure points even when not winning, which indicates a strong team mentality. Their recent form includes three wins in their last five matches, and a dominant 4-1 victory over AS Monaco highlights their attacking prowess.

Last direct match

In their most recent encounter, Stade Rennais triumphed over FC Metz with a score of 3-2, continuing their dominance in this fixture.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

The last five meetings between these two sides have all ended in victory for Stade Rennais, with FC Metz failing to secure any wins or draws during this period. This trend further emphasizes Rennais' strength against Metz.

Performance last 5 matches

In the last five matches, FC Metz has recorded three wins and two defeats, showcasing a slight improvement in form. Conversely, Stade Rennais has also performed well, achieving three wins, one draw, and one defeat.

Performance

FC Metz

Last games

FC Metz performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

40%

Over 2.5

40%

Stade Rennais

Last games

Stade Rennais performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

60%

Last match results FC Metz and Stade Rennais

FC Metz recently suffered a narrow 3-2 defeat against Stade Brest, while Stade Rennais celebrated a convincing 4-1 victory against AS Monaco, reinforcing their status as a competitive side in Ligue 1.

Best odds and our betting tip

For this match, the best betting options include backing Stade Rennais to win at odds of 2.05 with Mozzart, which reflects their current form and historical advantage over FC Metz. Additionally, betting on both teams to score presents a solid opportunity at odds of 1.65 with Paripesa. We encourage bettors to explore the best betting sites available in our bookmaker comparison to find the most favorable odds for this encounter.

Conclusion on the match

In summary, the upcoming clash between FC Metz and Stade Rennais seems poised to favor the visitors, given their superior form and historical dominance in this matchup. FC Metz will need to step up significantly to overturn their current trajectory, while Stade Rennais aims to capitalize on this opportunity to strengthen their position in the league.

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