FC St. Pauli - Hamburger SV ai prediction 23.01.2026 Bundesliga

Preview for the Clash: FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV

The upcoming Bundesliga match between FC St. Pauli and Hamburger SV is set to be a riveting encounter, as both teams strive to climb the league table. Scheduled for Friday, January 23, 2026, at 20:30, at the Millerntor-Stadion, this clash will mark the 19th matchday of the Bundesliga season. FC St. Pauli currently finds itself in a precarious situation, languishing at the bottom of the table in 18th position with just 12 points. They have managed only 3 wins, alongside 3 draws and a concerning 11 defeats, with a goal tally of 16 scored and 31 conceded. Their home record offers a glimmer of hope, having secured 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses at Millerntor-Stadion.

Conversely, Hamburger SV sits slightly more comfortably in 14th place with 17 points. Their season so far has seen them claim 4 victories, 5 draws, and suffer 8 losses, scoring 17 goals while conceding 27. Their away form, however, presents a challenge, as they have yet to secure a victory on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6 times. The last direct meeting saw FC St. Pauli secure a notable away victory with a 2-0 scoreline, which will surely boost their confidence heading into this fixture. Both teams are eager to improve their recent performances, each having secured 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in their last five encounters across all competitions.

Our Betting Prediction for FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV

Our betting prediction for the upcoming match between FC St. Pauli and Hamburger SV leans towards a home victory for FC St. Pauli. Despite their struggles this season, playing at home provides them with an edge, and their previous victory against their city rivals in their last direct meeting could serve as a psychological boost. Additionally, FC St. Pauli's slightly better form at home compared to Hamburg's dismal away record increases the likelihood of a positive result for the hosts. Our second tip is that both teams will not score, given the struggles both sides have faced in front of goal this season.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of FC St. Pauli's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Hamburger SV's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 3 of FC St. Pauli's last 5 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Hamburger SV's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

1X

FC St. Pauli have won or drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.

Hamburger SV have drawn or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI Prediction for the Match FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV

Based on the available data and recent performances, our AI prediction for this encounter suggests a narrow victory for FC St. Pauli, with a potential correct scoreline of 1-0. This prediction takes into account FC St. Pauli's previous success against Hamburger SV and their urgent need for points to fight relegation. Hamburger SV's struggles away from home further support this forecast, making it likely that the hosts will capitalize on their opportunities.

FC St. Pauli's Current Performance

FC St. Pauli, under the guidance of Alexander Blessin, has faced a challenging season thus far. Sitting at the bottom of the Bundesliga table, they are desperate to turn their fortunes around and climb out of the relegation zone. Their recent form has shown glimpses of potential, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches. Despite their defensive vulnerabilities, their home performances have been relatively stronger, which they hope to capitalize on in this crucial fixture.

How is the Current Performance of Hamburger SV?

Managed by Merlin Polzin, Hamburger SV finds itself in a precarious position, looking to stabilize their season and avoid being dragged into the relegation battle. Placed 14th in the league, their recent form mirrors that of their opponents, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five outings. Their inability to secure an away victory this season is a cause for concern, and they will be keen to rectify this against their city rivals.

Last Direct Match

In their last direct encounter, FC St. Pauli emerged victorious with a 2-0 win away at Hamburger SV. This result will undoubtedly give them confidence as they prepare to host their city rivals.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

The head-to-head record in the last five meetings between these two teams shows a balanced rivalry, with each side claiming two victories and one match ending in a draw. This history of closely contested matches suggests that the upcoming encounter could be similarly tight.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Both FC St. Pauli and Hamburger SV have shown similar form in their last five matches, each securing 1 win, 2 draws, and suffering 2 defeats. This parity in recent performances indicates that neither team has a clear advantage, adding to the intrigue of this encounter.

Performance

FC St. Pauli

Last games

FC St. Pauli performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

40%

Hamburger SV

Last games

Hamburger SV performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

60%

Last Match Results: FC St. Pauli and Hamburger SV

In their most recent outings, FC St. Pauli suffered a narrow 2-3 defeat away to Borussia Dortmund, while Hamburger SV held Borussia Mönchengladbach to a goalless draw at home. These results highlight their respective capabilities and challenges as they approach this derby match.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip

For this match, Tip 1 (Home win for FC St. Pauli) is offered at odds of 2.65 at Betika, while the odds for a draw (Tip X) and an away win (Tip 2) stand at 3.25 and 3.05, respectively, at Betwinner. Additionally, the odds for both teams not to score are provided at 1.91 by Paripesa. Based on our analysis and experience with various betting sites, a home win for FC St. Pauli is the most promising outcome. You can find the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison.

Conclusion and Tomorrow's Betting Tips

In conclusion, the upcoming derby between FC St. Pauli and Hamburger SV promises to be a tight contest, with FC St. Pauli's home advantage and recent head-to-head success positioning them as slight favorites. As both teams continue to struggle for consistency, the result of this match could significantly impact their respective campaigns. Here are tomorrow's betting tips for those looking to explore further opportunities. Are you looking for a new and reliable bookmaker? Then register a new betting account and get the Paripesa bonus as a welcome gift.