FC Porto - CD Nacional ai prediction 17.05.2025 Primeira Liga

Preview for match FC Porto vs CD Nacional

As we approach the climax of the 2024/2025 Primeira Liga season, the fixture between FC Porto and CD Nacional promises to be an intriguing encounter, taking place on Saturday, May 17, 2025, at the Estádio do Dragão. With only a few matches remaining in the league, FC Porto sits firmly in third place, boasting a total of 68 points, while CD Nacional languishes in 13th position with just 34 points. The contrasting fortunes of these two clubs highlight the competitive nature of Portuguese football, where the stakes are high, especially for teams fighting to secure their places in the top tier.

FC Porto has recorded an impressive 21 victories, alongside five draws and seven defeats, with a remarkable goal difference of +32, having scored 62 goals and conceded only 30. Their home record is particularly formidable, with 12 wins, three draws, and just one defeat. The team is currently under the guidance of coach Martín Rodrigo Anselmi, who has instilled a resilient playing style and tactical discipline among his players.

In stark contrast, CD Nacional has struggled this season, achieving only nine wins, seven draws, and suffering 17 defeats, culminating in a negative goal difference of -15, with 32 goals scored against 47 conceded. Their away performances have been disappointing, with only two wins, four draws, and ten defeats. Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido, the coach of CD Nacional, faces a challenging task in revitalizing his squad as they aim for survival in the league.

The last direct meeting between these two sides saw CD Nacional emerge victorious with a 2-0 win, a result that will certainly add an extra layer of motivation for FC Porto as they seek redemption in front of their home fans. Given the historical context and the current form of both teams, this match presents an excellent opportunity for FC Porto to solidify their standing in the league while CD Nacional looks to pull off an upset against the odds.

Our betting tip for the match FC Porto vs CD Nacional

Our betting prediction for this encounter leans heavily towards a home win for FC Porto. Given their superior form, robust home record, and the pressing need to secure points for European qualification, we recommend placing a bet on FC Porto to win (Tip 1) with odds of 1.32 available at Betano. Additionally, we foresee a challenging outing for CD Nacional, suggesting that they might struggle to find the back of the net against a disciplined Porto defense. Therefore, we advise wagering on the option that both teams do not score (Tip No) with odds at 1.85 via 888sport.

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of FC Porto's last 5 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of CD Nacional's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Total Goals

Under 4.5

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 5 of FC Porto's last 5 matches.

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 4 of CD Nacional's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of FC Porto's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of CD Nacional's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI prediction for the match FC Porto vs CD Nacional

The AI prediction for this match favors a clear victory for FC Porto, forecasting a probable scoreline of 3-0. The statistical analysis indicates that Porto's formidable attacking prowess, coupled with a solid defensive record, positions them as overwhelming favorites. With CD Nacional's struggles in both scoring and defending away from home, it is reasonable to anticipate that they will find it difficult to compete effectively in this fixture.

FC Porto performance check

FC Porto's recent performances have showcased their potential to challenge for top honors in the Primeira Liga. Under the stewardship of Martín Rodrigo Anselmi, the team has secured four wins in their last five matches, with only one defeat. This consistency has solidified their position in the league standings, making them formidable opponents at home. The players have exhibited a blend of tactical discipline and attacking flair, evidenced by their goal tally of 62 this season. Their home advantage will undoubtedly play a pivotal role in this upcoming encounter.

How is the current performance of CD Nacional

CD Nacional's current season has been fraught with challenges, culminating in an uneven performance that has seen them achieve just one win in their last five matches. With two draws and two defeats, the team has struggled to assert itself in crucial moments. Under the leadership of coach Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido, the squad must find a way to improve their away form, which remains a significant concern with only two wins on the road. The pressure is mounting as they seek to distance themselves from the relegation zone.

Last direct match

The most recent encounter between FC Porto and CD Nacional saw CD Nacional secure a surprising 2-0 victory at home, a result that will weigh heavily on Porto as they prepare for this rematch. This outcome not only highlights the unpredictable nature of football but also serves as a reminder that past performances do not always dictate future results.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

In the last five meetings across all competitions, FC Porto has emerged victorious on four occasions, while CD Nacional has managed one win and there have been no draws. This record reflects Porto's dominance in recent years, although CD Nacional's most recent victory indicates that they are capable of competing at this level when circumstances align.

Performance last 5 matches

FC Porto has demonstrated strong form with four wins and only one defeat in their last five matches. In contrast, CD Nacional's recent performances have been less impressive, with one win, two draws, and two defeats, highlighting their struggles in the league.

Performance

FC Porto

Last games

FC Porto performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

60%

CD Nacional

Last games

CD Nacional performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

20%

Last match results FC Porto and CD Nacional

FC Porto's latest match ended in a commendable 2-1 away win against Boavista, reinforcing their momentum as they approach this fixture. Meanwhile, CD Nacional played to a thrilling 3-3 home draw against Rio Ave FC, a match that showcased their offensive capabilities but also exposed defensive vulnerabilities that FC Porto will likely exploit.

Best odds and our betting tip

The best odds available for this match indicate a strong favor for FC Porto, with Tip 1 at 1.32 at Betano, Tip X at 5.50 at Betwinner, and Tip 2 at 10.25 at Betano. Our experience with various betting platforms suggests that these odds represent favorable conditions for those looking to place informed wagers. For further insights, we recommend checking our comprehensive bookmaker comparison for the best betting sites.

Conclusion

In conclusion, FC Porto enters this match as the clear favorites, buoyed by their strong home record and superior current form. CD Nacional, while capable of an upset, will face significant challenges against a Porto side eager to assert their dominance. The recommended betting tips of a home win for FC Porto and the likelihood of both teams not scoring reflect the data and analysis surrounding this match.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow, as we continue to provide insights and predictions for upcoming fixtures across various leagues. Make sure to stay tuned for more expert analyses and recommendations.