MSV Duisburg - FC Erzgebirge Aue ai prediction 13.12.2025 3. Liga

Preview for match MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue

On Saturday, December 13, 2025, the Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena will serve as the battleground for an intriguing 3. Liga clash between MSV Duisburg and Erzgebirge Aue. This match is pivotal as it falls on Matchday 18 of the season, with both teams possessing contrasting aspirations. MSV Duisburg currently occupies the second position on the league table, boasting a commendable 32 points from 17 matches, comprising 9 victories, 5 draws, and only 3 defeats. Their impressive goal tally of 32 goals scored against 22 conceded reflects a solid performance, especially when considering their home form, which has seen them remain unbeaten with 6 wins and 2 draws.

In stark contrast, Erzgebirge Aue finds itself languishing in 17th place, having accumulated a mere 18 points from their 17 encounters. Their record consists of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal difference of 19 scored and 28 conceded. The away form of Aue has been particularly troubling, with only 1 win alongside 2 draws and 5 defeats. This match will be crucial for both teams, with Duisburg aiming to solidify their promotion push while Aue seeks to escape the relegation zone.

The last direct encounter between these two sides ended in a thrilling 2-2 draw, suggesting that both teams can find the net against each other. Recent performances have also played a significant role in shaping expectations for this match, with Duisburg's last five outings yielding 3 wins and 2 defeats, while Aue managed only 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five.

Our betting tip for the match MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue

In light of the current form, historical performances, and table standings, our betting prediction for the match between MSV Duisburg and Erzgebirge Aue is a home win for Duisburg. The odds for this outcome are set at 1.90 with Gbets, which reflects the hosts' strong home record and overall superior performance this season. Additionally, we anticipate that both teams will score at least once during the match, thus recommending the "Both teams score? Yes" option, which is priced at 1.68 with Mozzart.

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 3.5

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 3 of MSV Duisburg's last 5 matches.

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Erzgebirge Aue's last 5 matches.

Top odds at 1xBet

Double Chance

X2

MSV Duisburg have drawn or lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Erzgebirge Aue have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of MSV Duisburg's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Erzgebirge Aue's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

AI prediction for the match MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue

According to our AI prediction, MSV Duisburg is likely to emerge victorious in this encounter. With their current form suggesting a strong offensive capability combined with a solid defensive structure, a scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Duisburg seems plausible. The statistical analysis indicates that Duisburg has a higher likelihood of controlling possession and creating goal-scoring opportunities, thereby establishing them as the favorites for this match.

MSV Duisburg performance check

MSV Duisburg has been in fine form under the management of Dietmar Hirsch, currently positioned second in the league. Their home record is particularly impressive, having not lost a single game at the Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena this season. With 6 wins and 2 draws at home, Duisburg has created a fortress where they have consistently demonstrated their attacking prowess and defensive resilience. The recent matches have shown some inconsistency, with two defeats in their last five, but overall, their ability to secure points places them in an advantageous position as they prepare for this matchup.

How is the current performance of Erzgebirge Aue

Conversely, Erzgebirge Aue, led by manager Jens Härtel, is struggling to find consistency this season. With only 18 points from 17 matches, they sit dangerously close to the relegation zone. Their recent performances have not been favorable, with only one win in their last five matches, alongside three draws and a solitary defeat. The away form has been particularly concerning, as Aue has only secured one win on the road, indicating their vulnerability when playing outside their home ground. This match is crucial for Aue to gain momentum and improve their standings, but they will have to overcome a formidable opponent in Duisburg to do so.

Head-to-head last direct meetings

In the last five meetings between MSV Duisburg and Erzgebirge Aue, Duisburg has managed to win twice, while Aue has yet to record a victory, with three matches ending in draws. This record illustrates a competitive rivalry, with both sides often finding themselves evenly matched.

Performance last 5 matches

In their last five matches, MSV Duisburg has recorded 3 wins and 2 defeats, demonstrating a blend of success and setbacks. In contrast, Erzgebirge Aue has had a challenging period, managing only 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, reflecting their struggle to secure victories consistently.

Performance

MSV Duisburg

Last games

MSV Duisburg performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

80%

Erzgebirge Aue

Last games

Erzgebirge Aue performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

40%

Last match results MSV Duisburg and Erzgebirge Aue

In their most recent match, MSV Duisburg faced a narrow 2-3 defeat against Energie Cottbus, while Erzgebirge Aue secured a 2-2 home draw against FC Ingolstadt 04. These results highlight the contrasting fortunes of both teams, with Duisburg looking to bounce back and Aue seeking to build on their recent performance.

Best odds and our betting tip

The best odds for this matchup are as follows: Tip 1 (home win) at 1.90 with Gbets, Tip X (draw) at 4.00 with Betano, and Tip 2 (away win) at 4.50 with Mozzart. Given the statistics, team forms, and our experience with various betting sites, it is advisable to find the best betting sites for your wagers to maximize potential returns.

Conclusion

In conclusion, MSV Duisburg enters this match as the clear favorites, bolstered by their strong home record and overall league performance. With Erzgebirge Aue's struggles on the road and their position in the relegation zone, it is anticipated that Duisburg will secure a victory, potentially with both teams finding the net.

Here are the best betting tips for tomorrow: keep an eye on upcoming fixtures and trends as the season progresses. Utilize the insights and statistics provided to inform your betting decisions.