1. FSV Mainz 05 - Hamburger SV ai prediction 20.02.2026 Bundesliga

Preview for Match: Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV, set to take place on Friday, February 20, 2026, at 20:30, promises to be a thrilling encounter. The match, which is part of the 23rd matchday of the Bundesliga, will be hosted at the MEWA ARENA, a venue where Mainz has had mixed fortunes this season. Currently sitting in 14th place in the league table with 21 points, Mainz 05 is eager to climb away from the relegation zone. Their record of five wins, six draws, and eleven defeats reflects a season of fluctuating performances. With a home record of three wins, three draws, and five losses, Mainz will be hoping to leverage their home advantage in this fixture.

On the other hand, Hamburger SV finds themselves in a slightly more favorable position, occupying the 9th spot with 25 points. Under the guidance of coach Merlin Polzin, Hamburger SV boasts a record of six wins, seven draws, and eight losses. Despite their higher standing, their away form has been less than impressive, with just one win, three draws, and six losses on the road. The last direct encounter between these two sides saw Hamburger SV emerge as emphatic 4:0 victors. However, with the ebb and flow of the season, Mainz, managed by Urs Fischer, will be eager to avenge that defeat and secure valuable points in front of their home crowd.

Our Betting Tip for the Match Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV

Our betting tip for this encounter is a home win for Mainz 05. Despite their recent 0:4 away loss to Borussia Dortmund, Mainz 05 has shown resilience in their home performances. Additionally, both teams have vulnerabilities in their defenses, which makes the likelihood of both teams scoring a realistic proposition. Therefore, our secondary tip is for both teams to score in this match.

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Mainz 05 have drawn or lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

Hamburger SV have won or drawn 5 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Total Goals

Under 4.5

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 5 of Mainz 05's last 5 matches.

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 4 of Hamburger SV's last 5 matches.

Top odds at Betway

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Mainz 05's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Hamburger SV's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

AI Prediction for the Match Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV

Based on the current form and statistical analysis, the AI prediction suggests a tight contest, with Mainz 05 expected to edge out Hamburger SV with a 2:1 victory. The AI betting tip favors a home win for Mainz 05, given their slightly better form at home compared to Hamburger SV's struggles on the road. Moreover, considering the goal-scoring patterns of both teams, the AI forecast predicts both teams will find the net during the match.

Mainz 05 Performance Check

Under the stewardship of coach Urs Fischer, Mainz 05 has experienced an inconsistent season. While their overall league position may not be ideal, their recent form, including three wins in their last five matches across all competitions, indicates potential for improvement. Mainz's ability to bounce back from setbacks will be crucial as they aim to improve their league standing and secure a victory at home.

How is the Current Performance of Hamburger SV?

Hamburger SV, managed by Merlin Polzin, has demonstrated a competitive edge in their recent outings. With two wins and three draws in their last five matches across all competitions, they have managed to maintain a mid-table position. However, their away form has been a concern, and they will need to address these issues if they are to challenge Mainz 05 successfully at the MEWA ARENA.

Last Direct Match

The last direct match between Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV ended in a 4:0 victory for Hamburger SV. This result will be fresh in the minds of both teams, with Mainz keen to overturn their fortunes in the upcoming fixture.

Head-to-Head Last Direct Meetings

In the last five meetings between Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV across all competitions, both teams have secured two victories each, with one match ending in a draw. This balanced head-to-head record suggests that the forthcoming clash could be closely contested.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Mainz 05 has achieved three wins and suffered two defeats in their last five matches in all competitions, indicating a degree of resilience. Conversely, Hamburger SV has managed two wins and three draws, showcasing their ability to remain unbeaten in recent fixtures.

Performance

Mainz 05

Last games

Mainz 05 performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

66%

Over 2.5

33%

Hamburger SV

Last games

Hamburger SV performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

25%

Over 2.5

50%

Last Match Results: Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV

In their last outing, Mainz 05 endured a 0:4 defeat away to Borussia Dortmund, a result they will be eager to put behind them. Meanwhile, Hamburger SV recorded a hard-fought 3:2 home victory against 1. FC Union Berlin, boosting their confidence ahead of the trip to Mainz.

Best Odds and Our Betting Tip for the Match

For those interested in placing a bet on this match, the best odds for a home win (Tip 1) are available at Betwinner with odds of 2.18. A draw (Tip X) is offered at 888sport with odds of 3.40, while an away win for Hamburger SV (Tip 2) can be found at Betwinner with odds of 3.97. Additionally, for the "Both teams to score" market, the best odds for "Yes" are at Gbets with 1.70, and "No" is at Betano with 2.25. As always, we recommend exploring the best betting sites in our bookmaker comparison to find the most favorable odds for your wagers.

Conclusion on the Match

In conclusion, the Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV is poised to be an exciting encounter. While Mainz 05 has the advantage of playing at home, Hamburger SV's recent form suggests they will be eager to secure points away from home. Our betting tip favors a home win for Mainz 05, with both teams likely to score. As the match approaches, fans and bettors alike will be eager to see how these two sides perform on the day.

For those looking ahead to more betting opportunities, here are tomorrow's betting tips. Are you looking for a new and reliable bookmaker? Then register a new betting account and get the Paripesa bonus as a welcome gift.